Ivan Liljeqvist
Resolved (21)
- ✓
Bitcoin (then ~$73k) will fall a bit lower into his buy zone around the $62k 200-week moving average before this bear market is done — calling the bottom here is too early.
“it doesn't feel like that and I still, you know, we we also expect it to go a bit lower here into the buy zone. But, don't get confused with temporary bear market. All bear markets are temporary. Uh we said in October”
BTC fell as low as $57,718 in [2026-05-28..2026-07-06], reaching the $62,000 downside target.
- ✓
The macro bottom for Bitcoin is not in — there has been no high-volume capitulation event, so the $60k low likely gets revisited or broken (BTC ~$81k at the time).
“You can all see yourself. So, in my opinion, we have not had any kind of big capitulation or any kind of meaningful event that would create big volume big enough volume for us to call this the macro bottom. Now, there is an argument”
The $60k low was broken — from $79,288 (2026-05-13) BTC fell to $59,073 (2026-06-05) and $57,718 (2026-07-01).
- ✗
Bitcoin will dump hard in May 2026, as it has in prior bear-market Mays.
“REMINDER: BITCOIN DUMPS HEAVILY EACH MAY IN BEAR MARKETS!!! 🚨🚨🚨 We are soon in May Ooooooopppsiiieee”
Predicted heavy May dump; in the May 1-31 window BTC rose to a high of $82,814 above the $75,753 start, with only a shallow $72,364 low — no heavy dump.
- ✓
The Bitcoin bear-market bottom is likely not in yet — expect further flush lower (May in bear markets historically brings the biggest losses).
“the end of the year, we flush down a bit more here, and uh we're not reaching the bottom yet. Some people say that this was the bottom right here on day 36 of the midterm year. Likely not, based on all of this, likely not. And it's just”
Further flush came — from $76,318 (2026-04-28) BTC fell to $57,718 by 2026-07-01, a lower low.
- ✓
The chance of Bitcoin falling into his buy zone (around the 200-week moving average) is still very high, and a bullish reversal to all-time highs from here is a low-chance scenario.
“signals we will be getting. But for now, the chance the risk of us going here into the buy zone is still very very very high. So, do not get complacent based on this pump right here. As you understand, the bull market currently is”
No reversal to highs; BTC fell into the buy zone, bottoming $57,718 on 2026-07-01.
- ✓
Despite the pump toward $77k-78k, Bitcoin dropping back down into his "buy zone" (around the 200-week moving average, low $60Ks) remains a very high-likelihood scenario.
“several times in history where we have gone above the bull market support band, and then collapse back down, the scenario of us going into the buy zone is still very real and still very, very high likelihood. So, I wouldn't forget”
BTC rejected the high-$70ks and fell into the buy zone, reaching $57,718 by 2026-07-01.
- ◐
$60k was not the bear-market bottom — the big capitulation flush hasn't happened yet and Bitcoin will go lower; the time for bulls comes later this year.
“There will be a time later this year, but now it's way too early. I also wrote on Twitter yesterday, "Bitcoin the big flash, I don't think we've had it yet. I don't think 60k was the bottom." And all of these bounces that happen here and”
BTC dipped to $57,718 in [2026-04-15..2026-07-06] — a minor break (within 3.8%) of the $60,000 floor.
- ✓
$60,000 was not the bitcoin bottom; a bigger flush lower is still coming.
“RT @IvanOnTech: Bitcoin: the big flush… I don’t think we’ve had it yet I don’t think $60,000 was the bottom You can pray for it of course…”
Predicted $60K was not the bottom and a bigger flush was coming; BTC broke below $60K, falling to $58,000 (current $58,161) from $74,179 at the call.
- ✓
After Bitcoin's bounce off the low ~$60K, Ivan said the cycle bottom is not in: '$60,000 was not the bottom', the 'big flush' still lies ahead, and the trend remains down (he framed the environment as 'risk-off since October' and urged capital preservation). A downside/bearish directional call.
“I don't think we've had it yet I don't think $60,000 was the bottom You can pray for it of course 😈 but it won't help. Trend is still down The few % bounces are tiny if you zoom out”
Said $60,000 was not the bottom, trend still down, big flush ahead from $74,446; BTC flushed below to a low of $58,000 (current $58,161).
- ✓
$60,000 was not the bottom - the big flush is still ahead and the trend remains down.
“Bitcoin: the big flush… I don’t think we’ve had it yet I don’t think $60,000 was the bottom You can pray for it of course 😈 but it won’t help Trend is still down The few % bounces are tiny if you zoom out I will reconsider this stance in case bull strength returns It’s just”
$60k was not the bottom — from $74,446 (2026-04-13) BTC broke below to $59,073 (2026-06-05) and $57,718 (2026-07-01).
- ◐
Bitcoin is heading for another big leg down before bottoming later in 2026.
“PSA: Bitcoin ready for the next big leg down 🚨🚨🚨 Big BIG MASSIVE surprise ahead Sadly in the bear direction Not sadly if you know mechanical rules and can short THE GOOD NEWS IS THAT WE WILL BOTTOM LATER IN 2026!”
The predicted big leg down materialized (from $70,874 to a $58,000 low, ~18%), but the 'bottom later in 2026' confirmation is still open.
- ◐
Bitcoin's rejection at $74,000 marks a March bull trap; price is heading lower into a buy zone.
“BITCOIN REJECTED AT $74,000 MARCH PUMP IS A BULL TRAP 🚨🚨🚨 Ivan tried warning you over and over again Are you subscribed to my youtube? (it's free) BUY ZONE INCOOOMING! BITCOIN COMING TO PAPA oooohyes guys yesyes”
Directional thesis (bull trap, heading lower) came true — now $58,161 vs $71,245 — but the 'rejected at $74k' top was invalidated by a subsequent rally to $82,814.
- ◐
Bitcoin could see a March pump toward the $80K level in this midterm year.
“Why are bulls so slow? The consolidation geometry suggests a March pump is possible. Long-term buy zones are intact, so we're prepared for any scenario. The 80K level for BTC aligns with typical mid-term year pumps. #Crypto #Trading #IvanClips”
BTC reached $76,023 by the 2026-03-31 horizon — within 5.0% of $80,000 but short.
- ◐
If Bitcoin loses 67K support it moves toward 40K (or slightly below); if 67K holds it bounces to the 86K-90K area.
“Bitcoin is sitting at a major 67K support. If we lose this level, a move toward 40K becomes realistic, possibly even slightly below. But if support holds, the bounce scenario targets the 86K-90K area. This level decides everything. #Bitcoin #Crypto #IvanClips”
67K support was lost (now $58,161), matching the bear branch direction, but the $40k target was not reached (low $58,000) and the 86-90K bull band was missed (high $82,814).
- ◐
Bitcoin will likely slide further before recovering within a couple of quarters, nearing a bottom before the next bull run.
“The bad news for BTC: a likely slide. The good news: recovery within quarters. With sentiment at rock bottom and the Bitcoin thesis questioned, we're nearing a bottom before a bull run. #Bitcoin #Crypto #IvanClips”
The predicted further slide occurred (from $67,467 to a $58,000 low); the 'recovery within quarters / bull run' portion remains open.
- ✓
Bitcoin's bear trend will continue down to the 200-week MA and stay there longer than bulls expect.
“Massive bear trend still in play, targeting the 200-week moving average. Expecting a revisit, settling in, and a longer stay than bulls hope for. Adapting to market dynamics, not holding onto losing positions. #BearMarket #Trading”
Bear trend continued lower as predicted, falling from $68,804 to $58,000 (current $58,161) toward the 200-week MA.
- ✓
Bitcoin near $69K is too expensive; cheaper Bitcoin is coming as it falls toward the 200-week MA.
“Bitcoin at $69k? Too expensive! Closer to 200-week MA means buy zone. Cheap Bitcoin coming, but be careful of false hope. #Bitcoin #Crypto #Investing #BTC”
Called $69K too expensive with cheaper BTC coming; BTC fell from $70,102 to $58,000 (current $58,161).
- ✓
Bitcoin will see continued downside and chop for months even as Ivan begins slowly buying near the 200-week MA (~$60K).
“🚨🚨 UPDATE TO MY PLAN NOW THAT BITCOIN IS ALMOST AT 200W MA (around $60,000) 🚨🚨 1. I am bear and risk off since October 8th (see pinned tweet for proof) 2. I AM NOW A SLOW BUYER OF BTC!!! 🎉🎉 (but please read whole tweet because I still expect downside and chop for MONTHS to”
Both elements verified: continued downside (from $70,528 to $58,000) and chop over months (Feb-Jun), now near the ~$60K 200W MA as he described.
- ✓
Bitcoin's destination after the flash to 72k is the 200-week MA (lower).
“Bitcoin flashed to 72k! The flash button is being pressed in real time. Destination? The 200 week moving average. Solana's feeling the heat too, eyeing juicy entries at $30. #Bitcoin #Solana #Trading #Crypto”
After the flash to ~72k, predicted destination lower; BTC fell from $72,998 to $58,000 (current $58,161).
- ✓
Bitcoin still needs another leg down to the 200-week MA before turning up.
“This ratio tells me we need another leg down to shake out the hopium bag holders praying for ISM/business cycle to save them Bitcoin to 200w ma then Valhalla”
The predicted leg down to the 200-week MA (~$60K) was reached — BTC fell from $76,896 to a $58,000 low, currently $58,161, right at that target zone.
- ✓
Bitcoin will reach the 200-week MA around $60K and Ivan will buy there, rejecting the mega-bear $30K calls.
“I WILL BUY BITCOIN AT 200W MA AT $60,000!!!!!! these mega bears calling for $30k are too bearish i will follow the mechanical rules and the plan we have set out”
BTC fell as low as $57,718 in [2026-01-30..2026-07-06], reaching the $60,000 downside target.
Open (17)
- ⏳
A big new bitcoin cycle runs from 2026 to 2030.
“BITCOIN: BIG NEW CYCLE 2026-2030!!!!! 🚨🚨🚨 https://t.co/BH4vZYkQTy”
2026-2030 multi-year cycle; deadline 2030 open.
- ⏳
Bitcoin is expected to fall further into the $40,000–$50,000 range before bottoming.
“BITCOIN PRICE UPDATE!! bitcoin:native at $62,600 - IN THE BUY ZONE BITCOIN IS CHEAP! Bear trend is still very strong I expect it to go further down into 50s and 40s But I dont know the future, no one knows the future DCAing Bitcoin at these cheap prices in the green buy zone is”
Not reached yet (low $57,718 since 2026-06-19); 2027-03-19 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-06.
- ⏳
Bitcoin is repeating the 2022 bottom pattern and will rally to new highs after a consolidation period.
“Mark it: crypto enters a bull market later this year, and the fuel is political. The hate against @elonmusk makes me very bullish bitcoin:native The average person hates Elon and his success and they definitely hate AI!!! The left will target AI bros next, AI stocks won't”
Rally to new highs later in 2026; window open, no rally yet (BTC $63,599, ATH still $126,296).
- ⏳
Bitcoin will exit the bear market in the coming months.
“Bitcoin is exiting the bear market in the coming months The BUY ZONE (green box) I predicted in October has been reached Bitcoin going to 40-50k is very possible and will be massive buying opportunity. DCAing in the buy zone and then going heavy once the Money Line flips”
'Exit bear in coming months'; multi-month horizon open, BTC $63,599 on 2026-07-06.
- ⏳
Bitcoin will enter a new bull market in Q4 2026.
“Well done ser 🫡 New bull market likely in Q4 We redeploy capital then”
Bull market forecast for Q4 2026; that window has not begun.
- ⏳
Bitcoin can still drop to $40,000; bull market likely starts Q4 2026.
“BITCOIN PRICE UPDATE!!! WE HAVE REACHED THE BUY-ZONE!! 🥳🥳🥳 Bitcoin can still go lower $40,000 would not surprise me BUT BUYING AT OR CLOSE TO 200W MA (white line) HAS HISTORICALLY BEEN SMART AND PROFITABLE Bull market is likely to start in Q4”
$40k buy-zone and Q4 2026 bull start both open; low only $57,718, Q4 not arrived.
- ⏳
After the current flush, the biggest bull market in history will start later in 2026.
“Bulls sinned very hard in April and May They thought they outplayed the marked They thought they are smarter than the cycles They got hubris bigly They are getting punished now WE FLUSH! BUT I WARN BEARS!! Later this year the biggest bull market in history will start. I will”
Biggest-bull-starting-later-2026; deadline 2026-12-31 open, BTC $63,599.
- ⏳
Bitcoin will bottom in Q4 2026 and Valhalla (new ATH cycle) begins in 2027.
“Very true People spat in my face when I said on Oct 8th 2025 that the party is over (see pinned tweet) Those that did lost 80-90% of their portfolios holding altcoins - hoping for "ISM" to kick in Here is the good news - we likely bottom in Q4 and real Valhalla starts 2027”
Bottom Q4 2026 / Valhalla 2027; neither window elapsed.
- ⏳
Bitcoin bottoms and lifts off in Q4 2026 — roughly a year after the October 2025 top — with the next bull market starting later this year and continuing into 2027.
“June. Then it's boop boop boop it's another October boom Q4 bam bottom lift off. It's very soon. It happens very soon. Most people cannot control their emotions. Most people call the bottom here. I think it's too early. It's They”
Bottom-and-liftoff in Q4 2026; that window has not happened.
- ⏳
Bitcoin will go parabolic later in 2026 or in 2027.
“BITCOIN WILL GO PARABOLIC LATER THIS YEAR OR 2027, JUST NOT YET!! VERDICT - RISK OFF; PROTECT CAPITAL!!”
Parabolic later 2026 or 2027; window open, no parabola (BTC $63,599).
- ⏳
Bitcoin is heading down toward 40K.
“Bitcoin bulls, take note: Bitcoin is back at the buy zone door and heading towards 40K. Consider nibbling in slowly, investing ~1% of your capital weekly. #Bitcoin #Crypto #IvanClips”
Not reached yet (low $57,718 since 2026-02-24); 2026-11-24 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-06.
- ⏳
Bitcoin will go a bit lower and bottom later in the year.
“GOOOD MORNING CRYPTO!!! ---- TWO IMPORTANT PSAa for you all ---- 1. Bitcoin will go a bit lower, bottom later in the year 2. Tech stocks wont be replaced by vibe coded alternatives lol, I AM A BUYER IF THEY ARE AT OR BELOW 200W MA!! ---- END OF PSA ----- 🚨🚨🚨”
'Go a bit lower' happened (to $57,718) but whether it's the bottom 'later in the year' is undetermined; deadline 2026 open.
- ⏳
Bitcoin will likely drop below $50K again, offering another buy-below-$50K opportunity.
“Good news for the average person: the chance to buy Bitcoin below $50K might be here again. With institutions and ETFs now involved, this could be the last opportunity for a while. #Bitcoin #Crypto #IvanClips”
Not reached yet (low $57,718 since 2026-02-14); 2026-11-14 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-06.
- ⏳
Bitcoin will drop into a 40-50K buy zone this year amid 50-65% crypto drops.
“Crypto markets could see significant drops. If history repeats, expect drops of 50-65% this year. We've already fallen 25%, so the buy zone at 40-50K for BTC might be closer than you think. #Crypto #Trading #Bitcoin #IvanClips”
Not reached yet (low $57,718 since 2026-02-13); 2026-12-31 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-06.
- ⏳
Bitcoin will chop sideways for about a year before reaching its true bottom; no V-shaped recovery.
“Bitcoin hit the buy zone, but don't rush in! A V-shaped recovery is unlikely. Expect ups and downs for about a year before we find the true bottom. #Bitcoin #Crypto”
~1-year chop-then-true-bottom runs into early 2027; horizon not elapsed.
- ⏳
Bitcoin will move sideways for about a year before a true bottom as it approaches the 200-week MA.
“Remember the fake all-time high warning? Time for the opposite. As we approach the 200-week MA, it's time to consider a bullish stance. Expect sideways movement for about a year before a true bottom. #TradingTips #MarketAnalysis”
~1-year sideways-then-true-bottom runs into early 2027; horizon not elapsed.
- ⏳
Bitcoin will dip to the 200-week MA, offering a load-up entry before the next cycle starts later this year.
“Bitcoin losing support isn't necessarily bad. A dip to the 200 week moving average is a chance to load up before the next cycle begins later this year! #Bitcoin #Crypto #Trading”
Deadline 2026 open; the dip to $57,718 occurred but 'next cycle starts later this year' undetermined.