Josh
Resolved (4)
- ✓
The bear market is not over. I'll be selling half my bitcoin at $82k.
“The bear market is not over. I'll be selling half my bitcoin at $82k.”
$82k was tagged (high $82,814) and the bear thesis held as BTC then fell from $78,209 to $58,161.
- ✓
Something catastrophic is coming. We'll see who's swimming naked soon. PSA: the bear market is not over.
“Something catastrophic is coming. We'll see who's swimming naked soon. PSA: the bear market is not over.”
Bear continued from $75,737 spot down to $58,161 current (low $58,000) — catastrophic downside materialized.
- ✓
Can we stop pretending normal 4 year cycles with bull and bear markets are over yet?
“Can we stop pretending normal 4 year cycles with bull and bear markets are over yet?”
Normal cycle/bear persisted — BTC fell from $66,353 to $58,161, validating that bull/bear cycles are not dead.
- ✓
$60k was not the bottom.
“$60k was not the bottom.”
'$60k was not the bottom' — BTC subsequently fell to $58,000, below $60k, confirming it wasn't the bottom.
Open (4)
- ⏳
Not that anyone cares, but I'm still on the sidelines. This has been, and I predict will be, like every other bear market and cycle. Most likely, we bottom in Q4.
“Not that anyone cares, but I'm still on the sidelines. This has been, and I predict will be, like every other bear market and cycle. Most likely, we bottom in Q4.”
Q4 2026 bottom call; window (deadline 2026-12-31) has not elapsed as of 2026-06-30, outcome undetermined.
- ⏳
I don't know what price, but I predict we will bottom Q4 like every other bear market.
“I don't know what price, but I predict we will bottom Q4 like every other bear market.”
Q4 2026 bottom call; window (deadline 2026-12-31) has not elapsed as of 2026-06-30, outcome undetermined.
- ⏳
You know what's not interesting about this bear market? This bear market. It's literally like every other one. Stop believing that this time is different. We bottom in Q4.
“You know what's not interesting about this bear market? This bear market. It's literally like every other one. Stop believing that this time is different. We bottom in Q4.”
Q4 2026 bottom call; window (deadline 2026-12-31) has not elapsed as of 2026-06-30, outcome undetermined.
- ⏳
$53k is the bottom
“$53k is the bottom”
BTC's low was $57,718, held at/above $53,000 (through 2026-07-01).