Michael Saylor
Resolved (2)
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Speaking to CNBC at the Money 20/20 conference in Las Vegas, Saylor said his expectation was that Bitcoin would be about $150,000 by the end of 2025, citing the consensus of equity analysts covering Strategy and the Bitcoin industry.
“Our expectation right now is that by the end of the year, it should be about $150,000, and that's the consensus of the equity analysts who cover our company and the Bitcoin industry.”
BTC's high was only $116,114 through the 2025-12-31 horizon; never reached $150,000.
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In a CNBC interview, Saylor predicted Bitcoin would cross $100,000 before the end of 2024, saying he was planning a '$100,000 party' for New Year's Eve and would be surprised if BTC did not break $100k in November or December.
“I'm planning the $100,000 party, and I'm thinking that it's probably going to be New Year's Eve at my house. So, I will be surprised if we don't go through $100,000 in November or December.”
BTC traded as high as $108,389 in [2024-11-14..2024-12-31], reaching the $100,000 target.
Open (29)
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By end of year, the AI capital-rotation cycle will conclude and capital will rotate back into Bitcoin, reversing the bear market trend.
“I think by the end of the year, we'll have gotten through that AI summer, you know, suction activity. And, you know, just like Austrian economists would say, if the price of Bitcoin falls, that makes Bitcoin more appealing.”
By-end-2026 capital rotation/bear-reversal call; deadline not elapsed and BTC has slipped from $63,951 to $58,161 so far, undetermined.
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Saylor reiterates his long-term view that Bitcoin can appreciate roughly 500x to around $20 million per coin.
“And that will continue as long as we act rationally. So if you want it to 500 X, if you want $20 million Bitcoin, then.”
Not reached yet (high $66,944 since 2026-06-16); 2032-06-16 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.
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Michael Saylor projects Bitcoin will be worth $1 million per coin in approximately 10 years.
“But that is so many years in the future. And that is when Bitcoin's a million dollars coin and we're 10 years out and then we can talk about it.”
Not reached yet (high $82,066 since 2026-05-13); 2036-12-31 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.
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Michael Saylor predicts a massive Bitcoin supply shock as $20–$100 billion in credit formation chases only $10 billion of available Bitcoin in the next 12 months, setting up a rally.
“I think the formation of, you're talking about between $20 and $100 billion worth of credit formation in the next 12 months. And there's only $10 billion of Bitcoin naturally available for sale. So I think that we're setting up a massive supply shock. There ought to be a rally in BTC.”
Supply-shock rally over next 12 months (deadline 2027-05-01) window open; BTC fell from $78,234 to $58,161 with no rally yet but time remains.
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Saylor predicts a massive Bitcoin supply shock and rally driven by $20–$100 billion in new credit formation over the next 12 months against only $10 billion of naturally available supply.
“You're talking about between $20 and $100 billion worth of credit formation in the next 12 months. And there's only $10 billion of Bitcoin naturally available for sale. So I think that we're setting up a massive supply shock. There ought to be a rally in BTC.”
Same 12-month supply-shock rally call (deadline 2027-04-30) window open; BTC down from $76,306 to $58,161, no rally yet but undetermined.
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Saylor predicts a Bitcoin rally driven by an engineered supply shock, with $20–$100 billion in new credit formation over 12 months overwhelming the $10 billion of naturally available Bitcoin supply.
“You're talking about between 20 and 100 billion dollars worth of credit formation in the next 12 months. And there's only 10 billion dollars of Bitcoin naturally available for sale. So I think that we're setting up a massive supply shock. There ought to be a rally in BTC.”
Same engineered supply-shock rally over 12 months (deadline 2027-04-30) window open; BTC down from $76,306 to $58,161, undetermined.
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Saylor's long-run endgame target is $10 million per Bitcoin as the asset becomes a $200 trillion network.
“Drive Bitcoin to $10 million a coin. Bitcoin and make Bitcoin a $200 trillion network until it grows higher.”
Not reached yet (high $82,814 since 2026-04-30); 2032-04-28 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.
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Saylor predicts Bitcoin will eventually reach $20–$21 million per coin as it emerges as the dominant digital capital of the world.
“Oh, I think eventually it's going to $20 million, $21 million a coin. $21 million a coin. I think it's going to emerge as the dominant digital capital of the world.”
Not reached yet (high $82,814 since 2026-04-27); 2031-04-27 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.
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Saylor predicts Bitcoin will reach $15 million per coin if digital credit markets capture 5% of the $300 trillion global credit market over roughly 20 years.
“And if we raise $30 trillion and buy $30 trillion of Bitcoin, Bitcoin is going to be worth $300 trillion. And Bitcoin is going to $15 million a coin.”
Not reached yet (high $82,814 since 2026-04-27); 2032-04-27 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.
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Michael Saylor says Bitcoin is currently oversold and expects it will be much higher by the end of the year.
“I think, where are we right now? I think it's oversold. So I would expect that Bitcoin will be much higher by the end of the year.”
Oversold, much-higher-by-end-2026 call (deadline 2026) window not elapsed; BTC currently $58,161, below the $74,179 made-price, undetermined.
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Michael Saylor predicts Bitcoin will reach $20–21 million per coin over a 21-year horizon, implying a ~$400 trillion market cap.
“I think eventually it's going to 20 million, 21 million a coin. 21 million a coin. Okay. So what's that? Like a market cap of like 400 trillion, something like this? 400 trillion.”
Not reached yet (high $82,814 since 2026-04-14); 2031-04-14 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.
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On X, Saylor declared a regime change for Bitcoin: 'Bitcoin has won... The four-year cycle is dead. Price is now driven by capital flows. Bank and digital credit will determine Bitcoin's growth trajectory.' A timing/regime call that the classic four-year halving cycle no longer governs BTC price.
“Bitcoin has won. Global consensus is that $BTC is digital capital. The four-year cycle is dead. Price is now driven by capital flows. Bank and digital credit will determine Bitcoin’s growth trajectory. The biggest risk is bad ideas driving iatrogenic protocol changes.”
Regime/timing claim that the four-year cycle is dead has no deadline and is a long-horizon thesis that remains undetermined as of 2026-06-30.
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Amid a February 2026 market drawdown (BTC ~$67-68k), Saylor posted a binary all-or-nothing directional call on X: if Bitcoin is not going to zero, it is going to a million dollars per coin.
“If Bitcoin's Not Going To Zero, It's Going To A Million”
Open-ended 'not zero then a million' call with no deadline; BTC at $58,161 is nowhere near $1M and the long/indefinite horizon has not elapsed.
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2026 is going to be a great year for Bitcoin.
“I think 2026 is going to be a great year for Bitcoin.”
2026-good-year call (deadline 2026-12-31) window not elapsed; BTC has fallen from $91,188 to $58,161 but a year-end recovery remains possible.
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The four-year Bitcoin cycle is dead.
“I mean, I think the four-year cycle is dead.”
Open-ended cycle-structure claim with no horizon. As of 2026-06-20 BTC ~$63,556 with a 2026 drawdown low of $59,073 (2026-06-05), roughly 50% off the 2025-10-06 ATH of $126,296 about 8-9 months after the peak; resembles a classic post-peak bear leg, but a 'four-year cycle is dead' thesis cannot be confirmed or refuted on this timeframe.
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Michael Saylor predicts Bitcoin will reach approximately $13 million per coin by 2045.
“Michael Saylor's predicting 13 million dollars or something by 2045.”
Not reached yet (high $97,964 since 2025-12-16); 2045-12-31 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.
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In the same Money 20/20 / CNBC remarks (Oct 2025), Saylor said he didn't see why Bitcoin wouldn't 'grind up to a million dollars a coin over the next four to eight years' (i.e. by roughly 2029-2033).
“I don't know why it won't grind up to a million dollars a coin over the next four to eight years.”
Not reached yet (high $116,114 since 2025-10-28); 2033-12-31 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.
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In the same Money 20/20 / CNBC remarks (Oct 2025), Saylor reiterated his long-term forecast of ~30% annual appreciation for 20 years, putting Bitcoin on a path toward $20 million per coin (i.e. by ~2045).
“My long-term forecast is that it goes up about 30% a year for the next 20 years, and we're headed towards $20 million Bitcoin.”
Not reached yet (high $116,114 since 2025-10-28); 2045-12-31 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.
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Michael Saylor forecasts Bitcoin will appreciate approximately 29% per year for the next 21 years.
“Bitcoin is going up faster than the S and P forever. And my forecast is depreciates about 29% a year for the next 21 years.”
~29%/yr over 21 years to 2046; the multi-decade window is wide open and undetermined.
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Michael Saylor forecasted a Bitcoin price of $21 million in 21 years at his Prague keynote.
“he forecast a $21 million Bitcoin price in 21 years, which would make Strategy the most valuable company in the world.”
Not reached yet (high $126,296 since 2025-06-23); 2046-12-31 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.
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Speaking at BTC Prague 2025, Saylor raised his long-term target, saying Bitcoin will reach $21 million per coin in 21 years (i.e. by ~2046), up from his prior $13 million-by-2045 forecast.
“I think we're going to be $21 million in 21 years. It's a very special time in the network.”
Not reached yet (high $126,296 since 2025-06-21); 2046-12-31 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.
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Michael Saylor is predicting a Bitcoin price of $13 million per coin.
“Because it's probably going to cost me that $13 million per Bitcoin that sailor is predicting.”
Not reached yet (high $126,296 since 2025-06-16); 2031-06-16 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.
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Michael Saylor believes one Bitcoin will be worth $13 million by the year 2045.
“You have to think in the year 2045, I think a Bitcoin's worth $13 million. So every Bitcoin that you don't buy is a $13 million cost.”
Not reached yet (high $126,296 since 2025-05-08); 2045-12-31 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.
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Saylor implies Bitcoin will reach $1 million per coin, telling Dave Portnoy he can still buy below that level.
“@stoolpresidente You can still buy #bitcoin for less than $1 million per coin, Dave.”
Not reached yet (high $126,296 since 2024-12-05); 2028-12-05 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.
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Bitcoin will reach $13 million per coin by the year 2045.
“my forecast in July was it'll be 7% of the world's capital and grow 29% a year ARR for 21 years, it'll go to 13 million a coin by the year 2045. Probably, you would want to, you would be more bullish today, after November 5.”
Not reached yet (high $126,296 since 2024-11-18); 2045-12-31 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.
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Saylor forecasts Bitcoin will deliver roughly a 25-30% annualized return on average over the next 20 years.
“my my forecast is on average the ARR is gonna be 25, 30% over the next 20 years. So if it if it goes to the worst case for me is it's gotta go up faster and perform better than the S and P index And if the S and P is 10 to 12 then Bitcoin is 20 to 22.”
25-30% annualized over 20 years to 2044; the multi-decade window is wide open and undetermined.
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At the Bitcoin 2024 conference, Saylor raised his long-term Bitcoin forecast, calling for a base case of $13 million per coin by 2045 (a $280 trillion market cap, ~7% of global wealth), an upside bull case of $49 million, and a downside bear case of $3 million. The base case implies a ~29% annual rate of return.
“bitcoin's price rising to $13 million by 2045 ... would require an annual rate of return of 29% ... bitcoin would have a market cap of $280 trillion and account for 7% of global wealth ... bull case ... bitcoin could be worth as much as $49 million and account for 22% of global wealth ... bear case ... a value of $3 million and 2% of global wealth”
Not reached yet (high $126,296 since 2024-07-26); 2045-12-31 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.
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At the MarketWatch 'Best New Ideas in Money' Festival, Saylor said Bitcoin could return to ~$65,000 (its prior high) within four years and reach $500,000 within the next decade (i.e. by ~2032), framing Bitcoin as digital gold set to overtake gold's market cap.
“The next logical step for bitcoin is to replace gold as a non-sovereign store of value asset.”
Not reached yet (high $126,296 since 2022-09-22); 2032-12-31 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.
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On X, Saylor posted his binary all-or-nothing directional thesis: if Bitcoin is not going to zero then it is going to a million. This is the earliest dated X instance of the call (BTC was ~$30k at the time), later repeated in Feb 2026.
“If #bitcoin is not going to zero then it’s going to a million.”
2022 'not zero then a million' call; despite peaking at $126,296, BTC remains far from $1M and the open-ended horizon has not elapsed.