Joe Burnett
Resolved (8)
- ✗
The ongoing miner capitulation suggests Bitcoin is in the process of forming a durable bottom.
“Bitcoin and energy are inextricably linked. The ongoing miner capitulation suggests Bitcoin is in the process of forming a durable bottom. I like the energy money 🟠.”
'Durable bottom forming' claimed 2026-06-16 at $65,617, but price promptly fell to $58,000 and sits at $58,161 — the supposed bottom did not hold.
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Bitcoin will be above $99,000 in 2031.
“Even if Bitcoin only appreciates to $99,000 by 2031, the resulting capital appreciation would offset more than 100% of the current dividend obligations of both Strategy and Strive. Personally, I think BTC will be above $99,000 in 2031.”
BTC fell to $57,718 in [2026-06-03..2026-07-06], below the $99,000 floor.
- ✗
I definitely would not be surprised at all to see $200,000 Bitcoin or $250,000 Bitcoin this year (2025).
“I definitely would not be surprised at all to see $200,000 Bitcoin or $250,000 Bitcoin this year”
BTC's high was only $126,296 through the 2025-12-31 horizon; never reached $250,000.
- ✗
Bitcoin needs to be at least in the low $50,000s post-halving for the mining industry to avoid widespread failures.
“What would be, like, a bottom-end but healthy price for the mining industry? I'll put it at the low side of it, low 50s. Okay. If we're in the low 50s, I don't think we'll have too many dead bodies.”
BTC fell to $38,501 in [2023-12-08..2024-12-08], below the $50,000 floor.
- ✗
Older, less efficient Bitcoin miners (110 TH/s or lower) will not survive post-halving unless BTC reaches $100,000.
“Those aren't going to make it. Like, I can tell you, short of, let's say, $100,000 Bitcoin, none of that's going to make it. So, just in crude terms, like, for the audience out there, like, if you have something 110 terahash per second or lower, that's pretty suspect on the back half of the halving, short of some price explosion.”
BTC fell to $38,501 in [2023-12-08..2025-12-08], below the $100,000 floor.
- ✓
Bitcoin will soon begin another slow upward ascent after the bear market bottom.
“Everyone is bearish, yet Bitcoin is still trading around the same price it was in June ($17.5k). The mining industry has been decimated, and many of the weak hands (BTC and ASICs) have been purged. Soon we will begin another slow ascent.”
'Slow ascent after the bottom' claimed 2022-12-29 at $16,628; low since $16,326 (bottom held) and BTC ascended to $126,296.
- ✓
The next Bitcoin bull market is on deck and BTC will rise from current levels.
“During the monetization phase, massive bull markets inevitably occur in both BTC and mining. The next bull market is on deck.”
From ~$16.8k (Dec 2022) BTC rose to $100k (Dec 2024) and the $126,296 ATH — the next bull materialized.
- ✓
Fairly convinced that a fed pause will mark the Bitcoin bottom and ignite the early stages of the next bull run. We are close.
“Fairly convinced that a fed pause will mark the Bitcoin bottom and ignite the early stages of the next bull run. Exciting times. We are close.”
Fed-pause-marks-bottom call made 2022-12-16 at $16,633; low since was $16,273 (bottom held) and BTC ignited a bull run to $126,296.
Open (7)
- ⏳
Bitcoin price will be between roughly $41,000 and $165,000 by year-end 2026.
“If you expect bitcoin to compound at 30% annually with 45% annualized volatility, then you can be 95% confident its price will be between roughly $41,000 and $165,000 by year-end.”
$41k-$165k by year-end 2026; window open to 2026-12-31, current $63,599 inside the band.
- ⏳
Bitcoin is at $77,000, but I believe it is going to $7,700,000. Your wealth is melting. Buy Bitcoin.
“Bitcoin is at $77,000, but I believe it is going to $7,700,000. Your wealth is melting. Buy Bitcoin.”
Not reached yet (high $82,814 since 2026-04-23); 2032-04-23 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-06.
- ⏳
My base case for Q1 2036 is $11 million per bitcoin (driven by AI-led deflation plus sustained monetary expansion; BTC ~12% of projected global financial assets).
“My base case for Q1 2036 is $11 million per bitcoin.”
Not reached yet (high $82,814 since 2026-03-02); 2036-03-31 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-06.
- ⏳
Bitcoin could reach $1 million by 2030, more than a 10x increase from levels around $97,000.
“Beyond 2025, Burnett forecasts a staggering $1 million by 2030.”
Not reached yet (high $126,296 since 2025-05-07); 2030-12-31 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-06.
- ⏳
Bitcoin at $10 million by 2035 (base case for Q1 2035), implying a ~$200 trillion total market value (~11% of projected global wealth).
“The theme of this quarter: Bitcoin at $10 million by 2035.”
Not reached yet (high $126,296 since 2025-03-01); 2035-03-31 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-06.
- ⏳
Bitcoin has three plausible long-run price scenarios: digital gold ($500k–$1m), reserve asset ($5m–$10m), or world currency ($23m+).
“I think there are 3 reasonable outcomes for Bitcoin. 1. 🐻 Digital gold ($500k - $1m) 2. 🔒 Reserve asset ($5m - $10m) 3. 🥇 World currency ($23m+)”
Multi-decade $500k-$23m+ scenarios; horizon not elapsed, high ever is only $126,296.
- ⏳
Bitcoin is going to $1,000,000+ and 99.9% of you on this website won't believe me.
“Bitcoin is going to $1,000,000+ and 99.9% of you on this website won’t believe me.”
Not reached yet (high $126,296 since 2022-12-18); 2028-12-18 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-06.