Natalie Brunell
Resolved (4)
- ✓
Bitcoin still has room for the price to run and will push toward even more all-time highs as this bull cycle is still early.
“there's still room for the price to run... Bitcoin is pushing toward even more all-time highs. In a world where they're devaluing your dollars, Bitcoin stands as the way to opt out.”
Said BTC was 'pushing toward even more all-time highs' on 2025-05-26 at $109,464; BTC then printed a new ATH of $126,296, fulfilling the call.
- ◐
Bitcoin is still likely in the early innings of its bull market and will continue gaining against gold.
“Digital sound money is in the process of overtaking analog sound money, and there's no reason to believe this trend will reverse anytime soon. It shows how we're still likely in the early innings of the Bitcoin bull market.”
'Early innings, still room to run' (2025-03-18, $82,699): BTC did rally to a new ATH of $126,296, but then collapsed to $58,161 (below entry), contradicting the early-innings thesis.
- ✓
Bitcoin will face a lot of headwinds over the next six to 12 months, but will hit six figures and new all-time highs within the next 24 months.
“Brunell predicts that Bitcoin will face 'a lot of headwinds' over the next six to 12 months, but believes it will 'hit six figures' and new all-time highs within the next '24 months.'”
BTC traded as high as $112,000 in [2023-07-07..2025-07-07], reaching the $100,000 target.
- ✗
Bitcoin will face a lot of headwinds over the next six to 12 months (from July 2023).
“Brunell predicts that Bitcoin will face 'a lot of headwinds' over the next six to 12 months, but believes it will 'hit six figures' and new all-time highs within the next '24 months.'”
Predicted 'a lot of headwinds' over next 6-12 months on 2023-07-07 at $30,352; instead BTC rallied to $73,836 by the 2024-07-07 deadline — no headwinds, strong run-up.
Open (5)
- ⏳
Natalie is confident that the market will eventually price Bitcoin higher to reflect its unique fixed-supply advantage over gold and silver.
“Bitcoin is the only asset in the world where supply will not change in response to demand ever... I'm confident the market will eventually figure this out.”
Open-ended 'market will eventually price BTC higher' claim (2025-12-29, $87,111) with no deadline; BTC has since fallen to $58,161 but the long-run thesis remains undetermined.
- ⏳
Natalie is very confident that Bitcoin's price will grow significantly faster than 1.4% per year going forward.
“I feel very confident Bitcoin is going to go up much more than 1.4% a year from here on out.”
Long-run 'much more than 1.4%/year going forward' claim with no deadline; near-term BTC is down ~36% ($90,654 to $58,161) but the annualized/long-horizon outcome is undetermined.
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Bitcoin will outperform other asset classes over the long run as the premier store of value against currency debasement.
“I would prefer to be wrong in the short run and right in the long run. And that's what I think we are with Bitcoin. It has outperformed almost every other asset over the last five, 10 years.”
Claim commits to Bitcoin outperforming other major asset classes over a long-term multi-year horizon with no specific price target or deadline.
- ⏳
Bitcoin has roughly 100x upside in value from its current level.
“you're at a $2 trillion asset class. to enter now, the potential is not five times, not 10 times, but in my opinion, a hundred times from where we are here. I can't say that about any other asset”
Open-ended 100x call (~$92,914 base, no deadline/horizon); BTC at $58,161 hasn't 100x'd but the long-term window hasn't elapsed and outcome is undetermined.
- ⏳
Bitcoin will reach $1 million per coin well before 2033.
“It's no wonder that Bernstein predicts Bitcoin will eventually reach a million dollars a coin by 2033. And personally, I think it could happen way before that.”
$1M well before 2033; window open in 2026, high so far only $126,296.