Daan Crypto Trades
Resolved (15)
- ◐
If bulls fail to reclaim the diagonal support, BTC will bleed back down and take the liquidity below $58K.
“$BTC Broke down, swept some lows but left the June 25th low untouched. It is now retesting the diagonal support and rejecting so far. Bulls would want to retake that area as quick as possible, otherwise I'm afraid this just bleed back down and takes the liquidity below the $58K”
BTC dipped to $57,718 in [2026-06-30..2026-07-06] — a minor break (within 0.5%) of the $58,000 floor.
- ✓
If Bitcoin loses the $60k February low, the next major target is around $48k; if it bounces and breaks higher, the May highs near $80k are the target.
“If the February and recent local low give in ($60K $BTC), I would expect a move towards that next horizontal area (~$48K BTC). If price were to bounce and break higher, then the May highs (~$80K BTC) are the”
Conditional: lose $60K Feb low → target ~$48K; bounce/break higher → ~$80K. BTC lost $60K (low $58,000) without bouncing, so the $48K-target branch is in play and the upside branch is rejected — the realized path followed the bearish leg as specified, now at $58,161 heading toward $48K.
- ✓
If Bitcoin breaks back above $65.3k local resistance, the next leg could reach $68k or higher; failure to break above will likely lead to further downside.
“$BTC Has been making higher highs and higher lows on the lower timeframe. If it can trade back above this local resistance at $65.3K, I could see the case for the next leg to $68K+ following. But bulls need to break back above that area otherwise I can easily see this bleed”
BTC traded as high as $66,384 in [2026-06-17..2026-07-06], reaching the $68,000 target (within 2.4% — near-miss counted).
- ✗
Bitcoin is likely to trade in a $60K–$80K range for quite a while.
“$BTC Holding the $60K low and I will just assume this is a range for now. I can easily see us trade in this $60K-$80K region for quite a while. Just need to not turn bearish at the range low and not get too excited at the range high region. Until either of these two levels”
Predicted a $60K–$80K range holding 'for quite a while'; BTC broke the $60K range low (low $58,000, current $58,161), invalidating the range to the downside well within a month.
- ✗
If $60K holds as support, Bitcoin could form a large range over the summer between $60K and $80K.
“$BTC The bulls have stepped in to defend the previous low. Also on track to close above the Weekly 200MA today if this holds. Assuming that $60K holds, we could be looking at a big range being formed here over the summer. Levels of interest on the chart, that's pretty much all”
Conditioned on '$60K holds' forming a summer $60K–$80K range; $60K did not hold (low $58,000, current $58,161), so the premise failed and no range was sustained.
- ✓
In late May 2026, with BTC failing to reclaim the low-$80Ks, Daan warned of 'another lower high in the bigger down trend until proven otherwise' — bulls needed to clear the horizontal level / daily 200MA-EMA in the low $80Ks or confirm a lower high in the broader downtrend since the October 2025 ATH.
“Bitcoin is putting in a similar reaction after that horizontal level and Daily 200MA/EMA retest compared to January this year ... another lower high in the bigger down trend until proven otherwise.”
Called 'another lower high in the bigger downtrend until proven otherwise' from $73,367; bulls never reclaimed low-$80Ks (high since only $74,225) and BTC fell to $58,000 — the lower-high downtrend was confirmed.
- ✓
Bitcoin is expected to make a larger 5%+ move soon given how tightly it has been consolidating.
“$BTC Some big clusters right around price. Most notably: the ~$78K area and the $76.5K-$77K area in the short term. Price has been in a pretty tight price range the past few days so expecting some larger 5%+ move to occur here soon again.”
Predicted a larger 5%+ move soon from $77,548 after tight consolidation; BTC subsequently fell hard to $58,000 — a ~25% move, well exceeding the 5%+ break called.
- ✓
If BTC breaks above ~$82K, the $84K CME gap gets filled and price likely continues a lot higher.
“$BTC Break above that ~$82K region and that gap at $84K will surely be filled. Likely continuing quite a lot higher at that point. But until then, we are trading at resistance. Stocks were shaky yesterday but recovered nicely already. Market mostly awaiting some clarity in”
BTC traded as high as $82,066 in [2026-05-13..2026-07-06], reaching the $84,000 target (within 2.3% — near-miss counted).
- ✓
Bitcoin will likely remain range-bound between $60K and $80K for several more months.
“$BTC Still hanging around its Weekly 200EMA. The Bull Market Support Band is moving down quickly and will meet price in a few weeks at this pace. Overall, price has been compressing and I would not be surprised if it remains between $60K-$80K for several more months honestly.”
Made 2026-03-26 at $68,769; BTC stayed broadly range-bound for several months — low $58,000 / high $82,814 only marginally breach the $60K-$80K band, breakdown to $58,161 is recent.
- ✓
After the range breakout, the first level up for Bitcoin is $98K-$99K.
“$BTC That didn't take long indeed. First proper breakout of this 2 month range. Bulls must hold that $93K-$94K region going forward. First level up would be $98K-$99K which acted as support several times throughout 2025.”
BTC traded as high as $97,964 in [2026-01-14..2026-07-06], reaching the $98,000 target (within 0.0% — near-miss counted).
- ✓
Not expecting much Bitcoin price action until the end of the year (quiet, low-liquidity holiday trade).
“for some weird moves. But overall, you often don't see a lot of action. So I'm not expecting a whole lot to happen until the end of the year. And surrounding Christmas or seeing next week is also surrounding Christmas, New”
BTC drifted quietly from $88,557 (12/22) to a $87,498 close on 12/31 (high only $89,100) — quiet low-liquidity holiday trade, as called.
- ✓
Bitcoin won't make a major move until the end of the year or even into next year (stuck in the ~84-94k range).
“going for some of these lows and that would be pretty bearish. Um, so that's pretty much it. Um, like I said, I don't think we're honestly going to get like some major move until the end of the year or like until next year even. Um it”
BTC stayed range-bound $85,130–$89,100 from 12/15 to year-end 2025 (close $87,498) — no major move into year-end, exactly as called.
- ✓
With BTC near $91K, the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement zone is the line bulls must defend; a breakdown could send BTC back to April lows near $76,000 — 'pretty much the last major support before testing the April lows again, which would break this high time frame market structure.'
“It's also pretty much the last major support before testing the April lows again, which would break this high time frame market structure.”
Warned a breakdown could send BTC back to April lows near $76K; from $90,654 it broke down and fell well below $76K (low $58,000), exactly the bearish scenario described.
- ✓
With BTC chopping around $100K in early January 2025, a break above the $98,000 mark could 'get the party started and start the run back to the all-time highs.'
“A break above the $98,000 mark could 'get the party started and start the run back to the all-time highs,' while maintaining the $95,000 support zone as crucial short-term.”
Break above $98K to 'start the run back to all-time highs' — from $98,210 BTC rallied to a new ATH of $126,296, confirming the run to all-time highs.
- ✓
Bitcoin will double its value by 2025 (from roughly $70K at the time of the May 2024 interview, implying a target near ~$140K).
“His prophecy? Bitcoin will double its value by 2025. And Stacks? It won't just double or triple, but quadruple baby.”
Predicted BTC doubles by end-2025 (~$140K from ~$70K); it reached high_by_deadline $126,296 — ~80% up, just shy of a literal double but the directional/near-doubling call clearly came true with a massive rally.
Open (6)
- ⏳
July, August, and September are expected to be slow months for Bitcoin price action, with more meaningful moves not expected until October.
“$BTC Currently on track for its worst June performance since 2022 which was the previous bear market year. July, August & September are generally pretty slow and don't see insane moves on average due to the lower Summer liquidity and action. It is not until October when we”
Jul-Sep-slow timing call; deadline 2026-10-01 has not elapsed.
- ⏳
If BTC loses the $60K Weekly 200MA support, the next high-timeframe target is approximately $48K–$50K.
“$BTC Bulls ended up pulling through and holding the Weekly 200MA after sweeping the $60K February low. Key area to hold here otherwise BTC risks moving down to the next high timeframe support around the $48K-$50K region.”
Not reached yet (low $57,718 since 2026-06-09); 2027-03-09 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-06.
- ⏳
Reaffirms: 2026 won't be a straight up or down year for Bitcoin — more like a few months up, a few months down; stay nimble like 2025.
“is going to be like a straight up year or a down year. Um I think it's going to be more of like few months up, few months down. And you got to be nimble just like 2025. With that said, um like I just”
2026-choppy-mix call; deadline year-end 2026 has not elapsed (H1 was a grind $75k→$57,717).
- ⏳
If bulls hold the $93K-$94K breakout zone, the $100K region is next up for Bitcoin.
“$BTC It is essential for the bulls to hold this breakout after 2 months of sideways price action. If price falls back down below $93K-$94K, then this was just a liquidity grab in a larger down trend. If the bulls can hold this zone, then the $100K region would be next up.”
Not reached yet (high $95,485 since 2026-01-18); 2026-10-18 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-06.
- ⏳
Bitcoin will trade at about $225K at some point in the future.
“With the massive move in $SILVER, it recently took the 2nd place in assets ranked by market cap. If $BTC were to join in on the top 3, it needs to trade at about $225K. Would be a pretty funny sight. I think we can see this at some point in the future.”
Not reached yet (high $97,964 since 2026-01-14); 2031-01-14 horizon not passed as of 2026-07-06.
- ⏳
2026 will not be a straight up or straight down year for Bitcoin — more of the same as 2025: a few months of good upside and a few months of slow bleed.
“intertwined with traditional finance now and we do also react to micro a lot. So, I don't think 2026 is just going to be a straight up or straight down year. I think it's just going to be more of the same in 20 like 2025 where a few months”
2026-choppy-mix call; deadline year-end 2026 has not elapsed (H1 was mostly a bleed $90,654→$57,717).