Changpeng Zhao (CZ)
Resolved (2)
- ✗
Amid BTC's drop to ~$60K, CZ urged calm: 'Bitcoin won't be "dead" for too long. Don't panic, in large friendly letters.' He called the ~$60K level a normal cyclical winter driven by 'mass psychology,' still 3-4x above the 2022 ~$16,000 low — implying recovery (a directional/recovery call).
“Bitcoin won't be 'dead' for too long. Don't panic, in large friendly letters.”
Recovery/'won't be dead for long' call from $61,686; BTC instead kept falling to $58,161 (low $58,000) as of as_of, a fresh local low — no recovery materialized.
- ✗
Bitcoin will probably break its historic four-year cycle this year and enter a 'supercycle' in 2026, driven by US pro-crypto policy and other countries following suit: 'I have very strong feelings it will probably be a supercycle in 2026 for Bitcoin.'
“normally bitcoin follows four year cycles [...] but I think this year given the U.S. being so pro-crypto and every other country is kind of following ... We will probably break the four year cycle. I have very strong feelings that there will probably be a supercycle (this year).”
Predicted a 2026 'supercycle' breaking the four-year cycle; instead BTC fell from $89,475 to $58,161 (low $58,000), down ~35% on the year — a cyclical bear, the opposite of a supercycle, with the window nearly elapsed and no upside.
Open (3)
- ⏳
Bitcoin could hit a million bucks in the next few years; 'half a million to a million, it's not crazy when you think about the supply cap and demand.'
“Bitcoin could hit a million bucks in the next few years, I'm not kidding...Half a million to a million, it's not crazy when you think about the supply cap and demand.”
Not reached yet (high $126,296 since 2025-05-07); 2027-11-07 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.
- ⏳
Bitcoin could climb to anywhere between $500,000 and $1 million this cycle, with total crypto market cap reaching $5 trillion by year-end; '$500,000 is probably a safer bet in the midterm.'
“Bitcoin could climb to anywhere between $500,000 and $1 million this cycle ... He didn't offer a specific timeline for the cycle.”
Not reached yet (high $126,296 since 2025-05-06); 2027-11-06 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.
- ⏳
Posted on X a mock future headline: 'Waiting for the new headline: #Bitcoin "CRASHES" from $1,001,000 to $985,000' — hinting BTC will reach ~$1 million 'over time' (echoing his 2020 $100K hint that later played out).
“Waiting for the new headline: #Bitcoin "CRASHES" from $1,001,000 to $985,000.”
Not reached yet (high $126,296 since 2025-02-25); 2029-02-25 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.