il Capo of Crypto
Resolved (53)
- ◐
A local bottom is forming at $60k with a triple tap pattern; bullish confirmation comes first above $66k, then above $82k.
“$60k tested again. Just like the cycle top in October, with a triple tap at 123k... ...an important local bottom could be forming here, with a triple tap at 60k. First bullish confirmation above 66k, second above 82k. Good times ahead imo.”
BTC dipped to $57,718 in [2026-06-26..2026-07-06] — a minor break (within 3.8%) of the $60,000 floor.
- ◐
Bitcoin may retest $60k–$62k one more time but a clear local bottom is forming across the crypto market.
“Potential last retest of $60k - $62k, but this looks like a clear local bottom formation across the entire crypto market. Have a good Sunday!”
BTC dipped to $57,718 in [2026-06-21..2026-07-06] — a minor break (within 3.8%) of the $60,000 floor.
- ✗
$65,000 has been reclaimed; the next key level to regain is $69,000-$70,000. (Rare near-term bullish-leaning call.)
“$65,000 has been reclaimed. The next key level to regain is $69,000-$70,000.”
Said $65k reclaimed and next level to regain is $69k-$70k; high since made was only $67,264 (never reached $69-70k) and BTC fell to $58,161.
- ✓
Short-term pullback target of BTC falling below $80,000 was reached, as he had expected.
“the target of falling below $80,000 was successfully achieved”
Claimed pullback below $80,000 was achieved; from $80,005 BTC fell well below to a low of $58,000.
- ✗
After a pullback to $78k–$80k, Bitcoin will see bullish continuation to $85k–$90k.
“Potential quick pullback to 78k-80k, to shakeout late longs. Then bullish continuation to 85k-90k. Let's see.”
Predicted bullish continuation to $85k-$90k after a $78-80k pullback; high since made was only $82,814 and BTC then collapsed to $58,000 — never reached $85-90k.
- ✓
Bitcoin should move to $80,000 and higher from current levels.
“bitcoin:native $80,000 (and higher) should be next.”
BTC traded as high as $82,814 in [2026-04-28..2026-07-06], reaching the $80,000 target.
- ◐
Bull case needs a clean re-emergence of $75,000 to be validated; below $65,000 the bullish scenario loses validity in the short term (potential short squeeze toward $80k-$90k if it holds).
“Bull Case Validation: Bitcoin must achieve a clean re-emergence of the $75,000 price to confirm the bullish scenario. ... If BTC falls below $65,000, the bullish scenario would lose its validity in the short term.”
Conditional call: BTC did cleanly reclaim $75k (high $82,814 validating bull case) but then fell below $65k to $58,000 (invalidating it) — both sides triggered.
- ✓
As long as price holds above $65k, $75k should be the next target.
“As long as price holds above $65k, $75k should be next.”
BTC traded as high as $82,814 in [2026-03-06..2026-07-06], reaching the $75,000 target.
- ✓
A local bottom is forming and a strong short squeeze is likely given liquidity building above.
“Based on my analysis, and as said before, I'm bullish. A local bottom should be forming here, and with all the liquidity building up above, a strong short squeeze is likely.”
Called a local bottom forming and likely short squeeze from $66,972; BTC squeezed up to $82,814 (+24%) before later declining.
- ✓
BTC is at key support and there is no better time for a strong bounce (short squeeze).
“$BTC Main support zone reached. Confluence of OB + 2021 ATHs (November and April) + 2024 ATH. Most alts also at HTF support. Lots of liquidity above, and shorts are aggressive here. Sentiment can't be more negative. There's no better time for a strong bounce (short squeeze)”
Called main support reached with a strong bounce/short squeeze likely from $62,791; BTC bounced ~32% to $82,814.
- ◐
Bullish: bitcoin reclaims $90k, then $95k, and a clean break sends it back into the $100ks.
“$BTC Bitcoin reached the local low on November 21st ($80.5k). Since then, it's been ranging between $84k-90k for more than a month. $90k is key level to reclaim. If that happens -> $95k. Clean break above and $100ks. Likely scenario imo. Bullish. https://t.co/RXrgCStC85”
Reclaimed $90k (2025-12-29) and $95k (close $95,384 on 2026-01-13) as called, but the clean break into the $100ks failed (max high $96,250) and BTC then collapsed to $57,718.
- ◐
Bitcoin rises into the Dec 9-10 Fed meeting, targeting a $100k-$105k lower high.
“Likely up until the next Fed meeting / interest rate decision (December 9–10). Looking at these targets for a lower high: $BTC: $100k–$105k $ETH: $3.7k–$4k”
BTC reached $94,641 by the 2025-12-10 horizon — within 5.4% of $100,000 but short.
- ✓
A local bottom is likely in for a few days (alts bounce more than BTC), then bearish continuation.
“Local bottom likely in for a few days. Alts should bounce more than $BTC. Then bearish continuation.”
Local bottom $80,525 on 2025-11-21, bounced to ~$94,640 by 2025-12-09, then bearish continuation down to $57,718 — as called.
- ✓
The bitcoin cycle top could be in (pending confirmation), with momentum lost and a potential financial crisis ahead.
“$BTC Confirmations needed, but the cycle top could be in. Loss of momentum, good news not having impact anymore, and a potential financial crisis incoming. Reminder: Not financial advice. Just my opinion and observation. https://t.co/phX6QEh30M”
The $126,296 ATH of 2025-10-06 remains the cycle top; BTC fell to $57,718 by 2026-07-01 with no new high.
- ✓
The real capitulation hasn't happened yet: BTC below 100k -> 92-93k; BTC below 92-93k -> 60-70k (potential cycle bottom).
“In my opinion, the real capitulation event hasn't happened yet. $BTC below 100k -> 92-93k; $BTC below 92-93k -> 60-70k (potential bottom)”
Predicted capitulation cascade below 100k -> 92-93k -> 60-70k potential bottom from $107,173; BTC fell through all levels into the 60-70k zone (low $58,000), cascade played out as described.
- ✓
Real capitulation is still ahead: BTC below $100k targets $92-93k, then $60-70k as the potential bottom; net short.
“In my opinion, the real capitulation event hasn’t happened yet. • $BTC below 100k → 92–93k • $BTC below 92–93k → 60–70k (potential bottom) If the idea plays out, alts could drop another 50%-80%. I’m net short since late May, mostly altcoins, and adding more.”
BTC fell as low as $57,718 in [2025-06-30..2026-07-06], reaching the $70,000 downside target.
- ✓
$92k-98k should be next for bitcoin.
“$92k-98k should be next for $BTC”
BTC traded as high as $126,296 in [2025-04-17..2026-04-17], reaching the $92,000 target.
- ✓
The local bottom should be in or very close; a strong relief bounce is likely over the next few days.
“Bear trap went lower than expected, but the local bottom should be in or very close. A strong relief bounce is likely over the next few days, with altcoins expected to outperform Bitcoin.”
From $78,545 close (2025-03-10) BTC bounced within two weeks to $88,805 by 2025-03-24 — the relief bounce as called.
- ✓
Hedged for a second dip that might bring bitcoin down to around $88-90k before bullish confirmation.
“Despite the strong market bounce after the capitulation event, there’s still some underlying weakness. I’ve reopened the hedge position until we see proper bullish confirmations or a second dip, which might bring $BTC down to around $88k–$90k. Some altcoins could drop another”
BTC fell as low as $60,001 in [2025-02-07..2026-02-07], reaching the $90,000 downside target.
- ✗
There may be one last shakeout, with BTC testing the $48k-$50k zone (and ETH $1.8k-$2k) before 'the real altseason begins.'
“There's a possibility of one last shakeout, with $BTC testing the $48k-50k zone and $ETH $1.8k-2k, before the real altseason begins.”
Predicted a shakeout to $48k-$50k before real altseason; low since made was only $58,000 (never tested $48-50k) and BTC rallied to $126,296 instead.
- ✓
After reclaiming $60-61k, the best is yet to come for bitcoin and alts.
“BTC is pumping, especially after reclaiming 60k-61k. Altcoins also seem to have found their local bottom. In my opinion, the best is yet to come.”
After reclaiming $60-61k, BTC ran from ~$64k to $100k+ by December 2024.
- ◐
The $67ks support should hold and bullish continuation is expected (main scenario).
“$BTC - Current situation Support zone: $67ks Demand is being added here, so this level should hold and bullish continuation is expected (main scenario). If it doesn't, the next support would be 65k. Regarding the Mt. Gox movements, they are sending the funds to a new wallet, https://t.co/B8RRdrYnYh”
The $67k support failed — BTC fell to $53,500 by 2024-07-05 — though the broader bullish continuation to $100k did arrive in Q4 2024.
- ✓
$59k-$61k is support; expecting a stronger bounce soon.
“$59k-$61k is support until proven otherwise. Expecting a stronger bounce soon. https://t.co/MAne9Mqc3S”
From ~$60k support BTC bounced to $71,974 by 2024-06-07.
- ✓
Strong demand at $59k-61k with mostly bullish indicators, so a bounce is expected (potential first higher low).
“$BTC - Clean view After deviating below the range low, the price bounced, touched resistance, and is now retracing into an interesting support zone. This could be forming the first higher low. There is strong demand at $59k-$61k and indicators look mostly bullish, so a bounce https://t.co/2wh8Kygzue”
The $59-61k demand held and BTC bounced to $71,974 within two weeks.
- ◐
Bitcoin will decline toward $45,000, driven by high interest rates / QT; a move below $60,000 would be the 'first bearish confirmation.'
“CryptoCapo predicted a Bitcoin decline to $45,000 ... once Bitcoin drops below $60,000, it would represent 'the first bearish confirmation.' At the time of publication, Bitcoin was trading near $69,000 (a new all-time high).”
Below-$60k 'first bearish confirmation' triggered and BTC approached the $45k target (low $49,050), but it never reached $45k and overall trended far higher to $126,296.
- ✗
Short-term bullish with $50k still possible on the liquidity above, then bearish again.
“$BTC plan After the other's day sell-off, fundings got reset and the price formed a ltf bottom pattern. There's a lot of liquidity above the last high, so 50k is still possible before reversal. Also, altcoins look like they are going to pump. Ltf bullish. Then bearish again. https://t.co/YQ5xkkUI7k”
No short-term $50k push; BTC dipped to $38,501 (2024-01-23) then rallied to a new ATH $73.8k by March — the called renewed bear leg never came.
- ◐
A last pump to $50k is possible, then bitcoin goes sideways while alts pump, and within days the whole market reverses and dumps.
“Update. $BTC reached 48k-50k and $ETH 2500-2600. A last pump to 50k is possible. Then $BTC should go sideways while altcoins pump more (money flowing to low caps). After a few days, the entire market should reverse and dump. https://t.co/H5s4m0VI40”
BTC did dump (to $38,501 by 2024-01-23) but there was no pump to $50k first, and it then broke to a new ATH by March instead of a deeper reversal.
- ✗
Bitcoin is probably forming a local top at $40-45k, with a full reversal to new lows likely over the next few weeks.
“As posted on TG a few days ago, BTC is probably forming a local top here at 40k-45k. ETH could reach 2500s, and some alts could have the last pumps. After this, a full reversal to new lows is likely over the next few weeks. I will soon post a thread explaining the reasons why I https://t.co/awvDpw064n”
No reversal to new lows; from $40-45k BTC broke to a new ATH $73.8k by March 2024.
- ✗
After BTC broke the $31,000 resistance, Capo conceded the breakout hurt his main bearish scenario but kept $12,000 as his primary (not yet invalidated) bearish target; closed losing altcoin shorts and turned 'neutral, not bullish.'
“This breakout is not good for the main bearish scenario. I didn't expect the $31K resistance level to break that easily. ... No, I am not bullish, just neutral. I'm not buying yet.”
$12,000 primary bearish target from $34,506 never hit (low since made $33,400); BTC went on to $126,296.
- ✗
A capitulation event is still likely, with Bitcoin potentially falling to $12,000 (and Ethereum to $500-$700).
“predicting that the price of the largest cryptocurrency could plummet to $12,000 ... Bitcoin potentially falling to $12,000 and Ethereum to between $500 and $700”
Capitulation-to-$12,000 call from $30,708 never happened; low since made was $24,900 and BTC rallied to $126,296.
- ✗
Bitcoin's $16.6-16.8k range resolves in a surprise drop to $12k.
“16600, 16800, 16600, 16800, 16600, 16800... And when you least expect it... 12k”
BTC's low was only $16,646 through the 2024-01-04 horizon; never fell to $12,000.
- ✗
The pump into resistance is another bull trap; $12k is very likely for bitcoin.
“$BTC It takes a tiny pump into resistance to turn everyone bullish again. This same bull trap has been happening during the entire 2022, yet people don't learn. 12k is very likely. https://t.co/CE7MrHg2fP”
BTC's low was only $16,543 through the 2024-01-02 horizon; never fell to $12,000.
- ✗
Lower lows and lower highs; $12k is like a magnet for bitcoin.
“$BTC Every bounce is smaller. Lower lows and lower highs. Support becoming resistance. 12k is like a magnet. https://t.co/Esfa5znVjX”
BTC's low was only $16,326 through the 2023-12-23 horizon; never fell to $12,000.
- ✗
Full capitulation event ahead: bitcoin to $12k (ETH $600-650, alts down 50-70%).
“Remember: Trend is still bearish. Indicators are pointing to full capitulation event. Bad news should come soon. $BTC 12k $ETH 600-650 #Altcoins 50-70% potential drop (shitcoins even more) Stay safe, things could get very ugly.”
BTC's low was only $16,273 through the 2023-12-13 horizon; never fell to $12,000.
- ✗
$17,500 marks a local top, then bitcoin falls to $12k.
“17500 for a local top. Then 12k. Big week.”
BTC's low was only $16,273 through the 2023-12-12 horizon; never fell to $12,000.
- ✗
When bitcoin breaks below $16k it teleports to $12k-14k.
“$BTC When it breaks below 16k, it teleports to 12k-14k. https://t.co/PuaDBSmRL7”
BTC's low was only $15,993 through the 2023-11-28 horizon; never fell to $14,000.
- ✗
$12,000-14,000 remains the main bitcoin target for a local bottom formation.
“$BTC Htf: lower lows and lower highs after breaking a monthly redistribution range. Below June's low and at supply zone. Ltf: weak trend caused by a short squeeze (bull trap). Volume dying. 12000-14000 remains the main target for a local bottom formation. https://t.co/Ks3uipYMY7”
BTC's low was only $15,993 through the 2023-11-24 horizon; never fell to $14,000.
- ✗
Bitcoin to $12,000-14,000 is a matter of time; altcoins much lower.
“Good morning! $BTC to $12,000-14,000 is a matter of time. Altcoins much lower (40-50% drop on average) https://t.co/DEByAUUHQH”
BTC's low was only $15,460 through the 2023-11-18 horizon; never fell to $14,000.
- ✗
$14k sooner than you think.
“14k sooner than you think.”
BTC's low was only $15,460 through the 2023-11-11 horizon; never fell to $14,000.
- ◐
The bitcoin bottom is not in; miners haven't finished capitulating (2018 fractal).
“$BTC in 2018 vs. $BTC now (ltf) 2018 fractal has been playing out, but is it over? Miners haven't finished capitulating yet: https://t.co/jc0uFwO8vD Bottom is not in. https://t.co/ojZs8uW8vz”
A lower low did print ($15,476 on 2022-11-21) confirming the bottom wasn't in, but the called deeper capitulation to $12-14k never came.
- ✗
After a quick CPI scam pump, ultimate capitulation takes bitcoin to $14k with a potential wick to the $13,000s.
“$BTC looking bearish on very low timeframe too CPI in 45m. Expecting a quick scam pump darth maul style, then ultimate capitulation to 14k (with potential wick to 13000s) Stay safe. https://t.co/aqq8rtmNRj”
BTC's low was only $15,460 through the 2023-11-10 horizon; never fell to $14,000.
- ◐
One last ~15% drop on bitcoin (30-40% on alts), then the local bottom is in - probably this week.
“Indicators show that the capitulation event is already happening. Expecting last 15% drop on BTC and 30-40% on altcoins. Then the local bottom is in. Probably this week.”
One-more-drop-then-bottom was directionally right — $15,476 low came 2022-11-21 — but a week after the 2022-11-16 'this week' and only ~6% down, not the called 15%.
- ✗
Post-capitulation local-bottom target for bitcoin: $13k-14k.
“Potential targets for a local bottom after capitulation event: $BTC 13k-14k $ETH 700-750 $ADA 0.18-0.23 $LTC 29-32 $DOT 3.4-3.6 $FTT 0.000001”
BTC's low was only $15,460 through the 2023-11-09 horizon; never fell to $14,000.
- ✗
A bearish retest of $20,100-20,300 would probably be the last exit opportunity before $14k.
“A potential bearish retest of 20100-20300 would probably be the last exit opportunity before 14k. If given, take it.”
BTC's low was only $15,460 through the 2023-11-08 horizon; never fell to $14,000.
- ◐
A quick pump to $21,500 on bitcoin (ETH $1,700) is likely, and from there everything turns really bearish.
“Good morning! Just checked the situation and there's no changes. Quick pump to 21500 on BTC and 1700 on ETH is a likely scenario. From there everything would turn really bearish. Still holding $RSR and $OCEAN. Bearish confirmation is price consolidating below 20k.”
No pump to $21,500 — the FTX collapse crashed BTC from ~$20.5k to $15,476; the bearish direction was right but the path was wrong.
- ✓
Bitcoin bouncing off $20k support; $21,000-21,500 is likely.
“Good morning! Bitcoin bouncing from the 20k support, where a lot of shorts entered. Altcoins bouncing stronger. 21000-21500 is likely. https://t.co/IcKMMyAsvU”
BTC traded as high as $35,998 in [2022-11-03..2023-11-03], reaching the $21,000 target.
- ✗
November plan: pump to $21,000-21,500, then reversal to new lows and a mega nuke after the midterms - bitcoin to $14k (ETH $700-800).
“Plan for November: -Pump to 21000-21500 for the last phase of the distribution. ETH to 1700s. -Altcoins having the last scam pumps as well. People calling for altseason. -Start of the reversal to new lows. -Mega nuke after midterm elections. BTC to 14k and ETH to 700-800. GL!”
BTC's low was only $15,460 through the 2022-11-30 horizon; never fell to $14,000.
- ✗
One last fake pump to $21,000-21,500, then the hammer: bitcoin to $14k.
“Low timeframe is bullish. High timeframe is bearish. Last fake pump to 21000-21500, 🔨, 14k”
BTC's low was only $15,460 through the 2023-11-02 horizon; never fell to $14,000.
- ✓
'November is here. New lows are likely.' — calling for fresh bear-market lows in November 2022.
“On November 1, 2022, he warned that new lows were likely in November, stating 'November is here. New lows are likely.'”
Called new lows for November 2022 at $20,480; BTC made fresh bear-market lows to $15,460 that month (FTX collapse).
- ✗
Very convinced bitcoin sees $14k this year.
“Longs are already getting trapped. This last push to 21ks would trap even more. I'm very convinced about seeing $14k this year. Time will tell.”
BTC's low was only $15,460 through the 2022-12-31 horizon; never fell to $14,000.
- ✗
After bearish confirmation (S/R flip of $20k), the main bitcoin target is $14k.
“$BTC ltf Expecting something like this. Potential last push to 21k for a triple top / ending diagonal to trap longs. Bearish confirmation is the break of the wedge and ultimate confirmation a S/R flip of the 20k level. Main target after bearish confirmation = 14k https://t.co/FtqrJZZFn1”
BTC's low was only $15,460 through the 2023-11-01 horizon; never fell to $14,000.
- ✓
Bitcoin would crash below $23,000 (reiterated mid-August 2022).
“On August 16, 2022, Capo was forecasting that BTC would crash below $23,000. Within days, BTC traded between $19,000-$21,000.”
Predicted a crash below $23,000 from $23,858; BTC fell to $15,460 within days/weeks.
- ✓
With BTC at ~$21k-$22k resistance and people calling for $40k, there is 'not a single bullish sign' to support the move up; rejection will be strong and altcoins could drop another 45-50%.
“In July 2022, Capo predicted that altcoins could fall another 45-50%, based on his belief that crypto exchanges were spoofing bounces.”
Called rejection/no-bull at ~$21.6k; BTC fell to $15,460 by Nov 2022 — the bearish move played out.