Dan Held

Resolved (6)

• ◐

  $100k Bitcoin. And literally no normies are talking about it yet. Like I've been saying, the bull run is just beginning.

  “$100k Bitcoin. And literally no normies are talking about it yet. Like I’ve been saying, the bull run is just beginning.”

  made 2025-05-11· specificity 0source (x) ↗

  $100k already true at call ($104,138) and pushed to $126,296, but 'bull run just beginning' overstated — it topped and crashed to $58,000.

• ✓

  Bitcoin will eventually break $100,000.

  “I've been around since it was $10. And will be here when I breaks $100k.”

  made 2022-12-25· specificity 24source (x) ↗

  BTC traded as high as $126,296 in [2022-12-25..2025-12-25], reaching the $100,000 target.

• ✗

  Using historical price patterns, bitcoin's price should be between $100,000 to $400,000, with a good four to six months left in the bull run, maybe eight to twelve.

  “We still have a good four to six months left in the bull run, maybe eight to twelve. If we use historical price patterns, bitcoin's price should be between $100,000 to $400,000.”

  made 2021-05-28· by 2022-05-28· specificity 70source (interview) ↗

  BTC's high was only $69,000 through the 2022-05-28 horizon; never reached $100,000.

• ✗

  Bitcoin is in a 'supercycle' that could propel it all the way to $1 million; 'this is a one in a hundred year moment.'

  “Bitcoin (BTC) is currently experiencing a supercycle that could propel it all the way to $1 million ... 'This is a one in a hundred year moment,' according to Dan Held, growth lead at Kraken.”

  made 2021-03-19· specificity 24source (article) ↗

  BTC's high was only $69,000 through the 2023-09-19 horizon; never reached $1,000,000.

• ✓

  Dan Held says Bitcoin will never go below $10,000 again and very likely never below $20,000 again, with $30,000 appearing to be the new floor.

  “I don't think it's ever going under $10,000 ever again. There's a good chance it doesn't go under $20,000. Yeah, I don't think we go under $20,000 ever again. I mean, that's pretty clear to me. $30,000 seem to be the floor that we held, and $20,000 seems impossibly low.”

  made 2021-02-07· specificity 24source (podcast) ↗

  BTC's low was $15,460, held at/above $10,000 (through 2026-02-07).

• ✗

  Dan Held predicts Bitcoin will reach close to $1 million in a supercycle — a KPI he sets for this cycle that no one else is even discussing.

  “Close to a million is what the KPI would be for a super cycle. And why I like it is no one's talking about it. No one even thinks that's possible. And everyone just thinks it's going to do what it did before. It's a very different environment.”

  made 2021-02-02· specificity 24source (podcast) ↗

  BTC's high was only $69,000 through the 2023-08-02 horizon; never reached $1,000,000.