Dan Tapiero
Resolved (8)
- ◐
Dan Tapiero predicts that a weakening dollar will be very bullish for Bitcoin (and gold) over the medium term.
“I suspect the dollar keeps going down. I think this is going to be very bullish for us over the medium term. Gold and Bitcoin.”
Made 2026-02-27 at $65,860; BTC rallied to $82,814 (+26%) then reversed below entry to $58,161 — mixed medium-term outcome.
- ✓
The negative crypto sentiment in February 2026 means a sharp upside reversal ('face ripper') is due soon.
“Today most negative sentiment have "felt" since last bear mkt. Eth Denver reports so bad almost funny. Well known crytpo guys giving up. Alts all dead "forever." Btc lost digital gold narrative. Nothing left now. Shorts bragging/talking 45k. Etc. We're due a face ripper.”
Made 2026-02-20 at $67,984 calling a 'face ripper'; a sharp reversal up to $82,814 (+21.8%) materialized soon after.
- ✗
Bitcoin is likely at or near a macro bottom, with multiple indicators aligning for the next up-cycle.
“From a macro standpoint I can't remember too many times where it's been so clear that btc has bottomed. Usd drop, gold and silver leading, us rates about to drop with new chairman, ndx breaking up to new highs....”
Made 2026-01-28 at $89,162 calling a macro bottom; high since only $90,477, then fell to $58,000 — bottom was not in.
- ✗
Amid the early-2026 sell-off Tapiero characterized the decline as 'just a correction … the bottom is in,' reaffirming a $180,000 target for the current cycle.
“This is just a correction … the bottom is in.”
Made 2026-01-18 at $93,634 declaring 'bottom is in'; BTC instead fell ~38% to $58,000.
- ✗
In a Cointelegraph interview Tapiero said Bitcoin 'is on track to reach $180,000 as part of its current bull cycle' and the 'bull market remains intact,' while warning of a possible later drawdown: 'I'm not saying we're going to go down 90%. I'm saying we can go down 70%.'
“Bitcoin is on track to reach $180,000 as part of its current bull cycle ... I'm saying we can go down 70%.”
Made 2025-11-11 at $103,009; high since only $107,482, then crashed to $58,000 — $180k not reached and bull market did not stay intact.
- ✗
On X, Tapiero called a 'Textbook cup and handle' and predicted that a 'Break of 115k goes to 150k quickly,' with potential to reach $180,000 in the current bull rally (BTC then ~$107k).
“Break of 115k goes to 150k quickly. 🚀 🚀 ... Textbook cup and handle.”
BTC's high was only $126,296 through the 2026-03-27 horizon; never reached $150,000.
- ✗
Tapiero said Bitcoin 'could easily see a price close to $200,000' and that a repeat of the prior bear-to-peak run (~20x) could push it 'even higher toward the $300,000 mark,' broadly 'over the next 18 to 24 months and it could be sooner,' driven by spot ETFs and the halving.
“I think we could easily see a price close to $200,000 ... I think broadly we'll get to that place over the next 18 to 24 months and it could be sooner.”
BTC's high was only $126,296 through the 2026-03-18 horizon; never reached $200,000.
- ✓
Tapiero predicted 2024 would be 'a big up year' for Bitcoin, citing its strong 2023 performance and arguing 0% exposure would pose career risk for institutional investors.
“Clear track record suggests a big up year in 2024. Impossible for institutional investors to ignore.”
Made 2023-12-22 at $44,014; 2024 was a big up year, high by 2024-12-31 deadline $108,389 (~+146%).
Open (5)
- ⏳
Bitcoin could reach $150,000 by year-end 2026, which he frames as an underappreciated possibility given market conditions.
“Btc at 70k today. Does anyone in the world think we could be 150k at year end? 1 in 100? 1 in 1000? And it has a shot.”
Not reached yet (high $82,814 since 2026-03-25); 2026-12-31 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.
- ⏳
Bitcoin reaches $180,000 in the same macro scenario where silver hits $85 and gold hits $5,500.
“Silver going to 85. Posted same chart a few months ago. Probably puts gold at 5500, Btc at 180k, ndx at 40k, 2yrs 2%, eur/usd 1.35”
Not reached yet (high $97,964 since 2025-12-05); 2027-12-05 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.
- ⏳
In a CoinDesk interview Tapiero reaffirmed his long-held $180,000 Bitcoin target, expecting consolidation around $100,000 first: 'Once we hold that for a bit, I think we're heading to $180K — maybe by summer next year' (summer 2026).
“Once we hold that for a bit, I think we're heading to $180K — maybe by summer next year.”
Not reached yet (high $105,317 since 2025-11-12); 2026-08-31 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.
- ⏳
On X, Tapiero said 'Btc to 1mm in 10yrs is $20T value...just 2% of total world assets. Still so early.' — a $1,000,000 Bitcoin target over roughly a 10-year horizon (~2035).
“Btc to 1mm in 10yrs is $20T value...just 2% of total world assets. Still so early.🚀”
Not reached yet (high $126,296 since 2025-09-24); 2035-09-24 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.
- ⏳
Bitcoin's market cap will head to more than $10 trillion.
“But the reality is, is that you're probably heading to much higher numbers. 25, 50 trillion, I don't know. I certainly think that Bitcoin is going to head to a market cap of more than 10 trillion.”
Not reached yet (high $126,296 since 2023-11-23); 2028-11-23 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.