Pentoshi
Resolved (9)
- ✗
Bitcoin needs to reclaim the 84,000–86,000 area on higher time frames for true price expansion.
“We got the 80k push on $BTC. Whether this ends up as a macro LH is yet to be determined. But long term I don't think it's a bad spot with quite a bit of patience. Right now I think it's more important to reclaim a prev level if we want true expansion. For example 84-86k area HTF”
Needed reclaim of 84-86k for expansion; high_since_made was only 82,814 — never reached 84k, and price subsequently collapsed to 58,000.
- ✗
Bitcoin is likely to reach the 74,000–80,000 range within the next week.
“Looking pretty good there on that $BTC weekly close. This continues to remain true. 74-80k in this next week very likely.”
Predicted 74-80k within the week (by 2026-03-23); high_by_deadline was only 76,023 — it touched the lower edge but the 74-80k band as a target was not reached in full and price fell to low 67,332; spot was already 74,886 at made, so this was effectively unmet. Band top (80k) never hit by deadline.
- ✓
Bitcoin targets of 74,000–80,000 remain on the table and look increasingly promising.
“74-80k still on the table, and it continues to look more and more promising for $BTC There has even been more of an institutional bid again for the first time in weeks.”
74-80k target band: BTC rallied from 69,961 to a high of 82,814 since made, trading fully through the 74-80k range.
- ✓
Bitcoin's original upside targets of 74,000–80,000 remain valid and have not been invalidated.
“Still believe this to be true, and still sitting in this at an average entry of 68.5k. Original targets were 74-80k. Didn't sell any at 74k when I had the chance. But the original ideas, are not invalidated on $BTC”
74-80k targets: from 68,432 BTC reached high of 82,814, trading through the entire 74-80k band.
- ◐
Bitcoin will retest the $74k-$80k range within the next two weeks
“Think $BTC will retest 74-80k in the next 2 weeks. If we get there, we can re-evaluate. But thats where I think we are heading personally.”
In the 2026-02-21→03-07 window BTC only grazed the $74k edge (high $74,100 on 2026-03-04) and closed at $67,260, never trading dominantly in the $74-80k range.
- ✗
'I think it's possible we see $BTC at 180k by the end of 2025' (a ~277% move from then-current ~$48k), citing ETF flows and BTC's fixed supply.
“This is beautiful. I think it's possible we see $BTC at 180k by the end of 2025. Keep in mind, it's just a guess.”
BTC's high was only $126,296 through the 2025-12-31 horizon; never reached $180,000.
- ✓
Bitcoin would not make new lows until Q1-Q2 2023 ('No new lows until Q1-2 2023 imo'); those looking for new lows in 2022 unlikely to get them.
“No new lows until Q1-2 2023 Imo. ... These would be the most obvious extremes ranges that I think we can cover in 2023 for $btc.”
No new lows by Q1-2 2023: against the prior $15,460 cycle low, the low by deadline (2023-06-30) was $16,273 — no new lows were made.
- ✗
Identified ~$12,000 as the most obvious low-end 'extreme' range for BTC in 2023 (downside scenario).
“the $12,000-mark will be the lowest point for Bitcoin in 2023”
Called $12,000 as the 2023 low; BTC's low by deadline (2023-12-31) was $16,273 and never reached $12,000.
- ✓
Bitcoin must reclaim $58k or 2022 will be a 'crab year of PvP trading'; expects 2022 to be sideways/lower than the consensus '22 > 21/20' view, citing slowing onboarding, more supply, tapering and rate hikes.
“$BTC must reclaim 58k simply put. If not then = crab year of PvP trading. ... a year of PvP markets where true traders win”
Conditional: fail to reclaim $58k means a down/crab 2022 lower than the bull consensus; BTC never reclaimed $58k and crashed to $15,460, confirming the bearish directional call.
Open (4)
- ⏳
Bitcoin's downside is probably around $48k; the next decade is a supercycle that will produce the largest bubble in human history.
“So here is a little bit of framework thinking on bitcoin:native Is the bottom in? Maybe. A great sign of course is one of the most reliable signs of all time. That it stops reacting to negative news. We aren't quite there yet. The downside imo is prob 48k ish. So, nothing real”
Not reached yet (low $57,718 since 2026-06-25); 2031-06-25 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-06.
- ⏳
Bitcoin could trade as high as $180,000 'between this year and next' (i.e. 2026-2027), with confirmation likely once BTC clears the mid-$80,000s and holds.
“Bitcoin could trade as high as $180,000 between this year and next ... once BTC clears the mid-$80,000s and holds, the chances of seeing new highs are quite high.”
Not reached yet (high $82,814 since 2026-05-04); 2027-12-31 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-06.
- ⏳
'$180,000 still in 2026 at the latest in my opinion' and 'eventually one day over $1 million' for a single BTC (made with BTC ~$97k).
“Eventually one day over $1 million. If you zoom out and think bigger. ... $180,000 still in 2026 at the latest in my opinion. Eventually higher than we all imagined.”
Not reached yet (high $126,296 since 2024-11-24); 2026-12-31 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-06.
- ⏳
Eventually a single BTC will trade 'over $1 million' (no deadline, long-horizon view).
“Eventually one day over $1 million. If you zoom out and think bigger.”
Explicitly long-horizon 'eventually over $1M' with no deadline; high since made only $126,296, window not elapsed.