Caitlin Long
Resolved (1)
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If the past is prologue, we'll have a big bull market next year (i.e. a big Bitcoin bull market in 2024), with Custodia positioned ahead of it and the Bitcoin halving coming in April.
“If the past is prologue, we'll have a big bull market next year”
Predicted a big 2024 bull market; BTC ran from $44,193 to $108,389 by the 2024-12-31 deadline — a clear bull market materialized.
Open (2)
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Caitlin Long believes Bitcoin will eventually become a world reserve currency, completing the sixth network effect of financialization.
“Sixth network effect, which is financialization headed towards world reserve currency. And I believe we will get there with Bitcoin.”
Bitcoin-as-world-reserve-currency is a multi-decade adoption thesis with no deadline; not achieved and the window is far from elapsed.
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Expects Bitcoin to move up at some point, partially driven by the move in gold ("gold goes first, Bitcoin runs hardest").
“And also, like Larry says, gold goes first, Bitcoin runs hardest. I do expect at some point there to be a move in Bitcoin, partially because of this move in gold.”
Open-ended 'at some point' up-move driven by gold; from made-day $84,513 BTC fell to $57,717 (7/1) with high only $89,210 — no material up-move yet, but there is no deadline and the long-term window is open.