Willem Middelkoop
Resolved (2)
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I personally think we have seen the bottom, which means a new bull market is possibly close (though it wouldn't surprise me to see the price below $20,000 once more before then).
“denk ik persoonlijk dat we de bodem hebben gezien ... dat betekent wel dat een nieuwe bull markt mogelijk dichtbij is ... Al zou het mij niks verbazen als we de prijs voor die tijd toch nog een keer onder twintigduizend dollar gaan zien.”
Called the bottom at $26,751 on 2023-10-12; low since was $26,538 (never below $20k) and BTC rose to $126,296 in the ensuing bull market.
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Bitcoin is often described as a binary asset: value = zero or infinity. The zero scenario is no longer valid; Bitcoin's resilience has been proven and it has started climbing towards infinity. $1mln might not be the end.
“Bitcoin is often described as a binary asset. Value= Zero or Infinity The Zero-scenario is no longer valid. Bitcoin's resilience has been proven long enough now. Now it started climbing towards Infinity .. $1mln might not be the end ..”
At $46,181 said zero-scenario invalid and climbing toward infinity/$1mln; BTC did rise (high $126,296, now $58,161) so direction broadly held, but the $1mln magnitude is far from realized.
Open (1)
- ⏳
Years ago I tweeted that bitcoin would go to $100,000. Now I say: $1 million before 2030.
“Ik tweette jaren geleden dat bitcoin naar $100.000 zou gaan. Nu zeg ik: $1 miljoen vóór 2030.”
Not reached yet (high $126,296 since 2025-05-28); 2029-12-31 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.