Eric Yakes
Resolved (3)
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Bitcoin is a strong answer for rotating technology investors and gold bugs, with sovereign demand next; once Bitcoin reaches roughly a $5 trillion market cap that could be the 'suddenly' breakout moment, with more and more bullish headlines along the way.
“Where are these technology investors and gold bugs going to be rotating once they feel like they're really getting to peak euphoria? I think Bitcoin's a very strong answer for that. And everything about the thesis for Bitcoin is playing out perfectly. I think it comes from Sovereign's next. I just think we're going to start seeing more and more headlines. Once Bitcoin gets into the $5 trillion market cap range, that could be the suddenly moment.”
Forward-looking bullish/breakout call made 2026-03-24. As of 2026-06-20 BTC is ~$63,556 (market cap roughly $1.25T, far below the ~$5T 'suddenly moment' threshold) and made a 2026 drawdown low of $59,073 on 2026-06-05 rather than breaking out. Direction has been down, not up, since the call.
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Bitcoin will hit new all-time highs in the first half of 2026.
“I'm expecting Bitcoin to hit all time highs in the first half of next year. We're happy.”
Expected new ATHs in H1 2026; deadline 2026-06-30 elapsed with high_by_deadline only $97,964 — far short of the prior ATH (~$126k), and BTC ended at $58,161.
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Bitcoin will reach somewhere in the $150,000–$180,000 range near-term, based on prior cycle patterns.
“So we're like near term type changes. I'm expecting somewhere in the 150 to 180 range, kind of just based on prior cycles and what we would return to similar to your argument.”
Called near-term $150k-$180k from $87,428 (Mar 2025); BTC's high_since_made was $126,296, never reaching the band, and price has since fallen to $58,161 — the near-term window has elapsed without hitting the range.
Open (1)
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Bitcoin will reach $10 million in roughly seven years (by ~2032), happening relatively rapidly.
“Bitcoin is going to be at $10 million in probably like seven years. I think it's going to happen relatively rapidly.”
Not reached yet (high $126,296 since 2025-09-11); 2032-09-11 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.