Peter Dunworth
Resolved (1)
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Bitcoin will appreciate in value between now (late Oct 2025) and when his house deal settles at the end of Q1 2026.
“And if I'm willing to take the risk, I think Bitcoin's going to appreciate value between now and when we ultimately settle. It's a good deal for me. I don't have to sell Bitcoin.”
Predicted BTC would appreciate by end-Q1-2026 settle, but it fell from 111,666 (made) to ~60,001 low by the Mar 31 2026 deadline — depreciated.
Open (6)
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Bitcoin has 100x upside over the next 10 years.
“you boil that down to what the upside is for Bitcoin over the next 10 years, which I still believe we've got 100x in front of in the next 10 years, Bitcoin becomes undeniable.”
10-year horizon to 2036-06-12 wide open; 100x upside undetermined.
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Over the next six to twelve months Bitcoin will put in a price bottom.
“over the next sort of six to 12 months, we will see a bottoming of price in Bitcoin. And we'll start to see that those markets have the dislocation that we talk of and want.”
6-12 month bottoming window (deadline 2027-06-12) still open; outcome undetermined.
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Bitcoin will reach billions of dollars per coin; it's a matter of when, not if.
“There's absolutely no doubt in my mind, we're going to get to billions of dollars per Bitcoin. It's just a matter of when, not if.”
Not reached yet (high $126,296 since 2025-10-02); 2030-10-02 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.
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Bitcoin can go up a thousand or ten thousand X from current price to support the global collateral/credit system.
“So we can have Bitcoin go up a thousand or ten thousand X from here to grow into the size that it's going to support the current credit system and more.”
No deadline, 1,000x-10,000x is a multi-decade target; clearly undetermined (BTC actually fell from 120,621 to 58,161).
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Peter Dunworth believes Bitcoin will eventually reach $20 billion per coin.
“Peter is probably the most bullish man in Bitcoin. He thinks that Bitcoin will eventually be $20 billion a coin. He thinks right now it should be valued at $7 billion a coin.”
Not reached yet (high $126,296 since 2023-09-08); 2028-09-08 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.
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Peter Dunworth argues Bitcoin's fair value today is $7 billion per coin, derived by dividing $6.3 trillion in daily global trade by the 900 BTC minted daily.
“The first valuation framework is simple in that there's $6.3 trillion worth of global trade that happens on a daily basis. And if you divide $6.3 trillion by the 900 Bitcoin that are minted on the day, you get to $7 billion a coin.”
Not reached yet (high $126,296 since 2023-09-08); 2029-09-08 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.