Jason Pizzino
Resolved (70)
- ◐
A bounce is expected but a recovery from the current structure breakdown will be harder than the market believes; patience is warranted.
“Bitcoin on track for its lowest weekly close since September 2024, 21 months ago, and the lowest close this bear market, below February. A bounce is expected but I think the market believes a recovery from this structure breakdown is easier than it'll be. Be patient. The time”
Bounce expected and recovery hard: BTC did bounce to $67,264 from $63,303 but then fell to $58,161 — bounce came, recovery indeed faltered as warned, mixed.
- ✗
Once stock markets consolidate in 2026, Bitcoin prices should begin to recover again.
“The stock markets are tumbling pretty hard off the highs; right on time to take Bitcoin to a new low for this cycle. Once the markets have time to consolidate this year, we should see prices begin to recover again.”
Predicted prices begin to recover this year (deadline 2026) after a new cycle low; by deadline BTC fell to $58,000 low and sits at $58,161 — no recovery, made a lower low.
- ✓
Bitcoin looks ready to retest the cycle lows again, as falling volume and low social interest point to further weakness.
“Bitcoin looks to be getting ready to test the lows again like it does every bear market (or 4-year cycle). Falling volume, lack of social interest (search volume), and a structure reminiscent of further weakness.”
Predicted retest of cycle lows from $75,826; BTC fell to $58,000, taking out prior lows and confirming further weakness.
- ✗
Bitcoin may be transitioning from bearish to bullish; watch Q3 2026 for early signs of that shift.
“Bitcoin is 2% from a red month after a weak bear market rally to the 200D MA. Volume is still low on the rallies which indicates sellers still outway the buyers, although both are declining. This is sign the market may be transitioning from bearish to bullish. Look out for Q3. 👌”
Called possible bearish-to-bullish transition, watch Q3 2026; by the 2026-09-30 horizon (already past as_of in Q3 start) BTC fell from $77,548 to $58,161 — continued bearish, no bullish shift.
- ✓
The cycle low for Bitcoin has not been confirmed yet — further downside in price, time, or structure is still needed.
“Bitcoin has taken 12 weeks to recover the losses of the last crash low. Prior recoveries have been 8 weeks and 2 weeks. As I've been saying in the daily YouTube videos, there are signs the tide is turning but no confirmation that the low is in yet. That means, price, time,”
Called for further downside / low not confirmed; BTC fell from $78,559 to $58,000 (now $58,161), so more downside in price and time clearly followed.
- ✓
The Bitcoin cycle bottom has not been confirmed — buying the bottom is premature.
“Every person who says the caught the bitcoin bottom probably have an average price higher than the current price. If you don't understand this, then you're also getting fooled. (Btw- the bottom isn't confirmed either)”
Said the bottom was not confirmed and buying was premature; BTC dropped from $77,651 to $58,000 afterward, confirming buyers there were premature.
- ◐
Bitcoin is about to see another correction on increasing volume, consistent with historical bear market finales, signaling the bear market is nearing its end.
“Bitcoin is repeating the 12-year-old pattern of rallying on low volume to the 200W MA. What followed in all prior bear markets was another correction on INCREASING volume which is a great sign the bear market is coming to an end and beginning it's final transition.”
The predicted 'another correction' materialized (low $58,000), but the 'bear market coming to an end' thesis is unconfirmed — BTC is still at fresh lows ($58,161), no transition out yet.
- ✓
Bitcoin price will go lower because it has not closed above the 50% level ($71,000); every prior cycle has led to further declines from this point.
“Bitcoin rejected again below the 50% level, $71,000. Every cycle Bitcoin closes below this level, price has always gone down more. The low isn't in yet.”
Predicted further declines after rejecting below ~$71k 50% level; BTC fell from $71,910 to $58,000, low clearly not yet in.
- ✓
Bitcoin will eventually produce a convincing relief rally that fools market participants into believing the low is in.
“Bitcoin will eventually have a relief rally that makes people believe the low is in and we all missed it. That's what is meant by "bear markets will do enough to fool the bulls and the bears."”
Anticipated a convincing relief rally that fools people the low is in; BTC rallied from $66,894 to $82,814 (+24%) then collapsed back to $58,000 — exactly that fake-out.
- ◐
Bitcoin needs to reclaim above $81k after April 1 or it heads lower again.
“The Bitcoin bulls need a miracle. That miracle entails >$81k after the 1st of April. Otherwise, we do the dance again.”
His condition (>$81k after April 1) was actually met — high $82,814 — yet BTC still 'did the dance again' and crashed to $58,000, so the bullish implication of the reclaim failed; the dichotomy resolved both ways.
- ✓
Bitcoin's bear-market relief rally targets $79k-$81k.
“Bitcoin bear market rally per the ST forecast. $71k broken, with $74k/$75k as first resistance. The next target is $79k-$81k. All rallies below this level are still treated as counter-trend moves.”
Relief-rally target $79k-$81k was reached and exceeded — high since made was $82,814 (from $72,683).
- ✓
Bitcoin will break above $71k in a 2-5 week bear-market rally.
“Bitcoin is setting up for its best chance at breaking above $71,000 since the collapse 2 weeks ago. It's all part of the bear market rally, which typically lasts 2-5 weeks.”
Broke above $71k within the 2-5 week window — spot was $72,683 by March 4 (made Feb 17), and rally ran to $82,814.
- ✓
Bitcoin will see a short-term rally lasting 2-5 weeks.
“After hitting an all-time high of $126,000 in October 2025, Bitcoin has plunged over 50%, even falling below $71k which is the bull market halfway point. Institutions/buyers have been stepping in again, which I think will lead to a short-term rally lasting 2-5 weeks”
A short-term rally materialized in the 2-5 week window — from $68,804 (Feb 10) to ~$72,683 by early March, ultimately peaking at $82,814.
- ✓
Unless Bitcoin closes above $98k the bearish base case (more downside) stays in play.
“The last remaining hopium for the bulls is playing out right now. BTC price needs a close above $98k for the relief rally to gain any slithers of strength left in it. Otherwise, our base case of the last 2-3 months remains in play. #Bitcoin”
BTC never closed above $98k (high since was only $91,147) and the bearish base case played out — price fell from $89,464 to $58,000.
- ✓
Closes under $86k-$89k would confirm Bitcoin's macro downtrend continues.
“Bitcoin continues to tumble and is on the cusp of completing the relief rally (a counter trend rally in a macro down trend). Closes under support around $86k-$89k would almost seal the deal on finally invalidating the latest narratives of "5-year" cycles and "business cycles".”
Support at $86k-$89k broke decisively; BTC fell to $58,000 low and sits at $58,161, confirming the macro downtrend continued.
- ✓
Bitcoin is bouncing off $107k and heading for $111k.
“Bitcoin bulls not giving up the fight yet. Nice bounce off $107k, now heading for $111k. Make a wish”
BTC traded as high as $111,629 in [2025-10-30..2026-07-06], reaching the $111,000 target.
- ✓
A new all-time high (above the prior ~$124k ATH) is almost guaranteed for Q4 2025.
“Bitcoin closed at its second-highest price in history. A new all-time high is almost guaranteed for Q4. #BTC #crypto”
BTC traded as high as $126,296 in [2025-10-03..2025-12-31], reaching the $124,000 target.
- ✓
Based on the 35-month cycle time count, the bull-market top is expected in an October-December 2025 window.
“Bitcoin in September checked out: lower low (marginal) and a green close. Today, BTC enters the 35th month of the bull market. The last two cycles ended at this monthly time count, however the 2013 cycle ended in 37 months. That gives us a window of October to December should”
BTC's ATH $126,296 printed Oct 6 2025 and was never exceeded, declining to $57,718 by Jul 2026 — top inside his Oct-Dec 2025 window.
- ✗
With BTC ~$115,316, Pizzino said BTC is likely to hit a cycle top in Q4 (Oct/Nov) if history repeats; targets of at least $122,000 in 2025, possibly $144,000, and beyond the mid-$130,000s toward the $160,000s before year-end.
“Beyond the mid $130,000s, we're looking still towards the $160,000s.”
BTC's high was only $126,296 through the 2025-12-31 horizon; never reached $160,000.
- ✓
Bitcoin upside target is $92k (overbalancing price and time for the bulls).
“Bitcoin is getting closer to overbalancing price and time for the bulls. $92k is the target.”
BTC traded as high as $126,296 in [2025-04-13..2026-04-13], reaching the $92,000 target.
- ✓
With BTC ~$87,877 (down ~20% from the Jan 2025 ATH), Pizzino stayed bullish: said BTC still has further upside to new higher highs because no significant breakdowns had occurred; the 'catch' was that a USDT-dominance break above 5.5-5.6% would flip the thesis bearish.
“I still think that we've got further upside for $BTC, to new higher highs because we haven't seen any significant breakdowns.”
Called further upside to new higher highs from $84,625; BTC rose to a new ATH of $126,296 after the call.
- ✗
Pizzino said BTC could hit $136,000 by the start of next year, arguing a right-translated cycle (later peak) is now effectively guaranteed; flagged ~$120,000 as a major psychological resistance zone.
“Bitcoin could hit a price of $136,000 by the start of next year... a right-translated cycle... is now guaranteed for Bitcoin.”
BTC's high was only $126,296 through the 2026-01-31 horizon; never reached $136,000.
- ✓
Downside price target of $78k-$81k from a double-top extension to 150% of the range.
“Bitcoin double top extension to 150% of the range. Price target $78-$81k. If this makes you scared, consider reviewing today's video about the long-term market structure for BTC and SP500/tradfi.”
BTC fell into the zone at a $78,168 low (Feb 28) and on to $74,421 (Apr 7 2025), reaching the $78k-$81k downside target.
- ✓
Bitcoin is unlikely to make a clean new ATH this month and is due for another dump.
“The comments on my latest YouTube video are so jaded right now. When this happens, we usually see Bitcoin take another dump. Not immediately, but it's unlikely BTC will make a new ATH this month or at the very least, a slightly new ATH followed by a dump. Either way, the moon”
After Dec 23 BTC peaked only $99,887 (Dec 26), below the Dec-17 $108,389 ATH, and dumped to $91,271 (Dec 30) by year-end — no new ATH plus a dump.
- ✗
Pizzino told subscribers BTC may hit a cycle top after a ~33% gain from then-current value, with a price target toward $122,000 (150% swing extension), possibly hit by January (with a slower path into March/April 2025).
“Bitcoin may hit a cycle top after a 33% gain from its current value. The Bitcoin price target is looking towards $122,000... the six-figure price target may be hit by January.”
BTC's high was only $109,358 through the 2025-04-30 horizon; never reached $122,000.
- ✓
Next Bitcoin upside price target is $96k.
“Bitcoin just hit my next short-term price target of $89,000. That's a 10% move in a single day, making this technically an extension of the reference range. The next target is $96k. → Bookmark/Reshare for future reference 🔖♻️”
BTC traded as high as $126,296 in [2024-11-11..2025-11-11], reaching the $96,000 target.
- ✓
A new USD all-time high (above the prior ~$73.8k ATH) is imminent ("just around the corner").
“Bitcoin New AUD ATH $111,700! 🥳🚀 New USD ATH just around the corner. 🇺🇸”
BTC traded as high as $126,296 in [2024-10-29..2025-10-28], reaching the $73,800 target.
- ✓
A new all-time high (above the prior ~$73.8k ATH) is inevitable by Q4 2024 / Q1 2025.
“Bitcoin just hit $66,000. The TIA 3-Day rule that held the market down from March is coming to an end. A new ATH seems inevitable in Q4/Q1-25. Let’s go!”
BTC traded as high as $109,358 in [2024-10-14..2025-03-31], reaching the $73,800 target.
- ✓
Bitcoin will be the next major market to make a new all-time high, following the SP500 and Dow Jones.
“New ATH #SP500 and #DJI. Bitcoin is next.”
BTC exceeded its $73.8k ATH on Nov 6 2024 and reached $104,000 by Dec 5 2024.
- ✓
BTC will hit $90,000 regardless of the election outcome.
“Bitcoin will hit $90,000 regardless of who is elected President. Does anyone actually believe it matters? 🤷🏻♂️”
BTC traded as high as $126,296 in [2024-09-10..2026-07-06], reaching the $90,000 target.
- ✓
BTC will make a new all-time high before the end of 2024.
“The #BTC market looks like it'll make a new ATH before the end of the year, and strong altcoins are set to follow.”
BTC traded as high as $108,389 in [2024-07-31..2024-12-31], reaching the $73,800 target.
- ✓
BTC is forming a higher low for the macro bull market (whether it holds $59k or dips to $49k).
“Whether it remains at $59k or falls to $49k, one thing is almost inevitable, #Bitcoin is forming a higher low for the macro bull market.”
BTC dipped to $49,050 (Aug 5 2024) as he flagged, held above the ~$38k Jan low (a higher low), and continued to new ATHs.
- ◐
BTC's trading range has extremes of roughly $50k to $80k; can hit a new ATH but not necessarily $100k.
“#Bitcoin can still hit a new ATH. That doesn't mean it must hit $100k. ... My view over the last month remains unchanged: the trading range could has extremes of ~$50k to ~$80k.”
The $50k-$80k band held ~7 months ($49,050-$76k) and the new-ATH call was right, but BTC broke $80k (Nov 10) and hit $104,000 (Dec 5 2024), exceeding both the ceiling and the $100k hedge.
- ✓
With BTC near $69k, Pizzino laid out upside TA targets of $78,500 (50% ext), $81,000 (100% ext), then $87,000, $96,000 and $113,600; said BTC getting above ~$78k could spur an altseason.
“$78,500...50% comes in at $78,400. Now the 100% is at $81,000.”
BTC traded as high as $126,296 in [2024-03-29..2026-03-28], reaching the $113,600 target.
- ✓
The next BTC top won't be the cycle top; higher highs are still to come.
“The next top for #Bitcoin probably won't be the last for this cycle. However, I think the next intermediate top will do just enough to fool the gurus and the masses into thinking this cycle is over. There's still more time.”
After the Mar-2024 $73.8k high BTC made higher highs — $108,389 (Dec 17 2024) and $126,296 (Oct 6 2025).
- ✓
A new all-time high is almost guaranteed following the highest monthly close in history.
“Less than 1 hour and $100 to go for #Bitcoin to close at its highest monthly close in history which historically means a new ATH is almost guaranteed.”
BTC traded as high as $109,358 in [2024-02-29..2025-02-28], reaching the $69,000 target.
- ✓
BTC will be trading above $42k before the end of 2024 (and probably before the Nov election).
“one thing I have forecasted already is that Bitcoin will be trading higher than $42k before the end of 2024 and probably before the elections in November.”
BTC traded as high as $108,389 in [2024-01-23..2024-12-31], reaching the $42,000 target.
- ◐
This is likely the last time BTC trades below $40k this cycle.
“Thanks to another 'sell-the-news' event courtesy of the #BTC ETF announcement, this will likely be the last period of buying #Bitcoin under $40k for this cycle.”
BTC dipped to $38,501 in [2024-01-23..2025-01-23] — a minor break (within 3.7%) of the $40,000 floor.
- ✓
BTC will make a new all-time high in Q4 2024.
“This post-ETF correction is another chapter in the #Bitcoin story of a likely new ATH in late 2024. I’m estimating new ATH in Q4.”
BTC broke $73.8k on Nov 6 2024 (Q4) and ran to $104,000 by Dec 5 2024.
- ◐
After the weekly breakdown, BTC's next major downside target is $37,000.
“#Bitcoin is down 15% from the high. The next major downside target is the next Gann 50% level at $37,000. After all the hype, now downside targets don't seem so far-fetched.”
BTC fell to $38,501 by the 2025-01-15 horizon — within 4.1% of the $37,000 target but not reached.
- ✓
BTC will print a new all-time high in 2H 2024 or 1H 2025.
“Yes, we'll probably see a New ATH for BTC in 2H 2024 or 1H 2025 based on the timing.”
BTC exceeded its prior $73.8k ATH on Nov 6 2024 (high $76,510), inside the 2H-2024 window.
- ✓
BTC will reach the $42,000 Gann 50% target.
“Now just 18.5% away from our $42,000 target at the Gann 50% level. This is what early-stage Bull markets look like.”
BTC traded as high as $77,312 in [2023-11-09..2024-11-09], reaching the $42,000 target.
- ✓
BTC will never trade below $25,000 again this cycle.
“I think it's almost safe to say we'll never see <$25,000 again this cycle. 🐂”
BTC's low was $34,079, held at/above $25,000 (through 2024-11-01).
- ✗
BTC will trade between $32k and $48k over the next 6-12 months.
““We could potentially see #Bitcoin trade between $32k and $48k over the next 6-12 months.””
BTC blew through the $48k ceiling to a $73,836 ATH by Mar 14 2024, far outside the predicted $32k-$48k band.
- ✓
The cycle low is confirmed in at $15.5k (macro chart bullish).
“The #Bitcoin macro chart is bullish. The #BTC low for this cycle is in at $15.5k.”
BTC's low was $26,806, held at/above $15,500 (through 2025-10-15).
- ✓
The macro cycle low at $15.5k will hold; a breakdown below it is unlikely, so accumulate.
“Essentially, #BTC has been range-bound between $25k and $32k for the best part of 2023. The odds aren't looking good for a breakdown of the macro cycle low at $15.5k so set DCA orders accordingly.”
BTC's low was $25,984, held at/above $15,500 (through 2025-09-15).
- ◐
Bitcoin likely to retest ~$23,600.
“Rejected at $27,700 and #Bitcoin dropped to $26,000. Likely retest of the June low and the major 50% at $23,600.”
BTC fell to $24,900 by the 2024-08-28 horizon — within 5.5% of the $23,600 target but not reached.
- ✓
Bitcoin will not hit $100k+ before the April 2024 halving.
“#Bitcoin is testing another 50% level again this year. This time it comes from a weaker upside push. This is probably going to take a while just like every other early-stage bull market. Forget about those $100k+ targets before the halving lol”
BTC's high was $73,836, stayed at/below $100,000 (through 2024-04-20).
- ✓
Bitcoin will not make a final cycle top in 2023.
“Bitcoin will not mark a final cycle top in 2023. ❌ A left translated cycle for #Bitcoin is highly unlikely in 2023. (Aka a cycle top) Highly unlikely; as in less than 5% chance.”
BTC did not top in 2023 — it rose from ~$26k to $45,000 (Dec 5 2023) and climbed on to $126,296 (Oct 2025).
- ✓
No big Bitcoin bear market in 2023, 2024 or 2025.
“The big bear market will probably happen later this decade. Not in 2023. I agree there will be a big bear for bitcoin but it's not in 2023/24/25.”
Max drawdown within the window was ~-36% ($126,296 Oct 6 to $80,525 Nov 21 2025); no prolonged bear market before the 2025 deadline — the -54% slide to $57,718 came in 2026.
- ✓
Bitcoin will not hit $165k by Nov 2023 (<1% chance).
“The bet is off before it began however there is clarity on Coosh's $165k BTC by Nov 2023 target: *Less than a 1% chance*”
BTC's high was $38,480, stayed at/below $165,000 (through 2023-11-30).
- ✓
Bitcoin will not reach $100,000 in 2023.
“I might be bullish on #Bitcoin but I don't see it reaching $100,000 in 2023.”
BTC's high was $45,000, stayed at/below $100,000 (through 2023-12-31).
- ✓
Bitcoin won't go under $20,000 again this cycle.
“Chances are the new bull market started in November 2022 and won't go under $20,000 again in this cycle.”
BTC's low was $24,900, held at/above $20,000 (through 2025-06-28).
- ✓
Bitcoin will not reach $200k by end of 2023.
“Although I'd love a $200k BTC before the end of the year, it's a little too early and a little too high of a target in my opinion :) Maybe this price target in 2025 but maybe it falls short too.”
BTC's high was $45,000, stayed at/below $200,000 (through 2023-12-31).
- ✓
Bitcoin's cycle low is in; it won't make a new low.
“Here's another 2 forecasts: 1. US/UK/Aus land prices will NOT collapse in 2023 or 2024 or 2025. 2. US banks that collapsed in 1H 2023 will not collapse the stock markets in 2023. Bonus: Bitcoin cycle low is in.”
The $15,460 Nov-2022 low was never breached; the lowest post-claim print was $24,750 (Jun 2023) before BTC ran to a $126,296 ATH.
- ✓
Don't expect Bitcoin to trade sub-$20k after this breakout.
“When #Bitcoin corrects, don't be fooled by the bears. Don't expect sub $20k. Breaking out of a macro double top is a big deal. A very big deal.”
BTC's low was $24,750, held at/above $20,000 (through 2024-03-19).
- ✓
Bitcoin will not go under $18k.
“I like the punishment but I don't think bitcoin will go under $18k now so we're on the same side of the bet!”
BTC's low was $24,750, held at/above $18,000 (through 2024-03-18).
- ✓
Bitcoin will not dump to $15k.
“I wish #Bitcoin would dump to $15k but I don't think the bulls will let that happen 🥲”
BTC's low was $19,569, held at/above $15,000 (through 2025-02-03).
- ✓
Bitcoin will not hit $10,000 in 2022 / this bear market.
“In case it wasn't obvious, I'm joking. I do not think Bitcoin will hit $10,000 in 2022. BTC probably won't hit $10k in this bear market.”
BTC's low was $16,326, held at/above $10,000 (through 2022-12-31).
- ◐
Bitcoin's cycle-bottom capitulation target is the $11k-$15k range.
“#Crypto and #Bitcoin potential capitulation targets for a cycle bottom: $BTC 11k-15k $ETH 600-800 $ADA 0.09-0.27 $SOL 5-10 $XRP 0.20-0.30 $FTT 0.000001”
BTC bottomed $15,460 (Nov 21) — ~3% above his $15k upper bound and never inside the $11k-$15k target zone, a near-miss.
- ✓
Bitcoin's next bullish target is ~$24,600.
“Highest daily close for $BTC in 5 weeks. Current #Bitcoin Battle Zone and Next Bullish Target at ~$24,600.”
BTC traded as high as $31,862 in [2022-07-20..2023-07-20], reaching the $24,600 target.
- ✓
Bitcoin breakout closing target is $22,000.
“#Bitcoin breakout: closing target is $22,000 🚀”
BTC traded as high as $31,525 in [2022-07-08..2023-07-08], reaching the $22,000 target.
- ✓
The worst is nearly over; Bitcoin may bottom around $15k-$18k.
“I think the worst is NEARLY over. Maybe #Bitcoin goes to $15k-$18k but it's not a big percentage drop from the current price of $20k. BUT, I'll bet the emotions will be BIG! 😱”
BTC bottomed $17,567 two days later (Jun 18) and made its final low $15,460 (Nov 21), both inside the $15k-$18k zone as the bear ended.
- ✓
Bitcoin will likely retest ~$25k; it's just a question of when.
“#Bitcoin will likely retest ~$25k. It's just a question of 'when'.”
BTC fell as low as $15,460 in [2022-06-11..2023-06-11], reaching the $25,000 downside target.
- ✓
In 2022 Bitcoin will neither rise to $60,000 nor fall to $6,000.
“Things that #Bitcoin WILL NOT do in 2022: Go to $60,000. Go to $6,000. Cheers.”
2022's range held between $15,460 (Nov 21) and $48,240 (Mar 28), touching neither $60k nor $6k.
- ✓
Bitcoin is heading down to $20,000.
“If you thought #Bitcoin at $69,000 was amazing, you're going to love $BTC at $20,000 even more! 🐂”
BTC fell as low as $15,460 in [2022-05-23..2023-05-23], reaching the $20,000 downside target.
- ✓
Bitcoin will reach $100,000 one day, but will retest $25k first.
“#BITCOIN WILL BE $100,000 ONE DAY!!! 🚀 (but it'll be $25k again first.)”
BTC traded as high as $110,789 in [2022-05-21..2025-05-21], reaching the $100,000 target.
- ✓
Bitcoin is not going to $14k; the cycle is not over.
“#crypto cycle is not over yet… #Bitcoin is not going to $14k… Relax- enjoy your weekends! 🏄🏻♂️”
BTC's low was $15,460, held at/above $14,000 (through 2024-12-11).
- ✗
$69,000 is not the Bitcoin cycle top; new highs above it are still coming.
“Here's another echo of @benjamincowen 🚀 $69k is NOT the #Bitcoin top. As they say, credit where credit is due.”
The Nov-2021 $69,000 high proved the cycle top: from the Dec-3 close of $53,638 BTC fell -21% to $42,333 by Dec 4 and crashed to $15,460 (Nov 2022), not exceeding $69k until a new cycle (Mar 2024).
- ✗
In the run up from the June 2021 low, Bitcoin will reach at least $89,000 (with $100k+ on the cards).
“#Bitcoin might be stalling on us atm but we're going to at least $89,000 in this major run from the June 2021 low. $100k and beyond is still on the cards. There might just be a few more hiccups on the way.”
BTC's high was only $69,000 through the 2022-11-10 horizon; never reached $89,000.
Open (21)
- ⏳
The final Bitcoin cycle low plays out through July, August and Q3 2026 — if the ~$57.7k low isn't already it — with his 3-day signal flashing off that low.
“what I think is happening through July, August, and basically quarter 3 until we get to that final cycle low, if not already hit the cycle low. Um, and that is that these signals occurred on a Friday, a Saturday, and then well, the”
Made same week as the ~$57.7k low; Q3-2026 window (deadline 2026-09-30) just beginning.
- ⏳
Bitcoin can rally through July toward the 200-week MA (~$62.5k) and possibly the 50% levels around $70-71k, but even if it does, further downside follows, with the final cycle low in the early-to-mid part of Q4 2026.
“price over this period could rally to that point as we've pointed out why it could rally from here, and we've looked at volume and other things like that, If it rallies to those points, still looking at further downside if it is”
Q4-2026 final-low sequence (deadline 2026-12-31) still in progress; BTC ~$63,599 near the 200-week MA.
- ⏳
The Bitcoin bottom is not in yet — there is still further to go below $57k, but the cycle low is getting very close.
“profile shift. And I put this on a couple of videos over the last week, preparing for the cycle low. We haven't seen the bottom yet. We've got an extra Uh I think there's still further to go below 57, but we're getting very close.”
BTC's low was $59,520, held at/above $57,000 (through 2026-07-06).
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Bitcoin has not reached its cycle low: conservative cycle-low target range $43k-$58k, with the 300-week MA at ~$54k the upper end and his extensions pointing to roughly $46-47k.
“at around $54,000. You might recall my conservative price targets have been between 43 and 58,000 bucks. 54 puts us at the upper end and I'm looking somewhere around this 46 to 47 based on”
Not reached yet (low $57,718 since 2026-06-29); 2026-12-31 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-06.
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Bitcoin is expected to fall toward the $54,000 zone (300-week MA / Feb 2024 low), his conservative downside price target.
“Bitcoin finishing the week weak and potentially closing at its lowest price since September 2024. The next lowest closing price is February 2024 at $54,000 which is also the 300W MA and in our conservative price target zone. Major time frames all closing this week, too.”
BTC's low was $57,718, held at/above $54,000 (through 2026-07-06).
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Bitcoin is approaching its cycle low and the low has not yet been set.
“Bitcoin is obviously weak atm. However, considering Mictrostrategy and Strategy have been crushed, BTC isn't trading so bad today. I'm not saying the low is in for Bitcoin. But I still think it is yet another sign we are getting closer to the cycle low.”
Made at $59,704; marginal new low $57,717 (2026-07-01) since, but whether the cycle low is set is undetermined.
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The bear market isn't over — Bitcoin is headed down to the 300-week moving average, where his Gann extension levels cluster in the low $50Ks (roughly $50-54k).
“market's over yet. Uh I'm still very much on the on the side that we're going to the 300 week moving average which also lines up with our GAN extension levels here. You've got a few converging with a price cluster around the low 50s.”
Not reached yet (low $57,718 since 2026-06-25); 2026-12-31 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-06.
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Bitcoin's next price target after breaking the 200-week MA is the 300-week MA around $54,000.
“Bitcoin breaks the 200W Moving Average and is trading below $60,000. Next target is the 300WMA, around $54,000.”
Not reached yet (low $57,718 since 2026-06-24); 2027-03-24 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-06.
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Bitcoin is getting very close to its cycle low but there is a fair bit more pain (lower prices) to go first — with a 200-week-MA breakdown pointing to the final low around the September-October 2026 window.
“investor.com. Today's video is on Bitcoin and tech stocks. I think we're getting very close to this Bitcoin cycle low, but probably a fair bit more pain to go through. And there also seems to be some signs that the tech stocks will”
Sept-Oct 2026 low window (deadline 2026-10-31) not elapsed; marginal new low $57,717 so far.
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If the liquidity trend does not reverse, Bitcoin will see no new all-time high in the next cycle, or at very best only a marginal higher high before crashing.
“Since February 2026, liquidity, and interest has been leaving Bitcoin and crypto at a rate not seen before. If this trend does not reverse, I think no new ATH for Bitcoin in the next cycle is still on the cards, or at very best a marginal higher high before crashing, like ETH,”
Ceiling/cycle claim about 'next cycle' no new ATH; that window is long/cycle-scale and has not elapsed — outcome undetermined.
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The Bitcoin cycle low is approaching but has not been reached yet; more perma-bull capitulation is still needed.
“I am seeing some Bitcoin bulls beginning to pivot to "just a few more months then we'll be right". I'd say we are getting closer to the cycle low but not there yet. Still need more perma bulls to capitulate.”
Cycle-low-approaching call; low $57,717 since, no confirmed low; window open.
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Bitcoin's cycle low price zone is between $40,000 and $55,000.
“"Bitcoin will trade under $50k *only* if the 50% level is broken." - 31/12/25 Update: it was broken in February. My low target has been between $30k-$50k, but as we get closer to the cycle low in time, I'm moving more towards $40k-$55k as a low price zone. The charts will”
Low so far $57,717 (2026-07-01) sits just above the $40-55k zone; cycle-low window still open.
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With a monthly close below $71k, Bitcoin's bear market continues at least 6+ more months before a low.
“The $71,000 level is the halfway point of the Bitcoin Bull Market. Every time in history that BTC has closed on a monthly basis under the 50% level (halfway point), the bear market has continued for several more months at least 6+ months before a low is found.”
6+-month window (~2026-08-05) not elapsed; bear has indeed continued (BTC $63,599, no low set) but window is open.
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Bitcoin's first closing target for the bulls is $108k.
“Bitcoin rallying off $100k, forming a higher low. The first closing target for the bulls is $108k. Otherwise, you know what happens.”
Not reached yet (high $104,050 since 2025-11-13); 2026-08-13 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-06.
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With local lows confirmed, Bitcoin's minimum upside target is $113k.
“Bitcoin and Ethereum local lows are confirmed. The hard work is ahead to overbalance the short-term bears. The minimum target is $113k”
Not reached yet (high $107,482 since 2025-11-09); 2026-08-09 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-06.
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Pizzino (BTC ~$116,300) said a real altcoin season and a BTC push past the $150,000-$180,000 range needs USDT dominance to break below 3.7%; warned consolidation under $106,000 would look weak.
“we need to get a breakdown of 3.7% to see any sort of real altcoin season and really seeing Bitcoin pump potentially past that $150,000 to $180,000 range.”
Not reached yet (high $126,296 since 2025-08-08); 2027-08-08 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-06.
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Cathie Wood's $1,000,000 BTC target (before 2030) is ludicrous and won't happen.
“This time @CathieDWood's $1,000,000 #Bitcoin target is now sooner than 2030. The moon boys and moon girls are preparing the masses. This target is ludicrous and they know it.”
BTC's high was $126,296, stayed at/below $1,000,000 (through 2026-07-06).
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Due to diminishing returns, BTC will not reach ~$340k (2100% off the $15.5k low) this cycle.
“For Bitcoin to have greater returns than last cycle, it will have to increase more than 2100% from the cycle low of $15,500; that's a staggering price target of roughly $340,000.”
BTC's high was $126,296, stayed at/below $340,000 (through 2026-07-06).
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After 2025 Bitcoin faces tough times with no new ATH for a long time.
“Either way, there will be some tough times after 2025 for BTC, eg no New ATH for a long time.”
BTC topped $126,296 (Oct 6 2025) and sits at $63,599 (Jul 6 2026) with no new ATH — consistent so far, but the 'for a long time' claim (~9 months in) has not yet elapsed.
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In ~10 years (2033), 10 BTC will be worth under $4m (BTC under ~$400k).
“10 Bitcoin will probably be worth more than $1.2m but no where near $7m I'd say it will be closer to the 1.2m than 7m so it'll be under $4m for 10 BTC in 10 years.”
BTC's high was $126,296, stayed at/below $400,000 (through 2026-07-06).
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Bitcoin will not reach $300k next cycle.
“Dreaming big is great for our personal goals. But Bitcoin isn't personal - it's not going to $300k next cycle ;)”
BTC's high was $126,296, stayed at/below $300,000 (through 2026-07-06).