Eric Weiss
Resolved (1)
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Bitcoin's recent correlation with equities won't last; a divergence is coming and it won't be subtle. As the tariff war escalates and stocks bleed, Wall Street will eventually realize there's an alternative: bitcoin. The moment capital truly pivots, BTC doesn't just hold up, it outperforms dramatically.
“Bitcoin's recent correlation with equities won't last. A divergence is coming and it won't be subtle. ... As the tariff war escalates and stocks bleed, Wall Street will eventually realize there's an alternative: bitcoin. No earnings risk. No geopolitics. Just math. The moment capital truly pivots, BTC doesn't just hold up, it outperforms dramatically.”
From $83,860 (Apr 2025) BTC did rally to $126,296 (a dramatic move), but by as_of it has fallen back to $58,161 alongside the same risk-asset weakness — the durable decorrelation/outperformance thesis is not borne out.
Open (2)
- ⏳
Bitcoin will reach higher highs in the future, above its 2025 ATH of $126k.
“Bitcoin hit an all time high of $126,000 in 2025. Bitcoin will reach higher highs in the future.”
Open-ended 'higher highs in the future' with no deadline; the multi-year horizon has not passed as of 2026-07-06, even though BTC has not yet exceeded the $126,296 Oct-2025 ATH.
- ⏳
Bitcoin will reach $1,100,000, at which point it flips gold's market cap.
“At $1,100,000 Bitcoin will flip gold. Feels inevitable. Bitcoin 🚀”
Not reached yet (high $126,296 since 2025-05-08); 2029-05-08 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-06.