Mike Novogratz
Resolved (8)
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Novogratz believes Bitcoin has put in its cycle low around $60K and has been buying, though not 100% convinced.
“I think we put a low in at 60. I'm not 100% convinced, but I'm pretty convinced. And so, yes, I've been buying some Bitcoin recently.”
BTC fell as low as $57,718 in [2026-02-18..2026-07-06], reaching the $60,000 downside target.
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In a CNBC interview Novogratz said $100,000 should be the downside and BTC should hold around $100k in a worst case, with a most-likely year-end 2025 range of roughly $100,000-$125,000.
“He forecasted Bitcoin would trade in a range between $100,000-$125,000 as the 'most likely outlook'... He identified only two potential catalysts for exceeding this range”
BTC fell to $80,525 in [2025-10-22..2025-12-31], below the $100,000 floor.
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Bitcoin could hit $150,000 per coin this year (2025); '$150k seems to me a decent target.'
“$150k seems to me a decent target”
BTC's high was only $126,296 through the 2025-12-31 horizon; never reached $150,000.
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Bitcoin nearing $100K is just the start — the stage is set for much higher prices in price discovery.
“Bitcoin nearing $100K is just the start. With pro-crypto leadership, global demand from the Middle East, and limited supply, the stage is set for much higher prices. We’re in price discovery now. That said, there’s massive leverage in the system. The crypto community is levered”
From $98,439 (2024-11-21) BTC crossed $100k in Dec 2024 and reached the $126,296 ATH on 2025-10-06 — much higher in price discovery.
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If Bitcoin takes out $73,000 in the next couple of weeks, it will end 2024 at $100,000 or higher.
“If we take up to $73,000 in the next week or so, we're gonna end the year at $100,000, somewhere around there, or even higher.”
BTC traded as high as $108,389 in [2024-06-04..2024-12-31], reaching the $100,000 target.
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Speaking at a Bank of America conference, Novogratz said that if Bitcoin ends 2023 at $30,000 he would be the happiest guy, and that it wouldn't surprise him if BTC were at $30,000 by the end of the quarter (a markedly lowered, modest expectation for the year).
“And I would've given both my shoes for that to be true just six weeks ago. Like if we end the year $30,000, I will be the happiest guy.”
Hoped BTC ends 2023 at $30,000 / could be there by quarter-end: from $24,329 BTC reached $30k within weeks and ended 2023 around $42k–$45k (high_by_deadline $45,000), so it comfortably surpassed his $30k year-end wish.
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Bitcoin could hit $100,000 by the end of this year (2021) as more companies follow Tesla's lead in buying it.
“Bitcoin could hit $100,000 by the end of this year as more companies come forward to buy the dominant cryptocurrency following Tesla's lead.”
BTC's high was only $69,000 through the 2021-12-31 horizon; never reached $100,000.
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Novogratz said he would get a tattoo to commemorate Bitcoin reaching $500,000, which he expected to happen in 2024.
“In January 2021 he said he would get a tattoo when Bitcoin reached $500,000, expecting this in 2024.”
BTC's high was only $108,389 through the 2024-12-31 horizon; never reached $500,000.
Open (3)
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Mike Novogratz believes Bitcoin will eventually reach one million dollars, though he hopes the appreciation happens slowly.
“I think we will get to a million. I just hope we get there slowly.”
Not reached yet (high $126,296 since 2025-08-12); 2030-08-12 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-06.
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Bitcoin will eventually replace gold as a macro store of value, which would put it at $1,000,000 a coin 'just to be where gold is.'
“The bull case becomes that over time... gold slowly gets replaced by Bitcoin... that [is] $1,000,000 a Bitcoin just to be where gold is.”
Not reached yet (high $126,296 since 2025-06-12); 2030-06-12 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-06.
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At the Bloomberg Crypto Summit, Novogratz reaffirmed Bitcoin reaching over $500,000 by 2027.
“Bitcoin reaching the price levels of over $500,000 by 2027”
Not reached yet (high $126,296 since 2022-07-19); 2027-12-31 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-06.