Carl Runefelt
Resolved (11)
- ✗
Bitcoin has hit the cycle bottom.
“THIS IS THE BOTTOM!!!”
Called "THIS IS THE BOTTOM" at $59,704; BTC then made a lower low of $58,000 and sits at $58,161 — the called bottom was broken.
- ✗
Bitcoin bull market is starting now (June 16, 2026).
“BITCOIN BULL MARKET STARTING NOW !!!!!!”
Declared the bull market "starting now" at $65,617; BTC fell ~11% to $58,161 (high only $66,944) — no bull market started.
- ✓
BTC could go for another low before the bottom, representing peak capitulation.
“$BTC could probably go for another low. This'll be the peak capitulation before the bottom.”
Said BTC could go for another low before the bottom; from $63,563 it made a lower low of $58,000 — the predicted further low occurred.
- ◐
BTC dips below its multi-cycle support then runs back up to new all-time highs.
“$BTC is exactly at its multi-cycle support uptrend. Maybe we get a deviation below it to scare the last remaining bulls. Then it runs back up, turbo, to new highs.”
Deviation below support happened (low $58,000) but the 'runs back up to new all-time highs' leg never came — high since made only $74,157 vs prior ATH ~$126K, and price sits at the low ($58,161).
- ✓
Over the next few weeks BTC grabs liquidity around $81K then flushes down to $70K-$72K.
“This is how $BTC could play out over the next few weeks. - Grab liquidity around $81K - Trap late longs - Liquidation flush to $70K-$72K”
Grabbed liquidity near $81K (high $82,814 from $77,364) then flushed down through the $70K-$72K zone (low $58,000).
- ✗
Bitcoin has bottomed.
“BITCOIN HAS BOTTOMED… You Already Missed It.”
Called the bottom at $77,098 but BTC fell well below to $58,000 (current $58,161).
- ✓
BTC pumps to ~$75K, gets rejected, then drops to ~$66K.
“$BTC has 2 decent liquidity clusters here. First, I expect a Bitcoin pump to $75K level. After that, BTC will likely get rejected and could drop all the way down to the $66K level before any bounceback.”
Pumped past ~$75K (high $82,814 from $70,755) then dropped through the ~$66K level (low $58,000).
- ◐
Bitcoin has bottomed and will not fall to $30,000.
“My hairdresser just told me Bitcoin will fall to $30,000. THIS. IS. THE. BOTTOM.”
Bottom call wrong — fell from $68,108 to $58,000 — but the specific '$30,000' floor he dismissed did hold (low only $58,000).
- ◐
Crypto has already entered a bear market (assessed via collapsing crypto-YouTube view counts), and he is 50/50 on whether 2026 goes up or down.
“Crypto has already entered a bear market, claims influencer and entrepreneur Carl The Moon Runefelt. ... I'm actually like 50-50, either we go high, or we don't like, I'm very confused with 2026.”
"Already in a bear market" (and 50/50 on 2026); net down from $66,208 to $58,161, but it first rallied +25% to $82,814 — mixed.
- ✗
Carl Runefelt's Bitcoin price target is $300,000 per coin by year-end (2025).
“His price target remains $300,000 per coin by year-end.”
BTC's high was only $126,296 through the 2025-12-31 horizon; never reached $300,000.
- ✗
If Bitcoin does not hit $100,000 before the end of this year (2022) then I'll delete my Twitter.
“If #Bitcoin does not hit $100,000 before the end of this year then I'll delete my Twitter…”
BTC's high was only $48,240 through the 2022-12-31 horizon; never reached $100,000.
Open (9)
- ⏳
The bull market will return in 2027.
“Crypto is underperforming everything else. Bye bye boring crypto. I'm into racing now. See you in the bull market in 2027. Until then, I'm out.”
Bull-market-in-2027 window has not elapsed (as_of 2026-06-30); outcome undetermined.
- ⏳
Bitcoin is going to $6 million per coin eventually. This dip is temporary. Buy it.
“Bitcoin is going to $6 million per coin eventually. This dip is temporary. Buy it.”
Not reached yet (high $67,264 since 2026-06-06); 2031-06-06 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.
- ⏳
Bitcoin will eventually reach $6 million per coin.
“Bitcoin is going to $6 million per coin eventually. This dip is temporary. Buy it.”
Not reached yet (high $67,264 since 2026-06-06); 2031-06-06 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.
- ⏳
Bitcoin will reach $3 million.
“Michael Saylor will be fine. When Bitcoin goes to $3 million he will be the richest person on earth, after Satoshi.”
Not reached yet (high $67,264 since 2026-06-04); 2032-06-04 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.
- ⏳
BTC drops below $60,000 then pumps toward $300,000 this decade.
“$BTC is doing exactly what Gold did in the 1970s. This means a drop below $60,000 and then a pump towards $300,000 this d[ecade]”
Not reached yet (high $82,450 since 2026-05-08); 2031-05-08 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.
- ⏳
Bitcoin is going to $6 million.
“BITCOIN IS GOING TO $6M 📢”
Not reached yet (high $82,814 since 2026-04-21); 2032-04-21 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.
- ⏳
He's still calling for a million-dollar Bitcoin in the next 5 years.
“He's still calling for a million-dollar Bitcoin in the next 5 years.”
Not reached yet (high $126,296 since 2025-04-11); 2030-04-11 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.
- ⏳
I think that BTC is never going back down below $10,000.
“I think that BTC is never going back down below $10,000.”
BTC's low was $15,460, held at/above $10,000 (through 2026-07-01).
- ⏳
It's very likely that Bitcoin is going way above a million dollars. I think that even $10 million is where BTC is going.
“I would suggest that it's very likely that Bitcoin is going way above a million dollars. I think that even $10 million is where BTC is going.”
Not reached yet (high $126,296 since 2022-03-31); 2027-03-28 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.