Davincij15
Resolved (13)
- ✓
After the leveraged sellers are flushed out, Bitcoin prices are going to bounce.
“people just, you know, obviously leaving the space and this is causing more price suppression. We're going to see prices actually bounce. Um um I would show you a chart, but um we I decided not to do the charting. Maybe I'll do charting”
After the 6/26 flush, BTC dipped to $57,717 (7/1) then bounced to $63,599 by 7/6 (+10% off the low) — the called bounce materialized.
- ✓
Bitcoin is probably going to fall all the way to ~$73k (not necessarily in a straight line).
“parking garage level. and we can see that Bitcoin is probably going to go all the way to 73, right? Might not go straight all the way there, so don't uh take the trade all the way to the 73K, but it's headed in that”
BTC fell as low as $57,718 in [2026-05-18..2026-07-06], reaching the $73,000 downside target.
- ✗
BTC/Gold ratio has most likely bottomed for this cycle.
“BTC/Gold has most likely bottomed for this cycle. I called about this possibility in Feb, and it seems to be playing out.”
Claimed BTC/Gold ratio bottomed for the cycle, but BTC then crashed ~28% (from $80,908 to $58,161) in a risk-off move; with gold typically firm, the ratio almost certainly made new lows rather than bottoming.
- ✓
Bitcoin has only printed 5 red monthly candles in the current cycle versus 9 in prior cycles, indicating the bottom may not yet be in.
“In the 2017-18 cycle, #Bitcoin had 9 red monthly candles before the bottom. In the 2021-22 cycle, BTC had 9 red monthly candles before the bottom. This time, BTC only had 5 red monthly candles, which means the bottom might not be in yet.”
Argued bottom 'might not be in' (only 5 red candles); BTC subsequently fell from $78,559 to a new $58,000 low, confirming more downside.
- ✓
Bitcoin near-term is unlikely to outperform alongside the S&P 500 ATH — Bitcoin underperformance is expected for now.
“S&P 500 new ATH doesn't mean Bitcoin will do the same. In 2022, stocks dumped and Bitcoin dumped too. In 2018, stocks pumped, but #Bitcoin still dumped. The time will come when BTC will outperform everything for years, but it's not now.”
Said BTC would underperform near-term despite S&P ATH; BTC fell ~25% from $77,364 to $58,161, clearly declining/underperforming.
- ✓
Bitcoin will see another dump or final capitulation before the bottom is established.
“Everyone was convinced June 2022 was the bottom. Most people are convinced Feb 2026 was the bottom. That's why I think there'll be another dump or final capitulation in #Bitcoin.”
Predicted another dump/final capitulation before the bottom; BTC fell from $78,281 to a $58,000 low (now $58,161), the further dump materialized.
- ✓
Bitcoin has not bottomed at $60K and a final capitulation is still expected before any reversal.
“Everyone thinks $60K is the bottom. This is why I expect one final #Bitcoin capitulation before reversal.”
Called $60K not the bottom with a further capitulation coming; BTC broke below to $58,000 low and sits at $58,161, confirming the lower-low thesis.
- ✓
Most people think Feb 2026 was the bottom (BTC fell below ~$60K), but the 'max pain isn't in yet' — expects another dump / one final capitulation event (FTX-crash style) before BTC reaches its cycle low.
“He found similarities between the dump this February, when the asset's valuation suddenly plummeted below $60,000 to the one from June 2022. Later on, the analyst alerted traders and investors that 'the max pain isn't in yet,' foreseeing one capitulation event like the FTX crash before BTC tumbles to its cycle low.”
Said Feb 2026 wasn't the bottom and more downside was coming; BTC dropped from $75,163 to $58,000, below the ~$60k Feb level.
- ✓
The February 2026 dump is not the bottom — one more capitulation event comparable to the FTX crash is still ahead before Bitcoin truly bottoms.
“Feb 2026 dump was similar to the June 2022 dump. But the max pain isn't in yet. There'll be one capitulation event, like the FTX crash, before #Bitcoin bottoms.”
Said Feb 2026 dump wasn't the bottom and more capitulation lay ahead; BTC fell from $74,836 to $58,000, breaking below the prior Feb low.
- ✓
Bitcoin will dip to around $60K, possibly $55K.
“So what's next? #Bitcoin probably dips to $60k. Maybe $55k. Then the same people saying "I wish I bought at $60k" will say "it's going lower." And I'll be buying.”
BTC fell as low as $57,718 in [2026-02-07..2026-07-06], reaching the $60,000 downside target.
- ✓
On 2026 price direction: 'Most likely, we're going to go down'; best case is a return to the prior all-time high (~$125,100) rather than a meaningful new high.
“Most likely, we're going to go down, he tells Magazine during an interview in December. Best case scenario where we come back to the all-time highs ... A move back to Bitcoin's peak of $125,100 from its current price of $91,455 would represent a gain of nearly 37%.”
Said 'most likely we go down' and no meaningful new high; BTC peaked only at $97,964 (never near $125,100 ATH) and fell to $58,161.
- ✗
There will come a point where Bitcoin never trades below $100,000 ever again (eventual permanent floor; no date given).
“There will come a point where we never see sub $100,000 BTC ever again!!”
BTC fell to $57,718 in [2025-07-18..2026-07-06], below the $100,000 floor.
- ✗
Bitcoin may never again fall below $80,000 (eventual floor framing; no date given).
“the pioneering cryptocurrency may never again fall below $80,000”
BTC fell to $57,718 in [2025-06-03..2026-07-06], below the $80,000 floor.
Open (14)
- ⏳
Bitcoin will most likely go down further over the following year because it's in a bear market, then continue higher once rock bottom is hit.
“about what's about to happen. Bitcoin will go down of course in this following year. Well, not of course, but most likely because we're in a bare market, but once we hit rock bottom, Bitcoin will”
Down-further-then-up over the following year; the bearish leg is tracking ($64,212 high→$57,717 low) but the ~12-month window is open.
- ⏳
Bitcoin should see the cycle bottom sometime around the November-December 2026 time frame (after a summer rise and another dip).
“basically moves. We should see the bottom sometime around November this or December time frame. lucky. Let's head over to Bitcoin and take a look at that. The Treasuries, all right? Look at that.”
Cycle-bottom-Nov/Dec-2026 call; deadline 2026-12-31 is open (interim low $57,717 on 7/1).
- ⏳
Bitcoin will eventually reach $1,000,000.
“When you buy #Bitcoin today no one will talk about how you got it at $94k and not $80k when it's $1,000,000!!”
Not reached yet (high $78,015 since 2026-05-22); 2032-05-22 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-06.
- ⏳
Bitcoin is probably going to about $50k, possibly bouncing around the ~$55k area before actually seeing $50k.
“or even the 69. I think the 69 um 70 Yeah, the right there at the 60 the 61.8. That would be lights out. We are probably going to about 50k-ish, probably. We might uh bounce a little”
Not reached yet (low $57,718 since 2026-05-22); 2028-05-22 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-06.
- ⏳
Bitcoin will probably keep going down until a bottom in September, October, or November 2026, and then the bull market begins again.
“probably stay the same, right? Whereas everywhere else will get crushed. How long do you think it will go down? Yes, I think we'll probably go down until bottom at September, October, or November,”
Bottom-in-Sep-Nov-2026 call; deadline 2026-11-30 is open (interim low $57,717 on 7/1).
- ⏳
Bitcoin will have one final dip mimicking Gold's 1970s pattern before a mega rally to $500K.
“#Bitcoin is mimicking Gold's 1970s move. One final dip before a mega rally. See you at $500K.”
Not reached yet (high $82,814 since 2026-04-17); 2028-10-17 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-06.
- ⏳
One final dip remains before Bitcoin bottoms, after which price will move toward $500K.
“Just one final dip before #Bitcoin bottom. After that, a journey towards $500K will start.”
Not reached yet (high $82,814 since 2026-04-12); 2028-10-12 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-06.
- ⏳
Bitcoin will be above $70K by December 2026, leaving current sellers regretting the $70K level.
“#Bitcoin dropped 44% from its all-time high. The people panicking right now will be the same ones saying "I wish I bought at $70K" by December.”
Above-$70k-by-Dec-2026 call; deadline 2026-12 is open, BTC $63,599 (below $70k) as of 7/6.
- ⏳
Bitcoin will reach $500,000.
“#Bitcoin on exchanges just hit an all time low!! Less $BTC available to buy. If demand rises, supply won't keep up. See you at $500,000 🎯”
Not reached yet (high $82,814 since 2026-03-10); 2030-03-10 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-06.
- ⏳
Bitcoin will reach $500K, with people buying at $200K along the way.
“The people laughing today will be buying at $200K. because I've been saying... See you at $500K. 🎯”
Not reached yet (high $82,814 since 2026-03-04); 2030-03-04 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-06.
- ⏳
Bitcoin will reach $500K, made inevitable by coming hyperinflation.
“2,000 years of financial history shows this is the starting gun for hyperinflation. When that hits, $500K #BTC won't just be possible, it'll be inevitable. See you at $500K before”
Not reached yet (high $82,814 since 2026-02-26); 2031-02-26 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-06.
- ⏳
Bitcoin will reach $500K.
“#Bitcoin: $1 → $32 → $2 → $100,000 → $77,000 Same FUD. Same panic. Same people selling the bottom. See you at $500k.”
Not reached yet (high $82,814 since 2026-02-01); 2030-02-01 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-06.
- ⏳
Bitcoin will be above $500,000 before the end of this decade (i.e., by ~2030).
“Bitcoin will be above $500k before the end of this decade.”
Not reached yet (high $126,296 since 2025-07-15); 2029-12-31 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-06.
- ⏳
It costs miners ~$70K to produce 1 Bitcoin now; in past bull markets BTC has hit over 5x the mining cost, implying ~$350,000 is possible. 'Huge potential ahead!' (no timeframe given).
“It costs miners about $70k to produce 1 #Bitcoin now, less with better hardware or cheap energy. In past bull markets, Bitcoin's price has hit over 5x the mining cost. Huge potential ahead!”
Not reached yet (high $126,296 since 2025-01-11); 2028-01-11 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-06.