Michaël van de Poppe
Resolved (24)
- ✗
If Bitcoin breaks back above $62,500 it reclaims the 200-week MA, which is a crucial bullish trigger that could happen within 48 hours.
“If #Bitcoin manages to break back above $62,500, it's back above the 200-Week MA and that's a crucial trigger (this can happen fastly in the coming 48 hours as well).”
Needed a break above $62,500 within 48h (by 2026-06-29); high_by_deadline was only $60,839, so $62,500 was never reclaimed in the window.
- ◐
If STRC bounces back strongly, Bitcoin will not revisit below $60,000 and will close the week above the 200-week MA.
“If that bounces back fiercely, I would assume that we won't revisit <$60K and close above the 200-Week MA this week. That's the”
BTC dipped to $58,000 in [2026-06-25..2026-06-28] — a minor break (within 3.3%) of the $60,000 floor.
- ✗
If Bitcoin breaks back above $66,000 the probability of the cycle low being in increases and a rally to $80–85K in the following quarter becomes likely.
“If this happens again coming week, and we'll break back above $66,000, the chances of the low to be in and the markets ot rally back to $80-85K in the coming quarter has increased.”
Conditioned on breaking above $66,000 then rallying to $80-85K by Q3; high_by_deadline only $65,553 (never broke $66K) and price fell to $58,161 — neither the trigger nor the target band was reached.
- ✗
If Bitcoin holds $64,000 as support it will rally to $74,000–$79,000; if it fails to hold, new lows will be tested.
“If Bitcoin fails to hold above $64,000, we'll be testing new lows. If it does hold above $64,000, I assume we'll be seeing $74-79,000 as the next target zone and it”
BTC failed to hold $64,000 (low_since_made $58,000) and never reached the $74-79K target zone (high_since_made only $66,944); the 'test new lows' branch played out instead.
- ✗
If Bitcoin holds its support zone, two weeks of upward momentum follow and a test of $61K is avoided.
“If history repeats itself, that means that we're going to see two great weeks of upwards momentum for #Bitcoin and the end of this correction. It's a crucial support zone for Bitcoin, which needs to hold in order to prevent a test at $61,000 to happen.”
Predicted two weeks of upward momentum and avoiding a $61K test if support held; high_since_made only $74,157 (barely above $73,575) then fell through $61K to $58,000 — the correction continued and $61K test happened.
- ◐
Bitcoin will not make new lows and will not fall beneath $61K.
“#Bitcoin is at a pivotal level, and if it doesn't hold, we're buying at <$65K. I don't think we'll see new lows. That would put Bitcoin beneath $61K and that's where the 200-Day MA is at, doesn't make sense to go deeper as it doesn't happy in any market cycle.”
BTC dipped to $57,718 in [2026-05-30..2026-07-01] — a minor break (within 5.4%) of the $61,000 floor.
- ✗
If a Middle East peace deal lands, Bitcoin breaks back above $80K.
“I think #Bitcoin is ready for higher grounds. If there's going to be a peace deal in the coming days in the Middle East; - Oil goes down. - Yields go down. - Risk on assets will do well. - #Bitcoin breaks above $80k+ again.”
Predicted BTC breaks back above $80K; high_since_made was only $78,015 and price subsequently fell to $58,161 — $80K never reclaimed.
- ✓
Bitcoin will see $85-88K in May before correcting/consolidating.
“Such a massive crash on $BTC earlier. I'm kidding. The markets are still shaping up for more upside, and it's still holding crucial levels. I think that we'll see $85-88K in May and correct/consolidate from there.”
BTC traded as high as $82,814 in [2026-04-27..2026-05-28], reaching the $85,000 target (within 2.6% — near-miss counted).
- ✓
Bitcoin should continue to $85-88K over the next 1-2 weeks as long as $73-75K holds.
“We tested the $79K area and fell back slightly. Quite some normal price action on #Bitcoin, and I don't think we'll cascade down from here. I'd much rather see a continuation to $85-88K over the next 1-2 weeks, as long as $73-75K holds.”
BTC traded as high as $82,814 in [2026-04-23..2026-07-01], reaching the $85,000 target (within 2.6% — near-miss counted).
- ✓
If Bitcoin breaks $75K with volume, it will reach $80-85K this month.
“#Bitcoin aims to attack the highs and is consolidating around $75K. If it blasts through $75K with volume, we'll be in for $80-85K this month, as that's where the higher timeframe resistances are.”
BTC traded as high as $79,523 in [2026-04-14..2026-04-28], reaching the $80,000 target (within 0.6% — near-miss counted).
- ✓
Bitcoin is lining up for a breakout, with an immediate move to $80K in the coming weeks as the base case.
“Essentially, I think that we're lining up for breakouts upwards on $BTC. To get there, I have three scenarios that could play out. Scenario 1 - Immediate breakout to $80k in coming weeks (35%)”
BTC traded as high as $82,814 in [2026-04-13..2026-07-01], reaching the $80,000 target.
- ✓
A test at $80K is still on the cards for Bitcoin while the $69.5-70K support holds.
“#Bitcoin remains looking for higher levels. If I see this chart, then from a technical standpoint, I would suggest that a test at $80K is still on the cards. The markets are holding onto the crucial support level at $69.5-70K and that's the area that I think is vital to avoid a”
BTC traded as high as $82,814 in [2026-04-10..2026-07-01], reaching the $80,000 target.
- ✗
Bitcoin is not going to go down much more from here.
“There's a stronger case to be made that $BTC isn't going to go down much more. Yes, if you perfectly look at the only variable: the 4-year cycle, markets should bottom in October '26. However, the volatility upwards has been lower than expected, thus the markets downside will”
Claimed BTC isn't going down much more from $72,998; it fell substantially to $58,161 (low $58,000), a ~20% further decline.
- ✓
As long as Bitcoin holds these ranges, a strong upward leg toward $80K is on the horizon.
“As long as #Bitcoin continues to hold these ranges, there's a strong new upwards leg on the horizon towards $80K.”
BTC traded as high as $82,814 in [2026-04-09..2026-07-01], reaching the $80,000 target.
- ✓
If the ceasefire is sustained, Bitcoin will see a quick run to $80K.
“Good stuff happening on the markets, in which I assume that we'll consolidate and continue upwards. #Bitcoin does provide a short correction, but there's literally nothing to worry. If the ceasefire is sustained and calmth comes back, I think we'll see a quick run to $80K in”
BTC traded as high as $82,814 in [2026-04-08..2026-07-01], reaching the $80,000 target.
- ✓
If Bitcoin breaks $71K, markets are in for a test at $80K.
“Pretty strong momentum on the markets of #Bitcoin. Volatility picking up, and I think it's fireworks during this week as we might be getting to the end stage of the entire situation in the Strait of Hormuz. If #Bitcoin breaks $71K, then markets are in for a test at $80K.”
BTC traded as high as $82,814 in [2026-04-06..2026-07-01], reaching the $80,000 target.
- ✗
Bitcoin to soar to an astonishing $500,000 in 2025, before an inevitable and sudden market crash (a 'crypto bubble' in 2025).
“His latest pronouncements, made today, October 7, 2025, on X (formerly Twitter)... predicting a monumental 'crypto bubble' in 2025 that could see Bitcoin (BTC) soar to an astonishing $500,000, Ethereum (ETH) hit $20,000, and altcoins deliver 10-20x returns, all before an inevitable and sudden market crash.”
BTC's high was only $125,226 through the 2025-12-31 horizon; never reached $500,000.
- ✗
The current crypto cycle will not peak in the coming months and is expected to run substantially longer and higher; the traditional four-year cycle is over/history.
“According to his tweet on August 25, 2025, this cycle will extend substantially longer and reach higher price levels than many anticipate, effectively rendering the traditional four-year cycle obsolete.”
Claimed cycle would run substantially longer and higher and not peak in coming months; instead BTC topped at $126,296 shortly after (Aug 2025 spot $110,128) and crashed to $58,161 by mid-2026 — it peaked and declined, not extended higher.
- ✓
Bitcoin needs to take all the liquidity. That's what we're currently doing. Ultimate bottom case? $83,000-87,000. Then we should be rotating upwards.
“Bitcoin needs to take all the liquidity. That's what we're currently doing. Ultimate bottom case? $83,000-87,000. Then we should be rotating upwards.”
BTC fell as low as $74,421 in [2025-02-26..2025-11-26], reaching the $83,000 downside target.
- ✗
Within this year [2025], we're going to see Bitcoin breaking through $150,000 and stay there for a little while until we can start expanding into 2026.
“So I think that within this year, we're going to see Bitcoin breaking through $150,000 and stay there for a little while until we can start expanding into 2026.”
BTC's high was only $126,296 through the 2025-12-31 horizon; never reached $150,000.
- ✓
I do not expect Bitcoin to peak in 2025... the cycles are going to extend and they are more based on macro perspectives rather than the four-year cycle with halvings.
“I do not expect Bitcoin to peak in 2025 because I expect that there's way more money needed to actually move Bitcoin upwards... That's why I think that the cycles are going to extend and they are more based on macro perspectives rather than the four-year cycle with halvings.”
Predicted BTC would NOT peak in 2025; the 2025 high of $126,296 has been exceeded by no higher print and price fell to $58,161 by mid-2026, but the claim was about timing — peak did not occur within 2025 window as the deadline elapsed; price never made a new ATH peak confined to 2025 and the cycle clearly extended past it.
- ✗
Peak high bull cycle prediction: Bitcoin to $350,000-$450,000.
“Reminder, peak high bull cycle prediction; #Bitcoin to $350,000-450,000 #Ethereum to $10,000-17,500 #Polkadot to $250-350 ...”
BTC's high was only $73,836 through the 2024-06-01 horizon; never reached $350,000.
- ✓
We're going to get into this range between $65,000 to $85,000. That is where I'm expecting us to be landing... at the end of 2021.
“[It's not unhealthy] that we're going to get into this range between $65,000 to $85,000. That is where I'm expecting us to be landing, which we're going to be at this stage at the end of 2021.”
BTC traded as high as $69,000 in [2021-01-02..2021-12-31], reaching the $65,000 target.
- ✗
During 2022, we are going to accelerate and have a run towards probably $200,000 to $300,000 and then we're topping out for this cycle.
“During 2022, we are going to accelerate and have a run towards probably $200,000 to $300,000 and then we're topping out for this cycle.”
BTC's high was only $69,000 through the 2022-12-31 horizon; never reached $200,000.
Open (18)
- ⏳
If Bitcoin breaks the $61,000 resistance, it will move strongly to the $65,000 area and potentially higher.
“Nothing has changed on #Bitcoin so far. Still acting beneath a crucial resistance zone, which equals the impact of the 200-Week MA. If this $61,000 level breaks, we'll likely see a strong move upwards to the $65,000 area and potentially even higher.”
Conditional on a $61K break; resolves true if BTC then reaches the $65K area.
- ⏳
Bitcoin is very likely to break upwards through $61,000 from here.
“This is a good start of the week for #Bitcoin. Nothing is confirmed yet, although it's very likely that we'll be breaking upwards from here through $61,000. The bullish divergences are still applicable here, indicating that there's the upside ready to come.”
Resolves true if BTC breaks upwards through $61,000 following this call.
- ⏳
If STRC continues falling with no bounce, Bitcoin will likely drop below $52,000.
“If $STRC has no appetite of bouncing back, we'll probably see <$52K (as mentioned earlier). If it”
Not reached yet (low $57,718 since 2026-06-25); 2027-06-25 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.
- ⏳
If Bitcoin reclaims $65,000 and the 21-week MA, it will avoid a further cascade down and rally toward $79,000 over the summer.
“If these happen, we'll avoid another cascade down and have a great summer with upwards momentum all the way towards $79,000. If this won't happen in coming days”
Not reached yet (high $63,156 since 2026-06-24); 2026-09-28 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.
- ⏳
Conditional on BTC holding the range support and fighting the 21-day MA, the next targets are $74,000 then $79,000.
“If that happens, the next targets are quite clear for me: - $74,000 - $79,000 Given the strong momentum in”
Not reached yet (high $66,384 since 2026-06-17); 2027-03-17 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.
- ⏳
If Bitcoin breaks through $63,300 and $65,800 the targets are $75,000 and $79,000 (CME gaps).
“Break through the areas at $63.3K and $65.8K and we'll be looking at a lot more upside. I'd have targets at $75K and $79K (CME Gaps) if that's the case.”
Not reached yet (high $67,264 since 2026-06-11); 2027-06-11 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.
- ⏳
If Bitcoin breaks above $65,000 it will trigger a strong run to $72,000–$74,000.
“#Bitcoin is stalling beneath $65K as breaking that level would trigger a strong run to $72-74K. The $65K support level was the previous level of support after the crash early in February and is now acting as the resistance to break through.”
Not reached yet (high $67,264 since 2026-06-09); 2027-06-09 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.
- ⏳
If Bitcoin grinds upward into the CLARITY Act vote, a fast move to $90K within days is likely.
“This can literally go both ways. If this continues to grind upwards, with the upcoming CLARITY Act tomorrow, I would assume we might see a fast move to $90K in a matter of days for #Bitcoin. The build-up is sincerely strong.”
Not reached yet (high $82,066 since 2026-05-13); 2027-02-13 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.
- ⏳
Bitcoin has more upside and may be testing $90K.
“The question is: How long does #Bitcoin continue to go up, to give #Altcoins space to continue to run? Well, as long as the daily 21-MA acts beneath the current price, there's more legroom to go. I do think that we'll have more upside and that we might be testing the $90K”
Not reached yet (high $82,450 since 2026-05-09); 2027-02-09 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.
- ⏳
Bitcoin's bottom is in and it has room to run up to $90-95K.
“#Bitcoin bottom is in & it has room to $90-95K to run. If we look at historical data, the chances of a lower leg are there, but relatively small. Everything that had to happen to #Bitcoin's price, has happened. - Broke beneath 50-Week MA - Dropped to the 200-Week MA”
Not reached yet (high $82,814 since 2026-05-01); 2027-05-01 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.
- ⏳
Bitcoin will continue its bounce toward $93-95K (the 50-Week MA).
“I expect #Bitcoin to continue its bounce towards $93-95K. That's where the first rally, after the end of the bear market, goes to: the 50-Week MA. I do think that we've peaked in December '24 and that we've finished the bear market in February '26.”
Not reached yet (high $82,814 since 2026-05-01); 2027-05-01 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.
- ⏳
Expect a long Bitcoin bull run in 2027/2028 that marks the end of the risk-on period.
“I do think we're on edge of a massive financial crisis. However, it's going to take some time before it starts. Would expect to see a long bull run on #Bitcoin in 2027/2028 first. That high on Bitcoin will likely be the end of the entire risk-on period and we'll go in a crisis”
Predicts a long bull run in 2027/2028; window (deadline 2028) has not elapsed and outcome is undetermined as of 2026-06-30.
- ⏳
If Bitcoin breaks $79K it opens the path to $86-89K, and a break of that level too means $100K+.
“Some great momentum on $BTC lately, however there are some crucial levels to consider: - Break $79K = opening the gates towards the $86-89K area. If that second level breaks too = $100k+ happening. This will take time.”
Not reached yet (high $82,814 since 2026-04-26); 2027-01-26 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.
- ⏳
The most bullish scenario is a Bitcoin breakout to $100K in the coming period.
“The most bullish scenario for #Bitcoin would be this breakout to $100K in the coming period. The reason for this is that it invalidates essentially every bearish retest scenario and clearly makes a new higher high.”
Not reached yet (high $82,814 since 2026-04-26); 2027-01-26 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.
- ⏳
Bitcoin has room to continue this leg up to $86K.
“Upwards moves can last longer than you generally expect. #Bitcoin collapsed from $100K+ to $60K in less than 2 months. Currently, there's a slow grind higher after a V-shaped recovery in the Nasdaq. I think this leg has enough room to continue to $86K, and #Altcoins to run”
Not reached yet (high $82,814 since 2026-04-23); 2027-01-23 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.
- ⏳
Bitcoin will trade 30-60% above its low within 3-6 months, putting $100K on the map in Q3 2026.
“Statistically, after such a correction of #Bitcoin, a new ATH is made within 12 months. Within 3-6 months, on every occassion of such an outlier, Bitcoin was trading 30-60% higher than the low. That would put $100K on the map in Q3 of 2026.”
Not reached yet (high $82,814 since 2026-04-20); 2026-09-28 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.
- ⏳
This bear market won't take Bitcoin down to $30K.
“This bear market won't go to $30K for #Bitcoin. The current market sentiment has seen the longest period with the #Altcoin fear & greed index<10. A lot of people are questioning whether or not the cycle will last and whether there's an actual use case for $BTC.”
BTC's low was $57,718, held at/above $30,000 (through 2026-07-01).
- ⏳
I do believe that we'll see Bitcoin above $200,000-$250,000 this cycle. I don't think that the cycle is over. I think it barely started.
“I do believe that we'll see Bitcoin above $200,000-$250,000 this cycle. ... I don't think that the cycle is over. I think it barely started.”
Not reached yet (high $126,296 since 2025-03-01); 2027-09-01 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.