Samson Mow
Resolved (5)
- ✗
The Bitcoin price bottom is already in, implying it goes up from here.
“I find it incredibly interesting how some people are so certain that the bottom is coming in 4 months because “cycles.” But we had an ATH 37 days before the halving, so it would seem even if you believe in cycles you should reason out the cycles accelerated. The bottom is in.”
Made 2026-06-28 calling 'the bottom is in' at $59,474, but BTC immediately made lower lows to $58,056 and sits at $58,161 below his level.
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New Year prediction #1 for 2025: Bitcoin will finally skyrocket to $1 million this year.
“Bitcoin to Reach $1 Million in 2025, Samson Mow Predicts; MicroStrategy Surge Ahead”
BTC's high was only $126,296 through the 2025-12-31 horizon; never reached $1,000,000.
- ✓
Once Bitcoin surpasses its previous all-time high (~$73,750), a recursive demand shock kicks in and it goes 'up all the way to $0.1M' ($100,000).
“Once we surpass the previous #Bitcoin ATH, recursive demand shock kicks in and it's up all the way to $0.1M.”
BTC traded as high as $109,358 in [2024-06-05..2025-03-05], reaching the $100,000 target.
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Samson Mow predicts Bitcoin will hit $1 million in 2024, or failing that, in 2025.
“I think this year we're going to hit a million. If not this year, next year, but it's coming very soon.”
BTC's high was only $126,296 through the 2025-12-31 horizon; never reached $1,000,000.
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Main prediction: the run-up to $1M Bitcoin happens in 'days to weeks' (catalyzed by the spot ETF supply crunch); starting point TBD.
“My main prediction is the run up to $1M happens in days to weeks. Starting point TBD.”
BTC's high was only $73,836 through the 2024-10-14 horizon; never reached $1,000,000.
Open (3)
- ⏳
Bitcoin will rise toward maximum-pain options expiry level at $72,000.
“Max pain is at $72k.”
Not reached yet (high $61,868 since 2026-06-25); 2027-06-25 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.
- ⏳
There is strong consensus from almost every price model that Bitcoin reaches $1.0M in 2031-2033, mechanically via either +150k/year steady or 'Multi Omega' years plus some sideways years.
“There is strong consensus from almost every price model that Bitcoin reaches $1.0M in 2031-2033. What does that look like mechanically? 1) +150k per year steady 2) Multi Omega years + some sideways years”
Not reached yet (high $97,964 since 2026-01-12); 2033-12-31 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.
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Samson's Predictions for 2026: $1.33M Bitcoin (plus MSTR to $5,000, at least 1 country launches Bitcoin Bonds, Elon Musk goes hard into BTC, Bitcoin outperforms metals).
“bitcoin will reach $1.33 million in 2026. That would be about a 1,367% increase from around $90,596.”
Not reached yet (high $97,964 since 2026-01-10); 2026-12-31 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.