Jim Bianco
Resolved (2)
- ◐
With six weeks left in the year, both Bitcoin and Ethereum are down on the year; if this holds, crypto will be one of the worst-performing asset classes in 2025.
“Bianco pointed out that crypto is on track to be the worst-performing asset class of 2025, if the top two cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin and Ethereum, close the year in the red. (Original X post: 'With six weeks left in the year, both Bitcoin (orange) and Ethereum (blue) are now down on the year. If this holds, crypto will be one of the worst-performing asset classes in 2025.')”
Window elapsed; BTC made 2025-11-14 at $94,504 with high_by_deadline $99,836 and low $80,525 — whether it closed the year red (vs ~$93-94k Jan open) is ambiguous from the facts, not a clean confirmation.
- ✓
On the ETF-issuer thesis that 'boomer' FOMO would push Bitcoin from $90k-$100k up to $150,000: 'If that's what you think is going to cause Bitcoin to go to $150,000, I'm very worried.' (Skeptical that the FOMO-driven $150k narrative would play out.)
“They're literally not hiding the ball. They're saying every boomer is going to call its wealth manager and FOMO into this thing at $90,000 and $100,000 and take it to $150,000. ... If that's what you think is going to cause Bitcoin to go to $150,000, I'm very worried.”
Skeptical that boomer FOMO would push BTC to $150k; peak since the call was only $126,296, never reaching $150k, and it has since fallen to $58,161.
Open (1)
- ⏳
If Bitcoin is developed further with more use cases, it will reach a price of $1 million.
“Now, if you do that and you develop it out and you make it more enticing and there are more use cases for it, you'll get to a million.”
Not reached yet (high $126,296 since 2024-09-17); 2029-09-17 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.