il Capo of Crypto
Resolved (18)
- ◐
A local bottom is forming at $60k with a triple tap pattern; bullish confirmation comes first above $66k, then above $82k.
“$60k tested again. Just like the cycle top in October, with a triple tap at 123k... ...an important local bottom could be forming here, with a triple tap at 60k. First bullish confirmation above 66k, second above 82k. Good times ahead imo.”
BTC dipped to $57,718 in [2026-06-26..2026-07-01] — a minor break (within 3.8%) of the $60,000 floor.
- ◐
Bitcoin may retest $60k–$62k one more time but a clear local bottom is forming across the crypto market.
“Potential last retest of $60k - $62k, but this looks like a clear local bottom formation across the entire crypto market. Have a good Sunday!”
BTC dipped to $57,718 in [2026-06-21..2026-07-01] — a minor break (within 3.8%) of the $60,000 floor.
- ✗
$65,000 has been reclaimed; the next key level to regain is $69,000-$70,000. (Rare near-term bullish-leaning call.)
“$65,000 has been reclaimed. The next key level to regain is $69,000-$70,000.”
Said $65k reclaimed and next level to regain is $69k-$70k; high since made was only $67,264 (never reached $69-70k) and BTC fell to $58,161.
- ✓
Short-term pullback target of BTC falling below $80,000 was reached, as he had expected.
“the target of falling below $80,000 was successfully achieved”
Claimed pullback below $80,000 was achieved; from $80,005 BTC fell well below to a low of $58,000.
- ✗
After a pullback to $78k–$80k, Bitcoin will see bullish continuation to $85k–$90k.
“Potential quick pullback to 78k-80k, to shakeout late longs. Then bullish continuation to 85k-90k. Let's see.”
Predicted bullish continuation to $85k-$90k after a $78-80k pullback; high since made was only $82,814 and BTC then collapsed to $58,000 — never reached $85-90k.
- ✓
Bitcoin should move to $80,000 and higher from current levels.
“bitcoin:native $80,000 (and higher) should be next.”
BTC traded as high as $82,814 in [2026-04-28..2026-07-01], reaching the $80,000 target.
- ◐
Bull case needs a clean re-emergence of $75,000 to be validated; below $65,000 the bullish scenario loses validity in the short term (potential short squeeze toward $80k-$90k if it holds).
“Bull Case Validation: Bitcoin must achieve a clean re-emergence of the $75,000 price to confirm the bullish scenario. ... If BTC falls below $65,000, the bullish scenario would lose its validity in the short term.”
Conditional call: BTC did cleanly reclaim $75k (high $82,814 validating bull case) but then fell below $65k to $58,000 (invalidating it) — both sides triggered.
- ✓
As long as price holds above $65k, $75k should be the next target.
“As long as price holds above $65k, $75k should be next.”
BTC traded as high as $82,814 in [2026-03-06..2026-07-01], reaching the $75,000 target.
- ✓
A local bottom is forming and a strong short squeeze is likely given liquidity building above.
“Based on my analysis, and as said before, I'm bullish. A local bottom should be forming here, and with all the liquidity building up above, a strong short squeeze is likely.”
Called a local bottom forming and likely short squeeze from $66,972; BTC squeezed up to $82,814 (+24%) before later declining.
- ✓
BTC is at key support and there is no better time for a strong bounce (short squeeze).
“$BTC Main support zone reached. Confluence of OB + 2021 ATHs (November and April) + 2024 ATH. Most alts also at HTF support. Lots of liquidity above, and shorts are aggressive here. Sentiment can't be more negative. There's no better time for a strong bounce (short squeeze)”
Called main support reached with a strong bounce/short squeeze likely from $62,791; BTC bounced ~32% to $82,814.
- ✓
The real capitulation hasn't happened yet: BTC below 100k -> 92-93k; BTC below 92-93k -> 60-70k (potential cycle bottom).
“In my opinion, the real capitulation event hasn't happened yet. $BTC below 100k -> 92-93k; $BTC below 92-93k -> 60-70k (potential bottom)”
Predicted capitulation cascade below 100k -> 92-93k -> 60-70k potential bottom from $107,173; BTC fell through all levels into the 60-70k zone (low $58,000), cascade played out as described.
- ✗
There may be one last shakeout, with BTC testing the $48k-$50k zone (and ETH $1.8k-$2k) before 'the real altseason begins.'
“There's a possibility of one last shakeout, with $BTC testing the $48k-50k zone and $ETH $1.8k-2k, before the real altseason begins.”
Predicted a shakeout to $48k-$50k before real altseason; low since made was only $58,000 (never tested $48-50k) and BTC rallied to $126,296 instead.
- ◐
Bitcoin will decline toward $45,000, driven by high interest rates / QT; a move below $60,000 would be the 'first bearish confirmation.'
“CryptoCapo predicted a Bitcoin decline to $45,000 ... once Bitcoin drops below $60,000, it would represent 'the first bearish confirmation.' At the time of publication, Bitcoin was trading near $69,000 (a new all-time high).”
Below-$60k 'first bearish confirmation' triggered and BTC approached the $45k target (low $49,050), but it never reached $45k and overall trended far higher to $126,296.
- ✗
After BTC broke the $31,000 resistance, Capo conceded the breakout hurt his main bearish scenario but kept $12,000 as his primary (not yet invalidated) bearish target; closed losing altcoin shorts and turned 'neutral, not bullish.'
“This breakout is not good for the main bearish scenario. I didn't expect the $31K resistance level to break that easily. ... No, I am not bullish, just neutral. I'm not buying yet.”
$12,000 primary bearish target from $34,506 never hit (low since made $33,400); BTC went on to $126,296.
- ✗
A capitulation event is still likely, with Bitcoin potentially falling to $12,000 (and Ethereum to $500-$700).
“predicting that the price of the largest cryptocurrency could plummet to $12,000 ... Bitcoin potentially falling to $12,000 and Ethereum to between $500 and $700”
Capitulation-to-$12,000 call from $30,708 never happened; low since made was $24,900 and BTC rallied to $126,296.
- ✓
'November is here. New lows are likely.' — calling for fresh bear-market lows in November 2022.
“On November 1, 2022, he warned that new lows were likely in November, stating 'November is here. New lows are likely.'”
Called new lows for November 2022 at $20,480; BTC made fresh bear-market lows to $15,460 that month (FTX collapse).
- ✓
Bitcoin would crash below $23,000 (reiterated mid-August 2022).
“On August 16, 2022, Capo was forecasting that BTC would crash below $23,000. Within days, BTC traded between $19,000-$21,000.”
Predicted a crash below $23,000 from $23,858; BTC fell to $15,460 within days/weeks.
- ✓
With BTC at ~$21k-$22k resistance and people calling for $40k, there is 'not a single bullish sign' to support the move up; rejection will be strong and altcoins could drop another 45-50%.
“In July 2022, Capo predicted that altcoins could fall another 45-50%, based on his belief that crypto exchanges were spoofing bounces.”
Called rejection/no-bull at ~$21.6k; BTC fell to $15,460 by Nov 2022 — the bearish move played out.