Mike Novogratz
Resolved (7)
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Novogratz believes Bitcoin has put in its cycle low around $60K and has been buying, though not 100% convinced.
“I think we put a low in at 60. I'm not 100% convinced, but I'm pretty convinced. And so, yes, I've been buying some Bitcoin recently.”
BTC fell as low as $57,718 in [2026-02-18..2026-07-01], reaching the $60,000 downside target.
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In a CNBC interview Novogratz said $100,000 should be the downside and BTC should hold around $100k in a worst case, with a most-likely year-end 2025 range of roughly $100,000-$125,000.
“He forecasted Bitcoin would trade in a range between $100,000-$125,000 as the 'most likely outlook'... He identified only two potential catalysts for exceeding this range”
BTC fell to $80,525 in [2025-10-22..2025-12-31], below the $100,000 floor.
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Bitcoin could hit $150,000 per coin this year (2025); '$150k seems to me a decent target.'
“$150k seems to me a decent target”
BTC's high was only $126,296 through the 2025-12-31 horizon; never reached $150,000.
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If Bitcoin takes out $73,000 in the next couple of weeks, it will end 2024 at $100,000 or higher.
“If we take up to $73,000 in the next week or so, we're gonna end the year at $100,000, somewhere around there, or even higher.”
BTC traded as high as $108,389 in [2024-06-04..2024-12-31], reaching the $100,000 target.
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Speaking at a Bank of America conference, Novogratz said that if Bitcoin ends 2023 at $30,000 he would be the happiest guy, and that it wouldn't surprise him if BTC were at $30,000 by the end of the quarter (a markedly lowered, modest expectation for the year).
“And I would've given both my shoes for that to be true just six weeks ago. Like if we end the year $30,000, I will be the happiest guy.”
Hoped BTC ends 2023 at $30,000 / could be there by quarter-end: from $24,329 BTC reached $30k within weeks and ended 2023 around $42k–$45k (high_by_deadline $45,000), so it comfortably surpassed his $30k year-end wish.
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Bitcoin could hit $100,000 by the end of this year (2021) as more companies follow Tesla's lead in buying it.
“Bitcoin could hit $100,000 by the end of this year as more companies come forward to buy the dominant cryptocurrency following Tesla's lead.”
BTC's high was only $69,000 through the 2021-12-31 horizon; never reached $100,000.
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Novogratz said he would get a tattoo to commemorate Bitcoin reaching $500,000, which he expected to happen in 2024.
“In January 2021 he said he would get a tattoo when Bitcoin reached $500,000, expecting this in 2024.”
BTC's high was only $108,389 through the 2024-12-31 horizon; never reached $500,000.
Open (3)
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Mike Novogratz believes Bitcoin will eventually reach one million dollars, though he hopes the appreciation happens slowly.
“I think we will get to a million. I just hope we get there slowly.”
Not reached yet (high $126,296 since 2025-08-12); 2030-08-12 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.
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Bitcoin will eventually replace gold as a macro store of value, which would put it at $1,000,000 a coin 'just to be where gold is.'
“The bull case becomes that over time... gold slowly gets replaced by Bitcoin... that [is] $1,000,000 a Bitcoin just to be where gold is.”
Not reached yet (high $126,296 since 2025-06-12); 2030-06-12 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.
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At the Bloomberg Crypto Summit, Novogratz reaffirmed Bitcoin reaching over $500,000 by 2027.
“Bitcoin reaching the price levels of over $500,000 by 2027”
Not reached yet (high $126,296 since 2022-07-19); 2027-12-31 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.