Vinny Lingham
Resolved (8)
- ◐
If Bitcoin breaks below $60,000 on this retracement, expect significantly more downside.
“If Bitcoin dips below $60k on this retrace, look out below…”
BTC dipped to $57,718 in [2026-06-18..2026-07-01] — a minor break (within 3.8%) of the $60,000 floor.
- ✓
Bitcoin will retest $60k after the $72k bounce, which he views as a dead cat bounce.
“$72k was a dead cat bounce. Now we retest $60k…”
BTC fell as low as $57,718 in [2026-02-24..2026-07-01], reaching the $60,000 downside target.
- ◐
Bitcoin critical levels right now: $64k - we lose that and we retest $60k very quickly but there is still hope for a bounce. $60k - this is the most critical support level of this cycle. A sharp V-shaped bounce here forms a double bottom. If we lose $60k, violent cascading liquidations ensue and you can kiss any recovery goodbye, at least until the next halving approaches; you'll probably see a bunch of treasury companies for both BTC and ETH blow up (a 2022-type blow up).
“If we lose $60k, violent cascading liquidations ensue, and you can kiss any recovery goodbye, at least until the next halving approaches”
$60k support held and produced the hoped-for bounce (to $82,814 from $64,626), but $60k was later lost, dropping BTC to $58,161 — both the bounce and the eventual breakdown he warned of occurred.
- ◐
The $60k–$72k range was a dead cat bounce implying further downside below $60k ahead.
“$60-72k was a 20% bounce (dead cat imho), but maybe it's different this time…”
BTC dipped to $57,718 in [2026-02-14..2026-07-01] — a minor break (within 3.8%) of the $60,000 floor.
- ✓
When asked if Bitcoin had bottomed in the Feb 2026 drawdown: 'I don't think that we've seen the end of the pain' / 'Do I think Bitcoin's bottomed? Absolutely not.'
“I don't think that we've seen the end of the pain”
Called more pain / not bottomed at $66,208 on 2026-02-12; BTC fell further to $58,000 low and sits at $58,161 — the predicted continued decline played out.
- ✓
Bitcoin is officially in a bear market cycle and the current bounce is a dead cat bounce with lower prices ahead.
“I have high conviction that this is a dead cat bounce, and we're officially in a Bitcoin bear market cycle. Would love to hear thoughts from @ZeroHedge_ @CalebFranzen”
Called dead-cat bounce / bear cycle with lower prices at $70,528; BTC dropped to $58,000 low and is at $58,161 now — meaningfully lower as predicted.
- ✗
Bitcoin could reach $120,000 by the end of the year if Trump wins the election; if he loses, it might tank.
“Yes, if Trump wins, Bitcoin could rise. If he loses, it might tank.”
BTC's high was only $108,389 through the 2024-12-31 horizon; never reached $120,000.
- ✗
If $30K continues to hold, we'll likely break $100K bitcoin this year (2021).
“If $30K continues to hold, we'll likely break $100K bitcoin this year”
BTC's high was only $69,000 through the 2021-12-31 horizon; never reached $100,000.