Jeff Ross
Resolved (11)
- ✓
Bitcoin has one more leg lower before the cycle bottom is officially in; would not be surprised by a new low for this cycle.
“I just kind of think it has one more leg lower before it's officially the bottom.”
One more leg lower materialized — from $77,098 BTC fell to a new cycle low of $58,000 (now $58,161).
- ✓
Bitcoin will dip into the 50,000s (sub-60K) one more time for a new cycle low.
“To answer your second question first, I said hey to the 58k gang. I think we could have one more time where we dip down into the 50,000s.”
BTC fell as low as $57,718 in [2026-04-17..2026-07-01], reaching the $59,000 downside target.
- ✗
Bitcoin is at or near a bottom at these (late-December 2025) levels.
“Although I think it's close to a bottom. I think it's at or near a bottom at these levels. I think 2026 is looking good. And I think that's because the One Big Beautiful Bill Act will finally basically start taking effect. I think the accounting rules that are going to be in place starting in 2026 are going to start taking an effect. And I think people shouldn't underestimate how strong that impact will be.”
Not a bottom — from $88,557 BTC fell to $58,000 low and sits at $58,161, far below the claimed bottom.
- ✗
Jeff Ross expects Bitcoin's best price performance is still ahead, with latecomers eventually piling back in several hundred thousand dollars higher, and 2026 to be the exciting year.
“I still think our best days are ahead of us... I think a lot of people are going to bail in December and think it's over. And then it's going to get fun after that. And they're going to miss it. And they're going to be piling back in several hundred thousand dollars higher. So very personally, I'm very optimistic for what's coming in 2026.”
Opposite happened: from $107,586 BTC topped at $116,410 then crashed to $58,161 by deadline — no 'several hundred thousand higher,' 2026 was a collapse.
- ✗
Near-term: after Bitcoin taps the prior all-time high it shoots higher, reaching $140,000-$160,000 'before people can blink.' Said while BTC was ~$112-113k at recording.
“I think it taps on the door and then it shoots higher. And I think we'll be at one 40 to one 60 before people can blink.”
BTC's high was only $126,296 through the 2026-04-22 horizon; never reached $140,000.
- ✓
Bullish directional call at ~$84k: 'I'm very bullish here for Bitcoin' and expected it to 'rip from here,' while flagging a possible sideways/dip to ~$70k (to fill a CME gap) as a buying opportunity before the move up.
“I'm very bullish here for Bitcoin. ... we may see another couple of weeks of sideways chop, but very bullish. ... say, in the coming weeks, Bitcoin chops sideways and dips as low as 70K, which I think is actually possible.”
Bullish call paid off — BTC ripped from $82,699 to $126,296 (+53%) within the window.
- ✗
Re-affirmed his $475,000 Bitcoin price target for 2025, arguing the cycle could peak in late 2025, driven by global liquidity and PMI/manufacturing recovery.
“break down his $475,000 bitcoin price target for 2025 and why he's more bullish than ever”
BTC's high was only $126,296 through the 2025-12-31 horizon; never reached $475,000.
- ◐
Jeff Ross believes Bitcoin is in a bull market where all dips should be bought.
“I think we're generally in a bull market right now. I do think all dips in general, again, not individual investment advice ever, but I do think we're in the phase where all dips are for buying.”
Rallied from $100,151 to $126,296 (dips buyable for a while), but the bull market broke and price fell to $58,161 — below entry, so 'all dips for buying' ultimately failed.
- ✓
Bullish directional call at ~$96k: 'we're definitely not at the top, we're just getting started' — rejecting the idea that Bitcoin near $96k was a cycle top.
“Yeah. So we're definitely not at the top where we're just getting started.”
Not the top — BTC rose ~19% from $106,137 to a new high of $126,296 before rolling over, vindicating 'just getting started.'
- ✗
Bitcoin will reach $475,000 by Halloween (Oct 31) 2025. Ross explicitly 'broke the cardinal rule' by picking both a date and a price, and noted he had been making this call for about a year.
“this is the, I'm breaking all the Cardinal rules. You don't pick a date and a price, but I'm doing both. I'm saying at Halloween of 2025, we'll be at 475K. ... I've been saying this for like a year though, this is nothing new.”
BTC's high was only $126,296 through the 2025-10-31 horizon; never reached $475,000.
- ✓
Bitcoin's current bull cycle will peak sometime in Q4 2025 before rolling over.
“my guess if i had to guess i think it's going to peak somewhere in the fourth quarter of 2025 before it rolls over again”
Cycle peaked in Q4 2025 (all-time high $126,296 on Oct 6, 2025) then rolled over to $58k — timing call landed exactly.
Open (4)
- ⏳
After a weak first three quarters, Bitcoin and risk assets will finish 2026 strong, with bullishness reigniting around Q4 / the US midterm elections.
“But I would say by Q4, the fourth quarter, somewhere around the midterm elections here in the U.S., that usually tends to reignite some bullishness. And just based on cyclical patterns, I would be surprised if we didn't have kind of a bullish end to the year after sort of a disappointing half to three quarters of a year leading up to that.”
Window open to 2026-12-31; Q4 2026 / midterm-season strength hasn't occurred yet (BTC at $58,161, down from $77,098).
- ⏳
After a disappointing first three quarters, 2026 will finish strong with a bullish Q4 around the U.S. midterm elections.
“I think the year is going to finish strong based on the things that I'm looking at... by Q4, the fourth quarter, somewhere around the midterm elections here in the U.S., that usually tends to reignite some bullishness... I'm not bullish for now, but I plan on being bullish as the year ends.”
Same Q4-2026 strong-finish call; window open to 2026-12-31, outcome undetermined (BTC at $58,161, down from $77,098).
- ⏳
If the US economy takes off again or strong news comes from Congress, Bitcoin could quickly go to 150K or 200K.
“asset. I wouldn't get too excited about the price of Bitcoin until you start seeing signs that the U.S. economy is starting to take off again. or if we have some really good news come out of like, say, Congress, I think it could quickly go to 150 or 200K if that happens. Is this an age of abundance or is it like another Great Depression?”
Not reached yet (high $97,964 since 2025-12-22); 2026-09-22 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-01.
- ⏳
Flipping from bearish to quite bullish and constructive on Bitcoin for 2026.
“So I've basically, yes, I'm bearish currently. And I flipped to now being instead of bearish for 2026, I'm actually quite bullish and constructive on 2026. with one more caveat, and then I'll stop, is that I think I wouldn't get too excited”
Bullish-for-2026 thesis window open to 2026-12-31; BTC down ~34% from $88,557 to $58,161 so far, but year-end outcome undetermined.