Harry Dent
Resolved (5)
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Bitcoin and crypto are the biggest bubble (not a safe haven); expect a ~50% crash by summer 2025 followed by a ~90% collapse. Bitcoin is a strong sell for 2025.
“This is one of the biggest misconceptions: that Bitcoin and crypto are the safe haven. Absolutely not, they are the biggest bubble.”
Predicted ~50% crash / strong sell by summer 2025; instead BTC rose from $84,029 to a high of $124,533 by the 2025-09-22 deadline (low only $83,088).
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Harry Dent predicts Bitcoin will drop back to $200 a coin during the biggest crash year (2024).
“He also predicts bitcoin will drop back to $200 a coin.”
Called for $200/coin in 2024; low by 2024-12-31 deadline was $49,050 — off by orders of magnitude.
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If Bitcoin breaks down below $40,000, that's a sign that we're probably going into another wave down (the start of the anticipated 2024 mega-crash).
“If Bitcoin breaks down below $40,000, that's a sign that we're probably going into another wave down.”
Trigger (below $40k) was met but the predicted 2024 mega-crash never came — BTC rose to $108,389 by the 2024-12-31 deadline.
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Bitcoin will fall from $69,000 to about three to four thousand. It's exactly what Amazon and the dot-coms did. The crash will happen by mid-June, a decline of 95% to 96%.
“Bitcoin will fall from $69,000 to about three to four thousand. It's exactly what Amazon and the dot-coms did.”
95-96% crash to $3-4k by mid-June 2023 never happened; low_by_deadline was $24,750.
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I think it [Bitcoin] goes down to $3,250, and then it starts a longer-term boom.
“I think it goes down to $3,250, and then it starts a longer-term boom”
Predicted a drop to $3,250; lowest by the 2024-07-31 deadline was $19,569 — never remotely near $3,250.
Open (2)
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Bitcoin could fall to $30,000 by the end of 2026, with a potential downside as low as $15,600.
“he projects the Bitcoin price could fall to $30,000 by the end of 2026, with a potential downside as low as $15,600”
Window open until 2026-12-31; BTC down from $88,557 to $58,000 but nowhere near the $30,000/$15,600 targets yet.
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Bitcoin has never reached new highs following the peak year of its four-year cycle; in each instance it has gone on to decline by at least 77% in the following year.
“Bitcoin has never reached new highs following the peak year of its four-year cycle. In each instance, it has gone on to decline by at least 77% in the following year.”
Window open until 2026-12-31; no new ATH so far (high since made only $97,964 vs prior $126,296) and the 77% decline claim is unresolved.