Fred Krueger
Resolved (4)
- ✗
The Bitcoin bear market is over and the bull market has resumed.
“The bear market has been canceled. We now resume the Bull market. Thank you for your attention to this matter.”
No bull resumption — after the 2026-06-14 call at $65,707, BTC peaked at only $67,264 then fell to $58,161 (~11% down).
- ✗
In a scenario titled 'The Final Run / The Last Rally', Krueger forecast Bitcoin rising from about $150,000 to $600,000 within 90 days starting July 21, 2025 (i.e. roughly $600K by October 2025), driven by a U.S. Treasury auction failure, BRICS adoption, and a 'New Bretton Woods' dollar restructuring; he assigned the broad scenario a high probability.
“from $150,000 to $600,000 within 90 days, starting July 21, 2025”
BTC's high was only $126,296 through the 2025-10-19 horizon; never reached $600,000.
- ✗
Bitcoin could reach $400,000 by the end of 2024 (extrapolating from Bitcoin spot-ETF inflow trends and the power law model).
“Bitcoin could reach $400,000 by the end of 2024 and $600,000 by the end of 2025.”
BTC's high was only $108,389 through the 2024-12-31 horizon; never reached $400,000.
- ✗
Bitcoin could reach $600,000 by the end of 2025 (power law + ETF-flow extrapolation).
“Bitcoin could reach $400,000 by the end of 2024 and $600,000 by the end of 2025.”
BTC's high was only $126,296 through the 2025-12-31 horizon; never reached $600,000.
Open (10)
- ⏳
With $62k reclaimed, this bitcoin bear market is dying (going the way of the Dodo bird).
“62k unlocked. This bear market is going the way of the Dodo Bird and the White Rhinoceros.”
Near-term 'bear dying' call; ~9-month horizon into 2027 open — BTC rose to $63,599 by 2026-07-06 but unconfirmed.
- ⏳
Bitcoin's bear market is ending soon, since historical bear markets last ~12-13 months and this one is 9 months in.
“Bitcoin has been going down for 9 months. Here's the history of bear markets: 2013–15: ~13 months 2017–18: ~12 months 2021–22: ~12 months No matter how you look at it, the end is near.”
'Bear ending soon' with deadline 2026-09; not yet reached — the $57,718 low printed only on 2026-07-01.
- ⏳
Bitcoin will make a new all-time high in 2026 despite the current bear talk.
“How Bitcoin is going to take over the world. 1. We're going to make a new high THIS YEAR despite all the bear talk.”
New-ATH-in-2026 window open until 2026-12-31; ATH still $126,296, BTC $63,599.
- ⏳
Based on a chart of Bitcoin's historical price-doubling periods (BTC hitting ~$128k in October 2025), Krueger suggested the next major doubling target is $256,000. No firm deadline was stated by Krueger; the article estimated mid-2027 by extrapolating average historical doubling time.
“the next major market target could now be $256,000”
$256k doubling target estimated ~mid-2027; window open and BTC only $63,599 on 2026-07-06.
- ⏳
Bitcoin will close 2026 at $150k-$250k.
“We will close the year at 150K-250K -- Fred Krueger AND Mike Alfred We will crash to 40K -- Gary Cardone AND Peter Zeihan Choose:”
Close-2026 $150-250k range; deadline 2026-12-31 not reached, BTC $63,599 (needs ~2.4x).
- ⏳
Bitcoin reaches $1 million in seven years, plus or minus three (roughly 2030-2036).
“Dan Morehead stopped by the office today. We gave him a copy of "Bitcoin One Million". He had only one question: "When" ? I said. "Seven Years. Plus or Minus Three." He said "Conservative". Hope he comes to Bitcoin Alpha.”
Not reached yet (high $67,264 since 2026-06-09); 2036-12-31 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-06.
- ⏳
Per the Bitcoin Power Law model Krueger co-popularized, Bitcoin reaches approximately $1 million per coin around 2033.
“projects Bitcoin reaching approximately $1 million per coin around 2033”
Not reached yet (high $67,264 since 2026-06-08); 2033-12-31 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-06.
- ⏳
Per the Bitcoin Power Law model, Bitcoin reaches approximately $10 million per coin by 2045.
“projects....$10 million per coin by 2045”
Not reached yet (high $67,264 since 2026-06-08); 2045-12-31 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-06.
- ⏳
Bitcoin (and MSTR) have bottomed.
“MSTR and Bitcoin have bottomed. Book it.”
BTC printed a slightly lower low (~$58k) later in June 2026 before returning to ~$60-62k, so the exact call was early; resolves on whether the June 2026 low holds.
- ⏳
Krueger said 2026 will be 'an awesome year' for Bitcoin (ultra-bullish outlook for the year).
“an awesome year”
Annual 2026 bullish call; deadline 2026-12-31 not yet reached (BTC $63,599 on 2026-07-06).