Ben Armstrong (BitBoy)
Resolved (9)
- ✗
Bitcoin will double in price within 60 days from late October 2025.
“Bitcoin to DOUBLE in 60 days (Bullish Crypto Prediction)”
BTC did not double in 60 days — from $110,032 it reached only $113,690 (+3%) by the 2025-12-28 deadline, nowhere near the ~$220K needed.
- ✗
Bitcoin will reach $148k by December 2025.
“Bitcoin To $148k by December (What Crypto Investors NEED to KNOW)”
BTC's high was only $124,254 through the 2025-12-31 horizon; never reached $148,000.
- ✓
Bitcoin will clear all-time highs soon.
“Bitcoin RALLIES to $120k! (Why It Will Clear All Time Highs Soon) https://t.co/tXdtt0xuKE”
Made at $122,318 (Oct 3 2025); BTC printed a new ATH $126,296 three days later on Oct 6.
- ✓
This is the lull before a final leg up — Bitcoin will go back above $100k for the last hurrah.
“I get it. Most of you are new here. We call this the in-between. It’s the last time to get good buys before the last hurrah. Buying after it goes above $100k will be retarded”
Made at $84,062 (Mar 21 2025); BTC reclaimed $100k in May 2025 (high $112,000 on May 22) and ran to the $126,296 ATH — the final leg above $100k played out.
- ✓
Adjusting the Bitcoin bull-run top prediction down from $140k to $125k.
“This is the 4th Bitcoin Bull Run. 2 of the previous 3 had two distinct parts. Either this was the shortest bull run by a long shot… or we are in the lull in between the two parts. I’m adjusting my prediction from $140k to $125k”
BTC traded as high as $126,296 in [2025-03-20..2026-03-20], reaching the $125,000 target.
- ◐
Believes the bull market begins on April Fool's Day (April 1, 2025), with the bull run potentially peaking between April and the end of June 2025.
“I've been a big believer in April Fool's Day [for] this bull market next year”
Bull market did run (BTC went $58,722 to a $126,296 ATH), but the predicted April-June 2025 peak was wrong — by the 2025-06-30 deadline the high was only $112,000 and the real top came in Oct 2025.
- ✓
Bitcoin is still poised to reach the $100,000 mark this year (2024), reaffirmed despite a crash to ~$65,000.
“Armstrong took to X to reassure his followers that Bitcoin is still poised to reach the coveted $100,000 mark this year.”
BTC traded as high as $108,389 in [2024-04-13..2024-12-31], reaching the $100,000 target.
- ✗
Bitcoin would reach $200,000 per token by the end of 2024 (later softened to mid-2025 or the end of 2024), stated during his 'Crypto Crossfire' program.
“Bitcoin (BTC) would reach a price tag of $200,000 per token by the end of 2024. He later adjusted this to mid-2025 or the end of 2024.”
BTC's high was only $112,000 through the 2025-06-30 horizon; never reached $200,000.
- ✗
Bitcoin will top out around $300,000 in September to October of this year (2021), then we will have a bear market.
“The history says, Bitcoin will top out around $3,00,000 in September to October of this year. Then we will have a bear market.”
BTC's high was only $66,999 through the 2021-10-31 horizon; never reached $300,000.
Open (4)
- ⏳
Bitcoin will reach a new all-time high in 2026.
“NEW All Time High for Bitcoin Coming in 2026”
New-ATH-in-2026 window (deadline 2026-12-31) open; 2026 high only $97,964 (Jan 14) vs $126,296 ATH, but the year is not over.
- ⏳
Bitcoin could fall to $10,000.
“Bitcoin Could PLUMMET to $10,000 Per Coin”
Not reached yet (low $57,718 since 2025-12-17); 2029-12-17 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-06.
- ⏳
Forecasted that Bitcoin could reach $146,641 in this cycle (cycle top target), though not based on any specific analysis.
“Armstrong forecasted that Bitcoin could reach $146,641 in this cycle, though he did not base this figure on any specific analysis.”
Not reached yet (high $126,296 since 2024-09-09); 2027-03-09 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-06.
- ⏳
The price of Bitcoin is not going to go over $150,000; $140,000 is a more realistic peak target (with a possible temporary spike to $170k-$180k he was skeptical of).
“The price of Bitcoin is not going to go over $150,000”
BTC's high was $126,296, stayed at/below $150,000 (through 2026-07-06).