Lark Davis
Resolved (4)
- ✗
Market sentiment and frustration look like the kind seen closer to market bottoms than at hot times in the market; Davis indicates the crypto market is close to / nearing a bottom.
“it's the kind of sentiment and frustration that you tend to see closer to market bottoms than at, of course, hot times in the market, right?”
Called sentiment near a market bottom (2026-02-09, $70,102); BTC bounced to $82,814 then fell to a new low of $58,000, below his level — bottom was not in.
- ✗
Either the 4-year cycle is dead, or we've just entered a bear market; given the macro backdrop and how the market has evolved, Davis leans toward the four-year cycle being dead (not a bear market).
“Either the 4-year cycle is dead, or we've just entered a bear market. Given the macro backdrop and how this market has evolved, I'm leaning toward the former...”
Leaned toward '4-year cycle is dead, not a bear market' (2025-11-20, $86,537), but BTC fell to $58,161 — exactly the bear market he discounted.
- ✓
If Bitcoin keeps sliding, the most likely landing/retest zone is $108,000-$112,000 (downside warning made when BTC was ~$118K).
“Analyst Lark Davis flagged $108K-$112K as a potential retest zone if bitcoin keeps sliding.”
Flagged $108K-$112K retest zone if BTC slides (2025-08-17, $117,489); BTC subsequently fell through that band on its way down to $58,000.
- ✗
Bitcoin's inverse head-and-shoulders breakout projects a target exceeding $150,000, aligning with the 2.618 Fibonacci extension (~$155,665).
“the pattern's projected target exceeds $150,000 and aligns with the 2.618 Fibonacci extension level ... $155,665, which nearly matches the projected breakout target from the pattern.”
BTC's high was only $126,296 through the 2026-04-28 horizon; never reached $150,000.
Open (1)
- ⏳
Bitcoin could go to $150K this cycle, driven largely by the spot ETFs, though investors should not anchor to a rigid price target and should ladder out ("don't buy forever").
“Bitcoin Could Go 'To $150K,' Says Crypto Veteran Lark Davis ... 'It doesn't mean the super cycle is here,' Davis cautioned regarding Bitcoin ETF inflows.”
Not reached yet (high $126,296 since 2024-02-02); 2026-08-02 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.