Barry Silbert
Resolved (2)
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At Bitcoin Investor Week (mid-Feb 2026), Silbert capped BTC's upside relative to smaller-cap plays: 'Unless the U.S. dollar completely collapses, Bitcoin is not going to go up 500x' (he argued Zcash could 500x but BTC could not). A ceiling-flavored directional view that BTC's forward upside is bounded absent a dollar collapse.
“Unless the U.S. dollar completely collapses, Bitcoin is not going to go up 500x.”
The ceiling-flavored call held — BTC did not go up 500x; it declined from $67,025 to $58,161 with no dollar collapse, far from any 500x move.
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On a late-January 2026 sell-off that pushed BTC below $75,000, Silbert called the slump a 'gift from the crypto gods' and said 'A massive capital rotation into crypto is about to begin. Time to pick your fighter.' — a bullish directional call that a recovery/rotation into crypto was imminent.
“A massive capital rotation into crypto is about to begin. Time to pick your fighter”
The 'massive capital rotation / imminent recovery' didn't hold: after a brief bounce to $84,138 from $78,648, BTC crashed to $58,161 — ~26% below the call price.