The Bitcoin Therapist
Resolved (7)
- ✗
Bitcoin's current price around $58–62K represents the bear market bottom.
“bottom is in. (will delete if wrong)”
"Bottom is in" at ~$58-62K failed: BTC fell from $59,704 to $58,161 (low $58,000) by as-of, sitting at the lows rather than bouncing.
- ✗
Bitcoin's bear market ended around June 14, 2026, and a new bull run is beginning.
“THE BEAR MARKET JUST ENDED. BUCKLE UP.”
"The bear market just ended" at $65,707: BTC fell ~11% to $58,161 by as-of, contradicting a bull-run start.
- ✓
Bitcoin has already found its cycle bottom near ~$63K and will not make a lower low.
“Bottom is in. Everyone can see it. Stop lying to yourself. The time to accumulate is now.”
BTC fell as low as $57,718 in [2026-06-13..2026-07-01], reaching the $63,000 downside target.
- ✗
Bitcoin's current discounted price will not last — price will rise as SpaceX IPO liquidity subsides.
“Market liquidity was siphoned from Bitcoin, gold, crypto and tech and its being injected directly into SpaceX. Bitcoin is on sale and it's not going to last.”
"On sale, not going to last, price will rise" from $63,563: BTC instead fell to $58,161 (low $58,000); the discount deepened rather than ended.
- ✗
Bitcoin has bottomed and is ready to pump higher from the current ~$60K level.
“The bottom is in. Bitcoin is ready to pump. (if I'm wrong I'm deleting this)”
"Bottom is in, ready to pump" from $61,449: BTC pumped to $67,264 but then broke down to $58,161 (low $58,000), now below the call price at fresh lows.
- ✓
Bitcoin will find its bottom around $60,000.
“Bitcoin will find a bottom around $60,000. Michael Saylor will not get liquidated. STRC will trade at $100 very soon. The Clarity Act will mark the bottom. Institutional adoption will accelerate. You’ll forget there was ever a bear market. Soon $200,000 Bitcoin will seem low.”
BTC fell as low as $57,718 in [2026-06-05..2026-07-01], reaching the $60,000 downside target.
- ✗
$120K Bitcoin by end of week.
“$120K Bitcoin by end of week.”
BTC's high was only $110,829 through the 2025-05-30 horizon; never reached $120,000.
Open (11)
- ⏳
A Bitcoin bull market is imminent.
“The bull market is right around the corner”
"Bull market right around the corner" made 2026-06-28, just 2 days before as-of; price flat-to-down at $58,161, window not elapsed.
- ⏳
Bitcoin at $60,000 will look cheap in hindsight, implying future appreciation.
“Bitcoin at $60,000 is a gift. One day you’ll look back and realize it. Until then, stack like your life depends on it.”
"$60k will look cheap one day" is a long-horizon appreciation call made 2026-06-28; no window elapsed, undetermined.
- ⏳
Based on historical bear market patterns, approximately 6 more months of pain remain, with current prices representing excellent long-term buys.
“History tells us we have 6 more months of pain left to endure in this bear market. The buys you make down here will be your best performances in a couple years.”
"6 more months of pain" deadline 2026-12-23 has not elapsed (as-of 2026-06-30); price fell $62,645->$58,161, consistent with the thesis but window still open.
- ⏳
Bitcoin will enter a new bull run and could do approximately 7x from its current ~$1.2 trillion market cap (~$64K price), still far below gold's total market cap.
“Would this really be that hard to believe? Bitcoin doing 7x from a $1.2 trillion dollar market cap is still $20 trillion less than gold. Expand your horizons. The bull is coming.”
"The bull is coming, 7x possible" is a long-horizon open-ended call; no window elapsed and outcome undetermined.
- ⏳
Bitcoin's cycle bottom is close and will be reached imminently from the current ~$65K level.
“My god look how far we've deviated since October 10th — it changed everything. Bottom is close. Not much longer now.”
"Bottom is close, not much longer" (open-ended) made at $63,475; price fell to $58,000 lows with no confirmed bottom, outcome still undetermined.
- ⏳
Bitcoin will find a cycle bottom within roughly 6 months of June 2026, after which buyers at current prices will be glad they accumulated.
“6 more months of pain to endure. Stack regularly, stack often. We will find a bottom and you will be glad you never stopped allocating. Pain is only temporary.”
"Find a cycle bottom within ~6 months" deadline 2026-12-18 has not elapsed; bottom not yet confirmed, window still open.
- ⏳
A quant model signals the Bitcoin bear market bottom is near from the current ~$65K level.
“My quant has spoken. Bottom is near.”
"Bottom is near" (open-ended timing) made at $64,446; BTC fell to $58,000 lows with no confirmed bottom yet, but a bottom near current lows remains undetermined.
- ⏳
Bitcoin buyers at current prices (~$60K) will be thankful in 12 months as price will be significantly higher.
“We're in a bear market. Stack your ass off. You will be thankful 12 months from now.”
"Thankful 12 months from now" deadline 2027-06-10 has not elapsed; outcome undetermined.
- ⏳
After a short consolidation, Bitcoin will rally back above $100,000.
“A short correction while the market consolidates followed by a larger and more aggressive rally back above $100,000.”
Not reached yet (high $81,650 since 2026-05-15); 2027-02-15 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.
- ⏳
Bitcoin will hit $240,000 by 2028 (a 4x from current levels).
“$240,000 by 2028 would be a 4x return”
Not reached yet (high $82,450 since 2026-05-10); 2028-12-31 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.
- ⏳
Bitcoin will see a V-shaped recovery to $180,000 within roughly 18 months.
“This TA is saying Bitcoin won’t make it back to all time highs until at after 2028... I simply don’t see how we remain under $100,000 for another 18 months. In fact, I’m quite bullish on a V shaped recovery to $180,000.”
Not reached yet (high $82,450 since 2026-05-09); 2027-11-09 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.