Matt Odell
Resolved (11)
- ✗
the bottom was when i called it on nostr and a bunch of yall made fun of me
“the bottom was when i called it on nostr and a bunch of yall made fun of me”
Claimed bottom at $63,538 (2026-06-12); price subsequently fell to $58,000 / $58,161 current, below the claimed bottom.
- ✗
Odell calls a Bitcoin market bottom, saying the bottom appears to be in 'in a big way' with BTC around $73,000.
“It seems like the bottom is in in a big way. Bitcoin is currently at $73,000.”
'Bottom in in a big way' at ~$72,683 (Mar 4 2026) failed — BTC fell to new lows of $57,718 (Jul 1 2026).
- ✗
bottom likely in — let's run it back fam
“bottom likely in let's run it back fam”
Called bottom at $70,528 on 2026-02-06; BTC fell to $58,000 and sits at $58,161 well below the call — not the bottom.
- ✓
Bitcoin has not bottomed yet and will fall further, to a low-$70,000s bottom.
“I don't think we've bottomed yet. I think we go lower. You think so? I'm my, I do not pretend to have any idea where we go, but I'm thinking like low seventies bottom.”
BTC fell as low as $57,718 in [2025-11-21..2026-07-06], reaching the $70,000 downside target.
- ✗
Despite the ~25% drawdown from the all-time high, Bitcoin is not entering a traditional multi-year (three-year) bear market because there was no real blow-off top this cycle.
“I've been shitting on the super cycle theory for a while ... but I don't think we're entering like a traditional bear market like a three year bear market or something we just didn't really have a blow off top”
Said no multi-year bear/no blow-off top on 2025-11-14 at $94,504; BTC has since dropped to $58,000 (~45% off the $116k high), a sustained drawdown undercutting the 'not a real bear' claim.
- ✗
Bitcoin will be over $200k by Christmas.
“I don't know your track record on price predictions. You can. And, we're gonna be over 200 k by congress today.”
BTC's high was only $69,000 through the 2021-12-25 horizon; never reached $200,000.
- ✓
Bitcoin will crack a new all-time high again before the end of 2021.
“I don't know about you guys, but I still think we're gonna crack an all time high again this year.”
BTC traded as high as $69,000 in [2021-06-24..2021-12-31], reaching the $64,863 target.
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Bitcoin could reach $200k within a couple of months.
“I'm not saying you're late because you're not. I think we could be at 200 k in a couple months, but the urgency is real.”
BTC's high was only $64,899 through the 2021-05-28 horizon; never reached $200,000.
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Bitcoin will be around $200k by the Miami Bitcoin conference (June 2021).
“the price is gonna be like it's gonna be like $200,000 Bitcoin ... You you wanna make a bet? ... Like, it won't be 200 k by Yeah. I make that bet every day when I stack. I'll make that bet.”
BTC's high was only $64,899 through the 2021-06-28 horizon; never reached $200,000.
- ✓
Bitcoin will be pumping in price in June.
“in June. I, you know, I think Bitcoin will be pumping in price.”
Made 2021-03-03 at $50,360; by June 2021 BTC reached high of $64,899 — pumping in price within the window.
- ✓
Bitcoin will rise past $100,000; anyone who thinks $100k is the top is wrong and effectively short Bitcoin.
“if people think, like, a $100,000 Bitcoin is the top, fuck you. You're short Bitcoin. You're wrong. Like, you can pay if you pay a 100% premium, Bitcoin will pump past that.”
Said BTC would pump past $100k (made 2021-02 at $49,738); high since reached $126,296, far above $100k.
Open (2)
- ⏳
Bitcoin will outlive us all and become the reserve currency of the world.
“And I think at this point, Bitcoin has had the time in the market and the proof in network effect that it's going to be around for a long, long time. It'll probably outlive us all. I, with high confidence, think, which maybe sounds less crazy, even though this is like probably the 20th time I've said it on the show. And it gets less crazy every time I say it. I still expect it to become the reserve currency of the world.”
[unresolvable] Multi-generational 'becomes the world reserve currency' claim — not falsifiable from the realized price path.
- ⏳
Matt Odell expects Bitcoin to outperform real estate across the board.
“I'd rather own Bitcoin. It's highly liquid. I think it's going to outperform real estate across the board.”
BTC outperforms real estate 'across the board'; open-ended multi-year horizon not elapsed.