₿ Bitcoin Prediction Scoreboard
A living, citation-backed tracker of public Bitcoin price calls. Every prediction is sourced, dated, and resolved automatically against a daily price oracle — no citation, no entry. Scores move as new calls are logged and open ones resolve. Updated 2026-07-01.
Flat = hit rate, every call counts equally. Diff-adj = the same outcomes weighted by how specific and falsifiable each call was — so a vague “up only” can’t farm a good score. How it works →
Proven · 10+ resolved calls
| # | Name | Flat | Diff-adj | ✓ | ✗ | ◐ | Resolved | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rekt Capital@@rektcapital | 87.5% | 76.0% | 10 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 13 |
| 2 | Daan Crypto Trades@@DaanCrypto | 80.8% | 93.8% | 10 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 4 |
| 3 | Ivan Liljeqvist@@IvanOnTech | 75.0% | 46.3% | 8 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 13 |
| 4 | Rational Root@@therationalroot | 75.0% | 47.1% | 9 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 5 |
| 5 | Gareth Soloway@@GarethSoloway | 73.1% | 79.1% | 8 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 1 |
| 6 | Davincij15@@Davincij15 | 72.7% | 33.3% | 8 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 27 |
| 7 | Lyn Alden@@LynAldenContact | 71.1% | 72.2% | 12 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 3 |
| 8 | Jason Pizzino@@jasonpizzino | 69.0% | 40.4% | 13 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 10 |
| 9 | Steven McClurg@@StevenMcClurg | 65.4% | 66.3% | 7 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 | Peter Brandt@@PeterLBrandt | 61.5% | 49.4% | 7 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 8 |
| 11 | il Capo of Crypto@@CryptoCapo_ | 61.1% | 50.0% | 9 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 | Bob Loukas@@BobLoukas | 59.4% | 53.8% | 8 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 3 |
| 13 | Peter McCormack@@PeterMcCormack | 59.4% | 67.3% | 9 | 6 | 1 | 16 | 2 |
| 14 | Jesse Myers (Croesus)@@Croesus_BTC | 59.1% | 62.1% | 5 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 9 |
| 15 | James Van Straten@@btcjvs | 54.2% | 53.4% | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 |
| 16 | Charles Edwards@@caprioleio | 53.1% | 18.4% | 7 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 1 |
| 17 | Michaël van de Poppe@@CryptoMichNL | 50.0% | 45.7% | 11 | 11 | 2 | 24 | 18 |
| 18 | Mike McGlone@@mikemcglone11 | 50.0% | 20.1% | 7 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 12 |
| 19 | CrediBULL Crypto@@CredibleCrypto | 50.0% | 44.4% | 5 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 7 |
| 20 | James Check (Checkmate)@@_Checkmatey_ | 50.0% | 33.0% | 5 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 8 |
| 21 | Jeff Ross@@VailshireCap | 50.0% | 14.1% | 5 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 4 |
| 22 | Anthony Pompliano@@APompliano | 47.1% | 77.9% | 7 | 8 | 2 | 17 | 9 |
| 23 | Carl Runefelt@@TheMoonCarl | 40.9% | 27.9% | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 9 |
| 24 | Matt Odell@@ODELL | 40.0% | 32.7% | 4 | 6 | 0 | 10 | 3 |
| 25 | Willy Woo@@woonomic | 39.5% | 38.2% | 7 | 11 | 1 | 19 | 9 |
| 26 | PlanB@@100trillionUSD | 37.5% | 36.2% | 8 | 14 | 2 | 24 | 5 |
| 27 | Joe Carlasare@@JoeCarlasare | 37.5% | 52.0% | 5 | 9 | 2 | 16 | 12 |
| 28 | Peter Schiff@@PeterSchiff | 35.0% | 30.5% | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 8 |
| 29 | Arthur Hayes@@CryptoHayes | 30.0% | 34.1% | 4 | 12 | 4 | 20 | 9 |
| 30 | Simply Bitcoin | 30.0% | 42.8% | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 14 |
| 31 | Scott Melker@@scottmelker | 25.0% | 23.3% | 2 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 1 |
| 32 | Max Keiser@@maxkeiser | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 4 |
| 33 | Mel Mattison | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 1 |
| 34 | Tom Lee@@fundstrat | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 5 |
Established · 5–9 resolved calls
| # | Name | Flat | Diff-adj | ✓ | ✗ | ◐ | Resolved | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Axel Adler Jr@@AxelAdlerJr | 90.0% | 95.5% | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | DonAlt@@CryptoDonAlt | 85.7% | 100.0% | 6 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
| 3 | Crypto Tony@@CryptoTony__ | 83.3% | 78.7% | 7 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
| 4 | John Bollinger@@bbands | 71.4% | 100.0% | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
| 5 | Marty Bent@@MartyBent | 70.0% | 100.0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
| 6 | Joe Consorti@@JoeConsorti | 66.7% | 87.2% | 5 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 6 |
| 7 | Preston Pysh@@PrestonPysh | 66.7% | 74.7% | 6 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 5 |
| 8 | Dan Gambardello@@cryptorecruitr | 60.0% | 27.0% | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
| 9 | Dylan LeClair@@DylanLeClair_ | 60.0% | 0.0% | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 |
| 10 | Jacob Canfield@@JacobCanfield | 57.1% | 57.1% | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 | Tuur Demeester@@TuurDemeester | 57.1% | 24.0% | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 |
| 12 | Will Clemente@@WClementeIII | 57.1% | 58.7% | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 | Gary Cardone@@GaryCardone | 56.2% | 51.1% | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 |
| 14 | Vinny Lingham@@VinnyLingham | 56.2% | 27.3% | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 | InvestAnswers (James)@@1nvestanswers | 50.0% | 49.1% | 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 1 |
| 16 | Pentoshi@@Pentosh1 | 50.0% | 18.3% | 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 4 |
| 17 | Tone Vays@@ToneVays | 50.0% | 30.9% | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 | Mark Yusko@@MarkYusko | 50.0% | 27.1% | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| 19 | MMCrypto@@MMCrypto | 50.0% | 100.0% | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
| 20 | Mike Novogratz@@novogratz | 42.9% | 38.1% | 3 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 3 |
| 21 | Dan Held@@danheld | 41.7% | 28.9% | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 2 |
| 22 | James Lavish@@jameslavish | 40.0% | 40.3% | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
| 23 | Ki Young Ju@@ki_young_ju | 40.0% | 0.0% | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 24 | Matthew Mežinskis | 40.0% | 31.1% | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| 25 | Dan Tapiero@@DTAPCAP | 31.2% | 22.2% | 2 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 5 |
| 26 | Nik Bhatia@@timevalueofbtc | 31.2% | 19.5% | 2 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 9 |
| 27 | Lawrence Lepard@@LawrenceLepard | 30.0% | 0.0% | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 17 |
| 28 | Anthony Scaramucci@@Scaramucci | 28.6% | 35.1% | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 4 |
| 29 | Dan Morehead@@dan_pantera | 28.6% | 13.9% | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 1 |
| 30 | Joe Burnett@@IIICapital | 28.6% | 0.0% | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 8 |
| 31 | The Bitcoin Therapist@@TheBTCTherapist | 28.6% | 32.4% | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 11 |
| 32 | American HODL@@americanhodl8 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
| 33 | Ben Armstrong (BitBoy)@@BenArmstrongsX | 25.0% | 21.6% | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 4 |
| 34 | Plan C@@TheRealPlanC | 21.4% | 14.8% | 1 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 8 |
| 35 | Nicholas Merten@@Nicholas_Merten | 20.0% | 27.6% | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| 36 | Samson Mow@@Excellion | 20.0% | 15.2% | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| 37 | Timothy Peterson@@nsquaredcrypto | 16.7% | 18.9% | 1 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 1 |
| 38 | Pierre Rochard@@BitcoinPierre | 14.3% | 100.0% | 1 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 5 |
| 39 | Dave the Wave@@davthewave | 12.5% | 15.3% | 1 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 1 |
| 40 | Alex Becker@@ZssBecker | 10.0% | 25.0% | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 9 |
| 41 | Raoul Pal@@RaoulGMI | 10.0% | 5.5% | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| 42 | apsk32@@apsk32 | 8.3% | 0.0% | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 4 |
| 43 | Adam Back@@adam3us | 5.6% | 0.0% | 0 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 4 |
| 44 | Jordi Visser | 5.6% | 0.0% | 0 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 3 |
| 45 | Tim Draper@@TimDraper | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 5 |
| 46 | Robert Kiyosaki@@theRealKiyosaki | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 2 |
| 47 | Harry Dent@@harrydentjr | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 2 |
Building · 1–4 resolved calls
| # | Name | Flat | Diff-adj | ✓ | ✗ | ◐ | Resolved | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh | 100.0% | 100.0% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| 2 | Checkonchain@@_checkonchain | 100.0% | 100.0% | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 3 | Mark Cuban@@mcuban | 100.0% | — | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 4 | Saifedean Ammous@@saifedean | 100.0% | 100.0% | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 5 | Steve Hanke@@steve_hanke | 100.0% | — | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 6 | Bill Miller | 100.0% | 100.0% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 7 | Frances Coppola@@Frances_Coppola | 100.0% | 100.0% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 8 | Jameson Lopp@@lopp | 100.0% | 100.0% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 9 | Alex Gladstein@@gladstein | 100.0% | — | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 | Brent Johnson@@SantiagoAuFund | 100.0% | — | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Caitlin Long@@CaitlinLong_ | 100.0% | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 12 | Cantering Clark@@CanteringClark | 100.0% | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Cory Klippsten@@coryklippsten | 100.0% | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 14 | CryptoCred@@CryptoCred | 100.0% | — | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | JPMorgan analysts | 100.0% | — | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 16 | Kevin O'Leary | 100.0% | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 17 | Michael Howell | 100.0% | — | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 | Nic Carter@@nic__carter | 100.0% | — | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 19 | Nico | 100.0% | — | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 | Permabull Nino@@PermabullNino | 100.0% | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 21 | Peruvian Bull | 100.0% | — | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 | Travis Kling@@Travis_Kling | 100.0% | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 23 | Truth Block | 100.0% | — | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 24 | Smart Contracter (Bluntz)@@SmartContracter | 87.5% | 87.5% | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 25 | Andy Edstrom | 83.3% | — | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 26 | Dante Cook | 83.3% | 50.0% | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| 27 | Felix Zulauf@FelixZulauf | 83.3% | 100.0% | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 | Luke Gromen@@LukeGromen | 75.0% | — | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 29 | Alex Thorn | 75.0% | 85.7% | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 30 | George Tung (CryptosRUs)@@CryptosR_Us | 75.0% | 70.4% | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 31 | David Puell@@kenoshaking | 75.0% | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| 32 | Jim Bianco@@biancoresearch | 75.0% | 65.4% | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 33 | Willem Middelkoop@@wmiddelkoop | 75.0% | — | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 34 | Jack Mallers | 66.7% | 0.0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 35 | Julian Brigden@@JulianMI2 | 66.7% | 50.0% | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 36 | Natalie Brunell@@natbrunell | 62.5% | 56.6% | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| 37 | Philip Swift@@PositiveCrypto | 62.5% | 32.1% | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 38 | Ran Neuner@@cryptomanran | 50.0% | 42.0% | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 39 | Vijay Boyapati@@real_vijay | 50.0% | 50.0% | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
| 40 | Barry Silbert@@BarrySilbert | 50.0% | — | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 41 | Guy Turner (Coin Bureau)@@coinbureau | 50.0% | 66.7% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 42 | Crypto Rover@@rovercrc | 50.0% | 50.0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 43 | Michael Saylor@@saylor | 50.0% | 50.0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 29 |
| 44 | Nayib Bukele@@nayibbukele | 50.0% | 0.0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 45 | Paul Tudor Jones@ptj_official | 50.0% | — | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 46 | Sven Henrich@@NorthmanTrader | 50.0% | 0.0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 47 | Brian Armstrong@@brian_armstrong | 50.0% | 50.0% | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 48 | Doomberg | 50.0% | — | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 49 | Eric Weiss@@Eric_BIGfund | 50.0% | — | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 50 | Simon Dixon@@SimonDixonTwitt | 50.0% | — | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 51 | Benjamin Cowen@@intocryptoverse | 37.5% | 33.2% | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 52 | Lark Davis@@TheCryptoLark | 25.0% | 50.0% | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| 53 | Sina (21st Capital)@@Sina_21st | 25.0% | 28.2% | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 54 | Ash Crypto@@Ashcryptoreal | 25.0% | 29.6% | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 55 | Bill Barhydt | 25.0% | 25.0% | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 56 | John Pompliano | 25.0% | — | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 57 | Nouriel Roubini@@Nouriel | 25.0% | — | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 58 | Jeff Park | 16.7% | 22.1% | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 59 | Mark Moss | 16.7% | 25.0% | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 60 | Fred Krueger@@dotkrueger | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 61 | BitcoinTINA | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 62 | Eric Yakes | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 63 | Giovanni Santostasi@@Giovann35084111 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| 64 | Changpeng Zhao (CZ)@@cz_binance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 65 | Evan Kaloudis | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 66 | Greg Foss@@FossGregfoss | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| 67 | Matthew Sigel | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| 68 | Nassim Nicholas Taleb@@nntaleb | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 69 | Peter Zeihan@@PeterZeihan | 0.0% | — | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 70 | Robert Breedlove@@Breedlove22 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 71 | Tyler Winklevoss@@tyler | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| 72 | Cameron Winklevoss@@cameron | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 73 | Chamath Palihapitiya@@chamath | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 74 | Chris Klein | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 75 | David Bailey | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 76 | David Gerard@@davidgerard | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 77 | Dennis Porter@@Dennis_Porter_ | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 78 | Douglas Macgregor | 0.0% | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 79 | Elon Musk@@elonmusk | 0.0% | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 80 | Jeff Walton | 0.0% | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 81 | Jurrien Timmer | 0.0% | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 82 | Matt Hougan | 0.0% | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 83 | Max Tannahill | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 84 | Mike Green@@profplum99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 85 | Murad Mahmudov@@MustStopMurad | 0.0% | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 86 | Pete Rizzo | 0.0% | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 87 | Peter Dunworth | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 88 | Robert Prechter@@elliottwaveintl | 0.0% | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 89 | Ryan Selkis | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 90 | Simply SatoSHE | 0.0% | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 91 | Stephan Livera@@stephanlivera | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |